COVID-19 - Central Asia - 20-06-03

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Central Asia is a Group with the following members:
Kazakhstan - Kyrgyzstan - Tajikistan - Turkmenistan - Uzbekistan

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 21972 29.5 696 3.27% 3.23%
Active cases 8974 12.1 106 1.2% 2.13%
Deaths 132 0.2 9 7.32% 1.54%
Recovered 1286617.35814.73%2.93%
Deaths per infected 0.6%
Recovered per infected58.56%
Active per infected 40.84%
Deaths per recovered 1.03%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
0.05%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 21d 12h 21d 19h
Time to reach a million cases 118d 14h120d 5h
Time to saturate the population252d 11h 255d 23h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 87 50
Active na 80 62
Deaths na 131 54
Recovered na 86 48
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Central Asia

Kazakhstan - Kyrgyzstan - Tajikistan - Turkmenistan - Uzbekistan

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Kazakhstan18.6671206757794862403.972.973.563.2917d 18h19d 20h64.631.00.333.40.81:129.90.52
Uzbekistan34.08138438131630142.082.921.431.2933d 17h48d 20h11.32.40.08.80.51:188.70.78
Kyrgyzstan6.52418715862012652.41.921.252.3229d 4h55d 19h28.79.00.319.41.61:63.30.68
Tajikistan9.28419117964823472.6-0.360.04.6526d 23h45.219.40.525.32.01:48.80.56
Central Asia74.41219728974132128663.232.131.542.9321d 19h45d 9h29.512.10.217.31.01:97.10.59

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Kazakhstan18.6671206757794862400.81:129.90.520.00.00.010.010.010.07Kazakhstan
Uzbekistan34.08138438131630140.51:188.70.780.00.00.00.010.010.01Uzbekistan
Kyrgyzstan6.52418715862012651.61:63.30.680.010.010.010.010.020.08Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan9.28419117964823472.01:48.80.560.010.010.010.020.020.14Tajikistan
Central Asia74.41219728974132128661.01:97.10.590.010.010.010.010.010.05Central Asia

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt