COVID-19 - Western Africa - 20-06-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Western Africa is a Group with the following members:
Benin - Burkina Faso - Cote d'Ivoire - Gambia - Ghana - Guinea - Guinea-Bissau - Liberia - Mali - Niger - Nigeria - Senegal - Sierra Leone - Togo

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 40432 10.5 1032 2.62% 2.63%
Active cases 21306 5.5 156 0.74% 1.25%
Deaths 807 0.2 17 2.15% 1.68%
Recovered 183194.88594.92%3.23%
Deaths per infected 2.0%
Recovered per infected45.31%
Active per infected 52.7%
Deaths per recovered 4.41%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
0.06%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 26d 19h 26d 17h
Time to reach a million cases 124d 1h123d 15h
Time to saturate the population354d 8h 353d 2h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 136 56
Active na 106 71
Deaths na 129 50
Recovered na 128 53
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Western Africa

Benin - Burkina Faso - Cote d'Ivoire - Gambia - Ghana - Guinea - Guinea-Bissau - Liberia - Mali - Niger - Nigeria - Senegal - Sierra Leone - Togo

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Burkina Faso20.8788870537650.962.930.01.172d 10h4.30.30.33.76.91:14.40.86
Senegal16.209424916904725122.59-0.051.414.1627d 2h49d 15h26.210.40.315.51.91:53.50.59
Nigeria206.1412233806534238262.951.782.193.4523d 20h31d 22h5.93.90.21.98.91:11.20.31
Ghana30.281946258714435473.232.213.223.2921d 18h21d 21h31.219.40.111.71.21:80.60.37
Cote d'Ivoire23.74355717713617503.814.351.781.8118d 12h39d 5h15.07.50.27.42.11:48.50.49
Liberia4.475345130301853.123.132.172.0722d 13h32d 7h7.72.90.74.116.21:6.20.54
Benin11.73326110731511.483.010.00.5447d 7h2.20.90.01.32.01:50.30.58
Togo7.538487234132401.921.660.02.2636d 9h6.53.10.23.25.41:18.50.49
Niger22.31597038658670.25-4.730.00.45278d 8h4.30.20.33.97.51:13.30.89
Guinea12.218411712372328571.38-4.020.04.5950d 12h33.710.10.223.40.81:123.50.69
Guinea-Bissau1.8613681203121530.43-1.1710.037.74160d 8h7d 6h73.564.70.68.27.81:12.80.11
Mali18.431523588908452.993.432.251.8723d 12h31d 4h8.33.20.54.610.71:9.40.55
Sierra Leone7.08946298486001.81-2.10.434.2938d 14h159d 18h13.44.20.78.58.01:12.50.63
Western Africa385.244043221306807183192.631.251.683.2326d 17h41d 13h10.55.50.24.84.41:22.70.45

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Burkina Faso20.8788870537656.91:14.40.860.060.060.060.060.070.07Burkina Faso
Senegal16.209424916904725121.91:53.50.590.010.010.010.010.020.08Senegal
Nigeria206.1412233806534238268.91:11.20.310.030.030.030.040.040.04Nigeria
Ghana30.281946258714435471.21:80.60.370.00.010.010.010.010.04Ghana
Cote d'Ivoire23.74355717713617502.11:48.50.490.010.010.010.010.020.04Cote d'Ivoire
Liberia4.4753451303018516.21:6.20.540.090.10.10.110.110.18Liberia
Benin11.73326110731512.01:50.30.580.010.010.010.010.020.01Benin
Togo7.538487234132405.41:18.50.490.030.030.030.030.030.05Togo
Niger22.31597038658677.51:13.30.890.070.070.070.070.070.08Niger
Guinea12.218411712372328570.81:123.50.690.010.010.010.010.010.05Guinea
Guinea-Bissau1.8613681203121537.81:12.80.110.010.010.010.010.010.17Guinea-Bissau
Mali18.4315235889084510.71:9.40.550.060.070.070.080.090.13Mali
Sierra Leone7.08946298486008.01:12.50.630.050.050.060.060.070.18Sierra Leone
Western Africa385.244043221306807183194.41:22.70.450.020.020.020.030.030.06Western Africa

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt