COVID-19 - Uruguay - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Uruguay is included in the following groups: South America - America - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - WHO Region of the Americas
Uruguay has a landborder to: Argentina - Brazil

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 5303 150.7 186 3.63% 2.45%
Active cases 1122 31.9 100 9.78% 1.52%
Deaths 74 2.1 0 0.0% 0.83%
Recovered 4107116.7862.14%1.8%
Deaths per infected 1.4%
Recovered per infected77.45%
Active per infected 21.16%
Deaths per recovered 1.8%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
0.57%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 19d 9h 28d 15h
Time to reach a million cases 146d 17h216d 10h
Time to saturate the population181d 23h 268d 9h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 192Population 131
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected 138 116 17
Active 114 102 57
Deaths 138 120 48
Recovered 134 112 35
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Neighbours of Uruguay

Argentina - Brazil

Uruguay in its groups

South America - America - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - WHO Region of the Americas

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt