COVID-19 - Ecuador - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Ecuador is included in the following groups: South America - America - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - WHO Region of the Americas
Ecuador has a landborder to: Colombia - Peru

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 189534 1086.2 1396 0.74% 0.42%
Active cases 12167 69.7 1354 12.52% 5.15%
Deaths 13358 76.6 42 0.32% 0.17%
Recovered 164009940.000.0%0.0%
Deaths per infected 7.05%
Recovered per infected86.53%
Active per infected 6.42%
Deaths per recovered 8.14%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
20.69%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 93d 18h 167d 0h
Time to reach a million cases 224d 23h>1yr
Time to saturate the population>1yr stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 192Population 66
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected 40 74 129
Active 71 85 15
Deaths 20 18 108
Recovered 33 55 160
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Neighbours of Ecuador

Colombia - Peru

Ecuador in its groups

South America - America - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - WHO Region of the Americas

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt