COVID-19 - North America - 20-08-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

North America is a Group with the following members:
Canada - US

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 5003953 1361.8 60046 1.21% 1.09%
Active cases 3131786 852.3 37115 1.2% 0.55%
Deaths 168878 46.0 1857 1.11% 0.44%
Recovered 1703289463.5210741.25%1.46%
Deaths per infected 3.37%
Recovered per infected34.04%
Active per infected 62.59%
Deaths per recovered 9.91%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
12.42%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 57d 9h 63d 16h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population355d 21h >1yr

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 10 79
Active na 1 76
Deaths na 11 86
Recovered na 25 58
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: North America

Canada - US

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
US329.4884883579312509015986515986241.110.550.461.5562d 13h151d 17h1482.2948.548.5485.210.01:10.00.33
Canada37.965120374669690131046650.310.560.050.25222d 0hstable317.117.623.7275.78.61:11.60.87
North America367.455003953313178616887817032891.090.550.441.4663d 16h159d 9h1361.8852.346.0463.59.91:10.10.34

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
US329.48848835793125090159865159862410.01:10.00.330.030.030.030.040.0413.11US
Canada37.965120374669690131046658.61:11.60.870.070.080.080.080.086.42Canada
North America367.455003953313178616887817032899.91:10.10.340.030.040.040.040.0412.42North America

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt