COVID-19 - North America - 20-08-02

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

North America is a Group with the following members:
Canada - US

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 4786709 1302.7 47756 1.01% 1.4%
Active cases 3050982 830.3 40406 1.34% 1.1%
Deaths 163850 44.6 417 0.26% 0.66%
Recovered 1571877427.869330.44%1.45%
Deaths per infected 3.42%
Recovered per infected32.84%
Active per infected 63.74%
Deaths per recovered 10.42%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
12.05%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 69d 3h 49d 20h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population>1yr 312d 6h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 10 69
Active na 1 87
Deaths na 11 81
Recovered na 26 57
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: North America

Canada - US

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
US329.4884667954304440515486014686891.431.10.691.5348d 21h100d 16h1416.7924.047.0445.710.51:9.50.31
Canada37.965118755657789901031880.320.760.060.27215d 0hstable312.817.323.7271.88.71:11.50.87
North America367.454786709305098216385015718771.41.10.661.4549d 20h106d 1h1302.7830.344.6427.810.41:9.60.33

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
US329.48846679543044405154860146868910.51:9.50.310.030.030.040.040.0412.7US
Canada37.965118755657789901031888.71:11.50.870.080.080.080.080.086.4Canada
North America367.4547867093050982163850157187710.41:9.60.330.030.040.040.040.0412.05North America

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt