COVID-19 - Jordan - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Jordan is included in the following groups: Western Asia - Asia - UNR Asia and the Pacific Group - WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region
Jordan has a landborder to: Iraq - Israel - Saudi Arabia - Syria - West Bank and Gaza

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 207601 1951.0 4580 2.26% 2.51%
Active cases 64631 607.4 -231 -0.36% -0.69%
Deaths 2570 24.2 61 2.43% 2.34%
Recovered 1404001319.547503.5%3.55%
Deaths per infected 1.24%
Recovered per infected67.63%
Active per infected 31.13%
Deaths per recovered 1.83%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
6.53%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 31d 1h 27d 23h
Time to reach a million cases 70d 11h63d 11h
Time to saturate the population176d 11h 159d 0h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 192Population 87
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected 38 47 15
Active 31 39 150
Deaths 47 56 17
Recovered 37 40 8
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Neighbours of Jordan

Iraq - Israel - Saudi Arabia - Syria - West Bank and Gaza

Jordan in its groups

Western Asia - Asia - UNR Asia and the Pacific Group - WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt