COVID-19 - Argentina - 20-08-04

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Argentina is included in the following groups: G20 - South America - America - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - WHO Region of the Americas
Argentina has a landborder to: Bolivia - Brazil - Chile - Paraguay - Uruguay

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 213535 475.2 6792 3.29% 2.89%
Active cases 115427 256.9 3799 3.4% 1.97%
Deaths 3979 8.9 166 4.35% 2.09%
Recovered 94129209.528273.1%2.56%
Deaths per infected 1.86%
Recovered per infected44.08%
Active per infected 54.06%
Deaths per recovered 4.23%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
2.39%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 21d 10h 24d 8h
Time to reach a million cases 47d 18h54d 5h
Time to saturate the population165d 11h 187d 22h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population 31
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected 19 41 29
Active 11 20 59
Deaths 27 44 30
Recovered 21 55 29
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Neighbours of Argentina

Bolivia - Brazil - Chile - Paraguay - Uruguay

Argentina in its groups

G20 - South America - America - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - WHO Region of the Americas

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt