COVID-19 - Central America - 20-06-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Central America is a Group with the following members:
Belize - Costa Rica - El Salvador - Guatemala - Honduras - Mexico - Nicaragua - Panama

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 147904 84.5 4745 3.31% 3.86%
Active cases 38270 21.9 846 2.26% 3.52%
Deaths 14488 8.3 373 2.64% 5.28%
Recovered 9514654.435263.85%2.77%
Deaths per infected 9.8%
Recovered per infected64.33%
Active per infected 25.87%
Deaths per recovered 15.23%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
2.24%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 21d 6h 18d 7h
Time to reach a million cases 58d 14h50d 12h
Time to saturate the population216d 23h 187d 0h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 58 39
Active na 59 38
Deaths na 25 14
Recovered na 53 61
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Central America

Belize - Costa Rica - El Salvador - Guatemala - Honduras - Mexico - Nicaragua - Panama

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Panama4.219160045500386101182.956.261.470.4323d 19h47d 11h379.3130.49.1239.83.81:26.20.63
Mexico126.5781136191927813511808303.993.185.373.0717d 17h13d 6h89.815.210.763.916.71:6.00.71
Costa Rica5.0581263552107013.115.690.00.5622d 15h25.010.90.213.91.41:69.90.56
Honduras9.158615552082506972.81.892.724.3325d 2h25d 20h67.256.92.77.635.91:2.80.11
Guatemala16.6046792542923011334.953.3813.95.8714d 8h5d 7h40.932.71.46.820.31:4.90.17
El Salvador6.486293416005312812.591.02.93.3227d 2h24d 6h45.224.70.819.74.11:24.20.44
Nicaragua6.461118702463709.4619.666.290.07d 16h11d 8h17.310.90.75.712.41:8.00.33
Central America174.971479043827014488951463.863.525.282.7718d 7h13d 11h84.521.98.354.415.21:6.60.64

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Panama4.219160045500386101183.81:26.20.630.020.030.030.030.042.47Panama
Mexico126.57811361919278135118083016.71:6.00.710.120.140.150.170.22.88Mexico
Costa Rica5.0581263552107011.41:69.90.560.010.010.010.010.010.05Costa Rica
Honduras9.1586155520825069735.91:2.80.110.040.050.050.050.060.74Honduras
Guatemala16.60467925429230113320.31:4.90.170.030.040.050.050.070.37Guatemala
El Salvador6.486293416005312814.11:24.20.440.020.020.020.020.030.22El Salvador
Nicaragua6.4611187024637012.41:8.00.330.040.040.060.060.160.19Nicaragua
Central America174.9714790438270144889514615.21:6.60.640.10.110.120.140.162.24Central America

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt