COVID-19 - UNR Western European and Others Group - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Western European and Others Group is a Group with the following members:
Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 24983525 2728.1 380291 1.55% 1.33%
Active cases 15895294 1735.7 214349 1.37% 0.69%
Deaths 568109 62.0 5298 0.94% 0.76%
Recovered 8520122930.41606441.92%1.67%
Deaths per infected 2.27%
Recovered per infected34.1%
Active per infected 63.62%
Deaths per recovered 6.67%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
16.77%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 45d 4h 52d 13h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population234d 19h 273d 4h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 192Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 30 57
Active na 9 81
Deaths na 24 54
Recovered na 55 35
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Western European and Others Group

Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.2431538217787893536776966471.77-0.251.193.6539d 10h58d 16h2553.31307.889.11156.47.71:13.00.45
Spain47.116282081433164446681503760.90.850.810.077d 3h85d 18h3456.93042.894.8319.329.71:3.40.09
Germany83.1491038649317425160117052132.180.672.012.3132d 1h34d 17h1249.1381.819.3848.12.31:44.10.68
US329.48813088821787651726485849474461.340.750.511.4852d 2h136d 17h3972.52390.580.41501.65.31:18.70.38
France67.06922482092030717519991654930.520.360.90.82134d 20h77d 5h3352.13027.877.5246.831.41:3.20.07
Switzerland8.5873182909161945712221001.84-2.812.154.0438d 0h32d 14h3706.81067.053.22586.62.11:48.50.7
United Kingdom66.436159325015321405764834621.00.820.720.7969d 12h96d 17h2398.22306.286.85.21665.216.7:10.0
Netherlands17.447517045500849934368530.990.760.650.4770d 15h107d 16h2963.62870.753.639.3136.31.4:10.01
Austria8.9032709926485528862032511.86-2.383.053.0237d 16h23d 2h3044.0728.532.42283.11.41:70.40.75
Belgium11.52457082955449016339311300.430.30.760.0162d 9h91d 16h4953.24811.4141.80.052.51:1.90.05
Norway5.3683519316867328179981.442.60.650.048d 11h107d 11h655.7314.26.1335.31.81:54.90.51
Sweden10.334243129236448668149713.182.660.670.022d 3h104d 5h2352.82288.264.70.0134.41.3:10.02
Denmark5.8237723615592816608281.71.230.681.3941d 4h102d 5h1326.4267.814.01044.71.31:74.60.79
Canada37.96536260459467119162912211.662.120.541.242d 1h127d 18h955.1156.631.4767.14.11:24.40.8
Portugal10.2772858388211642761994461.85-0.391.562.3337d 17h44d 21h2781.4799.141.61940.82.11:46.70.7
Australia25.653278861394907255850.04-0.060.00.03stable108.75.43.599.73.51:28.20.92
Israel9.175333802961728393213460.32.770.250.18235d 2h278d 17h3638.3104.830.93502.60.91:113.60.96
Ireland4.92171699462922043233640.350.450.130.0198d 23h>1yr1456.9940.641.5474.78.71:11.40.33
Greece10.725101287761112102230742.032.14.210.034d 12h16d 19h944.4709.719.6215.29.11:11.00.23
Finland5.528237666573393168001.890.460.691.9636d 22h101d 1h430.0118.97.1303.92.31:42.70.71
Turkey83.155548244142437131913926164.2312.421.040.7416d 17h66d 22h659.3171.315.9472.13.41:29.80.72
Luxembourg0.614334099036300240732.35-0.612.53.2429d 21h28d 1h5442.11471.948.93921.31.21:80.00.72
Iceland0.36453461762651440.26-4.110.00.33266d 17h1468.748.47.11413.20.51:196.10.96
Malta0.4949501207612872971.26-0.382.411.4955d 7h29d 1h1924.8420.625.91478.31.81:57.10.77
New Zealand4.9722050692519560.24.990.00.03353d 7h41.21.40.539.31.31:78.10.95
UNR Western European and Others Group915.79249835251589529456810985201221.330.690.761.6752d 13h91d 17h2728.11735.762.0930.46.71:15.00.34

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.2431538217787893536776966477.71:13.00.450.030.040.040.040.0524.08Italy
Spain47.1162820814331644466815037629.71:3.40.090.030.030.030.030.0325.63Spain
Germany83.1491038649317425160117052132.31:44.10.680.020.020.020.020.025.2Germany
US329.48813088821787651726485849474465.31:18.70.380.020.020.020.020.0221.73US
France67.069224820920307175199916549331.41:3.20.070.020.020.020.020.0320.95France
Switzerland8.5873182909161945712221002.11:48.50.70.010.020.020.020.0214.39Switzerland
United Kingdom66.436159325015321405764834621665.216.7:10.00.040.040.040.040.0423.45United Kingdom
Netherlands17.44751704550084993436853136.31.4:10.010.020.020.020.020.0214.47Netherlands
Austria8.9032709926485528862032511.41:70.40.750.010.010.010.010.018.76Austria
Belgium11.524570829554490163393113052.51:1.90.050.030.030.030.030.0338.32Belgium
Norway5.3683519316867328179981.81:54.90.510.010.010.010.010.011.65Norway
Sweden10.33424312923644866814971134.41.3:10.020.030.030.030.030.0417.47Sweden
Denmark5.8237723615592816608281.31:74.60.790.010.010.010.010.013.79Denmark
Canada37.96536260459467119162912214.11:24.40.80.030.030.040.040.048.48Canada
Portugal10.2772858388211642761994462.11:46.70.70.010.020.020.020.0211.25Portugal
Australia25.653278861394907255853.51:28.20.920.030.030.030.030.030.96Australia
Israel9.175333802961728393213460.91:113.60.960.010.010.010.010.018.36Israel
Ireland4.92171699462922043233648.71:11.40.330.030.030.030.030.0311.22Ireland
Greece10.725101287761112102230749.11:11.00.230.020.020.020.030.035.3Greece
Finland5.528237666573393168002.31:42.70.710.020.020.020.020.021.92Finland
Turkey83.155548244142437131913926163.41:29.80.720.020.030.030.030.034.29Turkey
Luxembourg0.614334099036300240731.21:80.00.720.010.010.010.010.0113.21Luxembourg
Iceland0.36453461762651440.51:196.10.960.00.00.00.00.011.93Iceland
Malta0.4949501207612872971.81:57.10.770.010.010.010.020.027.01Malta
New Zealand4.9722050692519561.31:78.10.950.010.010.010.010.010.14New Zealand
UNR Western European and Others Group915.79249835251589529456810985201226.71:15.00.340.020.020.020.030.0316.77UNR Western European and Others Group

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt