COVID-19 - Western Europe - 20-08-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Western Europe is a Group with the following members:
Austria - Belgium - France - Germany - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Monaco - Netherlands - Switzerland

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 640921 324.7 5610 0.88% 0.53%
Active cases 229626 116.3 4260 1.89% 0.65%
Deaths 58351 29.6 17 0.03% 0.03%
Recovered 352944178.813330.38%0.22%
Deaths per infected 9.1%
Recovered per infected55.07%
Active per infected 35.83%
Deaths per recovered 16.53%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
7.99%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 78d 20h 131d 9h
Time to reach a million cases 50d 14h84d 8h
Time to saturate the population>1yr stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 60 114
Active na 39 71
Deaths na 19 120
Recovered na 57 135
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Western Europe

Austria - Belgium - France - Germany - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Monaco - Netherlands - Switzerland

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Germany83.1492150391057791811952810.382.440.050.2182d 22hstable258.612.711.0234.94.71:21.30.91
France67.06923131011841030308825920.540.50.020.13128d 21hstable344.9176.545.2123.136.71:2.70.36
Switzerland8.5873610825231985316000.391.980.030.19178d 0hstable420.529.423.1368.06.31:15.90.88
Netherlands17.447574655105761732350.870.70.020.779d 17hstable329.4292.635.41.32626.826.3:10.0
Austria8.903216961381719195960.45-2.560.030.58153d 14hstable243.715.58.1220.13.71:27.20.9
Belgium11.52472016444559861177000.740.780.030.193d 16hstable624.9385.785.6153.655.71:1.80.25
Luxembourg0.6147073120411957500.81-2.750.341.6385d 17h202d 5h1152.1196.119.4936.62.11:48.30.81
Western Europe197.37640921229626583513529440.530.650.030.22131d 9hstable324.7116.329.6178.816.51:6.00.55

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Germany83.1492150391057791811952814.71:21.30.910.040.040.040.040.042.98Germany
France67.069231310118410303088259236.71:2.70.360.130.130.130.140.1412.21France
Switzerland8.5873610825231985316006.31:15.90.880.060.060.060.060.066.25Switzerland
Netherlands17.447574655105761732352626.826.3:10.00.110.110.110.120.129.56Netherlands
Austria8.903216961381719195963.71:27.20.90.030.030.030.030.042.18Austria
Belgium11.524720164445598611770055.71:1.80.250.140.140.140.150.1523.13Belgium
Luxembourg0.6147073120411957502.11:48.30.810.020.020.020.020.025.24Luxembourg
Western Europe197.376409212296265835135294416.51:6.00.550.090.090.090.10.17.99Western Europe

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt