COVID-19 - Malaysia - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Malaysia is included in the following groups: ASEAN - Southeastern Asia - Asia - UNR Asia and the Pacific Group - WHO Western Pacific Region
Malaysia has a landborder to: Brunei - Indonesia - Thailand

	absolute	cases per 100.000	abs. development 1 day	rel. development 1 day	rel. development 5 days/average
Total infections	61861	189.0	1109	1.83%	2.47%
Active cases	11307	34.6	-41	-0.36%	-2.13%
Deaths	350	1.1	2	0.57%	0.77%
Recovered	50204	153.4	1148	2.34%	3.37%

Deaths per infected	0.57%
Recovered per infected	81.16%
Active per infected	18.28%
Deaths per recovered	0.7%
Projection: Total Case Percentage	0.29%

	Last days rate	Last average rate
Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Time to double cases	38d 7h	28d 10h
Time to reach a million cases	153d 20h	114d 3h
Time to saturate the population	346d 15h	257d 6h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total:	192	Population	42
	Total cases	Cases per 100.000	Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected	83	109	16
Active	74	99	162
Deaths	96	137	53
Recovered	74	106	9
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Neighbours of Malaysia

Brunei - Indonesia - Thailand

Malaysia in its groups

ASEAN - Southeastern Asia - Asia - UNR Asia and the Pacific Group - WHO Western Pacific Region

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt