COVID-19 - Central Asia - 20-06-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Central Asia is a Group with the following members:
Kazakhstan - Kyrgyzstan - Tajikistan - Turkmenistan - Uzbekistan

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 23032 31.0 407 1.8% 2.02%
Active cases 8546 11.5 40 0.47% -1.12%
Deaths 140 0.2 2 1.45% 3.04%
Recovered 1434619.33652.61%3.61%
Deaths per infected 0.61%
Recovered per infected62.29%
Active per infected 37.1%
Deaths per recovered 0.98%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
0.05%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 38d 21h 34d 14h
Time to reach a million cases 211d 12h188d 6h
Time to saturate the population>1yr >1yr

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 88 72
Active na 76 128
Deaths na 131 33
Recovered na 88 44
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Central Asia

Kazakhstan - Kyrgyzstan - Tajikistan - Turkmenistan - Uzbekistan

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Kazakhstan18.6671251153235371352.05-1.114.954.3534d 3h14d 8h67.028.50.338.20.71:135.10.57
Uzbekistan34.08140948091732682.03-1.991.332.5934d 10h52d 7h12.02.40.09.60.51:192.30.8
Kyrgyzstan6.52419745922213601.67-1.526.782.5741d 19h10d 13h30.39.10.320.81.61:61.70.69
Tajikistan9.28445318224825832.1-0.480.433.6133d 7h163d 5h48.019.60.527.81.91:53.80.58
Central Asia74.41230328546140143462.02-1.123.043.6134d 14h23d 4h31.011.50.219.31.01:102.00.62

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Kazakhstan18.6671251153235371350.71:135.10.570.00.00.00.010.010.08Kazakhstan
Uzbekistan34.08140948091732680.51:192.30.80.00.00.00.00.010.01Uzbekistan
Kyrgyzstan6.52419745922213601.61:61.70.690.010.010.010.010.020.09Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan9.28445318224825831.91:53.80.580.010.010.010.010.020.14Tajikistan
Central Asia74.41230328546140143461.01:102.00.620.010.010.010.010.010.05Central Asia

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt