COVID-19 - Caribbean - 20-08-02

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Caribbean is a Group with the following members:
Antigua and Barbuda - Bahamas - Barbados - Cape Verde - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Haiti - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Trinidad and Tobago

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 88607 224.6 1136 1.3% 2.11%
Active cases 37998 96.3 357 0.95% 0.92%
Deaths 1492 3.8 11 0.74% 1.14%
Recovered 49117124.57681.59%2.64%
Deaths per infected 1.68%
Recovered per infected55.43%
Active per infected 42.88%
Deaths per recovered 3.04%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
1.02%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 53d 17h 33d 5h
Time to reach a million cases 187d 19h116d 4h
Time to saturate the population>1yr 292d 7h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 69 45
Active na 46 91
Deaths na 73 51
Recovered na 66 30
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Caribbean

Antigua and Barbuda - Bahamas - Barbados - Cape Verde - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Haiti - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Trinidad and Tobago

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Dominican Republic10.35872243328211178382442.250.741.233.2631d 4h56d 18h697.4316.911.4369.23.11:32.50.53
Cuba11.2126461908723690.79.560.00.1398d 19h23.61.70.821.13.71:27.20.9
Jamaica2.727894139127430.91.480.00.5277d 10h32.85.10.427.21.61:61.70.83
Maldives0.375416415031826433.537.132.580.5220d 0h27d 4h1111.0401.04.8705.20.71:147.10.63
Trinidad and Tobago1.3641824281323.5614.910.00.6219d 20h13.33.10.69.76.11:16.50.73
Barbados0.287132277983.8223.850.00.8418d 11h46.09.42.434.17.11:14.00.74
Bahamas0.38564854314917.877.765.450.09d 3h13d 1h168.3141.03.623.615.41:6.50.14
Haiti11.587468269716546060.35-0.850.881.09200d 4h79d 13h64.523.31.439.83.61:27.90.62
Caribbean39.4588607379981492491172.110.921.142.6433d 5h61d 9h224.696.33.8124.53.01:32.90.55

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Dominican Republic10.35872243328211178382443.11:32.50.530.020.020.020.020.023.07Dominican Republic
Cuba11.2126461908723693.71:27.20.90.030.030.030.040.040.21Cuba
Jamaica2.727894139127431.61:61.70.830.010.010.010.010.010.12Jamaica
Maldives0.375416415031826430.71:147.10.630.00.010.010.010.011.3Maldives
Trinidad and Tobago1.3641824281326.11:16.50.730.040.050.050.060.060.16Trinidad and Tobago
Barbados0.287132277987.11:14.00.740.050.060.060.060.070.66Barbados
Bahamas0.385648543149115.41:6.50.140.020.030.040.040.080.98Bahamas
Haiti11.587468269716546063.61:27.90.620.020.020.020.020.020.39Haiti
Caribbean39.4588607379981492491173.01:32.90.550.020.020.020.020.021.02Caribbean

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt