COVID-19 - Central Asia - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Central Asia is a Group with the following members:
Kazakhstan - Kyrgyzstan - Tajikistan - Turkmenistan - Uzbekistan

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 286182 384.6 968 0.34% 0.49%
Active cases 21995 29.6 157 0.72% 0.13%
Deaths 3939 5.3 0 0.0% 0.38%
Recovered 260248349.78110.31%0.45%
Deaths per infected 1.38%
Recovered per infected90.94%
Active per infected 7.69%
Deaths per recovered 1.51%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
1.43%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 204d 13h 141d 18h
Time to reach a million cases >1yr255d 21h
Time to saturate the populationstable stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 192Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 102 115
Active na 102 110
Deaths na 102 84
Recovered na 89 86
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Central Asia

Kazakhstan - Kyrgyzstan - Tajikistan - Turkmenistan - Uzbekistan

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Kazakhstan18.6671300391200519901160440.60.710.460.45114d 23h150d 3h696.664.310.7621.61.71:58.50.89
Uzbekistan34.081725132126607697800.25-0.50.130.24278d 17h>1yr212.86.21.8204.70.91:114.90.96
Kyrgyzstan6.5247154873461256629460.56-0.510.40.69124d 4h172d 5h1096.8112.619.3964.92.01:50.00.88
Tajikistan9.281208251886114780.31-0.60.00.29220d 23h130.25.60.9123.70.81:133.30.95
Central Asia74.412861822199539392602480.490.130.380.45141d 18h182d 0h384.629.65.3349.71.51:66.20.91

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Kazakhstan18.6671300391200519901160441.71:58.50.890.020.020.020.020.022.88Kazakhstan
Uzbekistan34.081725132126607697800.91:114.90.960.010.010.010.010.010.48Uzbekistan
Kyrgyzstan6.5247154873461256629462.01:50.00.880.020.020.020.020.025.2Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan9.281208251886114780.81:133.30.950.010.010.010.010.010.25Tajikistan
Central Asia74.412861822199539392602481.51:66.20.910.010.010.010.010.011.43Central Asia

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt