COVID-19 - Western Asia - 20-08-02

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Western Asia is a Group with the following members:
Armenia - Azerbaijan - Bahrain - Cyprus - Georgia - Iraq - Israel - Jordan - Kuwait - Lebanon - Oman - Qatar - Saudi Arabia - Syria - Turkey - United Arab Emirates - West Bank and Gaza - Yemen

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 1169127 427.5 7489 0.64% 0.83%
Active cases 167667 61.3 -2027 -1.19% -1.58%
Deaths 17552 6.4 147 0.84% 0.71%
Recovered 983908359.893690.96%1.13%
Deaths per infected 1.5%
Recovered per infected84.16%
Active per infected 14.34%
Deaths per recovered 1.78%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
1.73%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 107d 20h 84d 5h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the populationstable >1yr

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 43 98
Active na 56 151
Deaths na 52 78
Recovered na 31 72
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Western Asia

Armenia - Azerbaijan - Bahrain - Cyprus - Georgia - Iraq - Israel - Jordan - Kuwait - Lebanon - Oman - Qatar - Saudi Arabia - Syria - Turkey - United Arab Emirates - West Bank and Gaza - Yemen

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Israel9.1757281526602536456771.9-3.871.617.6536d 18h43d 8h793.7290.05.8497.91.21:85.50.63
Qatar2.74711110731511771077790.220.310.830.18311d 23h84d 3h4044.2114.76.43923.10.21:625.00.97
Turkey83.1552328561063457282164940.42-0.250.230.37163d 16h302d 8h280.012.86.9260.32.61:37.70.93
Bahrain1.543415362723147386660.8-2.560.840.9187d 7h82d 20h2691.4176.49.52505.40.41:263.20.93
Saudi Arabia34.2182788353583729172400810.58-2.630.691.04118d 20h100d 2h814.9104.78.5701.61.21:82.00.86
Iraq39.128129151323974868918862.31.891.171.9630d 11h59d 15h330.182.812.4234.85.31:18.90.71
Lebanon6.825488530286217954.05.322.50.5917d 16h28d 1h71.644.40.926.33.51:29.00.37
Kuwait4.42679118241457592130.84-1.250.51.083d 8h140d 8h1536.4186.410.31339.60.81:129.90.87
United Arab Emirates9.89609996033351546150.48-0.440.230.51143d 15h301d 20h616.761.03.5552.20.61:156.20.9
Armenia2.958390508546754297500.75-2.20.831.5793d 7h84d 5h1320.4289.025.51005.92.51:39.50.76
Jordan10.64112131031110990.52-4.230.00.98133d 13h11.41.00.110.31.01:100.00.91
Cyprus0.8751150275198561.525.390.00.046d 2h131.431.42.297.82.21:45.00.74
Oman4.6657915917317421614210.32-1.730.930.96216d 8h74d 12h1696.9371.29.01316.70.71:144.90.78
Azerbaijan10.067324434868462271131.01-4.311.12.1169d 1h63d 10h322.348.44.6269.31.71:58.80.84
Georgia3.7241177205179550.550.51.250.43125d 14h55d 19h31.65.50.525.61.81:56.20.81
Syria17.5809509442563.132.911.481.5222d 11h47d 7h4.62.90.31.517.21:5.80.32
West Bank and Gaza3.71229768238453902.39-0.881.07.7529d 9h69d 20h332.4184.42.3145.71.61:64.10.44
Yemen28.2517343754978620.36-0.260.410.52191d 21h168d 21h6.11.31.83.157.71:1.70.5
Western Asia273.481169127167667175529839080.83-1.580.711.1384d 5h98d 15h427.561.36.4359.81.81:56.20.84

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Israel9.1757281526602536456771.21:85.50.630.010.010.010.010.011.58Israel
Qatar2.74711110731511771077790.21:625.00.970.00.00.00.00.01.74Qatar
Turkey83.1552328561063457282164942.61:37.70.930.020.030.030.030.031.86Turkey
Bahrain1.543415362723147386660.41:263.20.930.00.00.00.00.02.57Bahrain
Saudi Arabia34.2182788353583729172400811.21:82.00.860.010.010.010.010.012.3Saudi Arabia
Iraq39.128129151323974868918865.31:18.90.710.040.040.040.050.053.36Iraq
Lebanon6.825488530286217953.51:29.00.370.010.010.020.020.020.25Lebanon
Kuwait4.42679118241457592130.81:129.90.870.010.010.010.010.012.79Kuwait
United Arab Emirates9.89609996033351546150.61:156.20.90.010.010.010.010.010.96United Arab Emirates
Armenia2.958390508546754297502.51:39.50.760.020.020.020.020.026.89Armenia
Jordan10.64112131031110991.01:100.00.910.010.010.010.010.010.03Jordan
Cyprus0.8751150275198562.21:45.00.740.020.020.020.020.020.59Cyprus
Oman4.6657915917317421614210.71:144.90.780.010.010.010.010.012.44Oman
Azerbaijan10.067324434868462271131.71:58.80.840.010.010.020.020.021.24Azerbaijan
Georgia3.7241177205179551.81:56.20.810.010.010.010.020.020.12Georgia
Syria17.58095094425617.21:5.80.320.050.060.070.070.080.07Syria
West Bank and Gaza3.71229768238453901.61:64.10.440.010.010.010.010.010.61West Bank and Gaza
Yemen28.25173437549786257.71:1.70.50.290.290.290.30.310.48Yemen
Western Asia273.481169127167667175529839081.81:56.20.840.010.020.020.020.021.73Western Asia

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt