COVID-19 - Caribbean - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Caribbean is a Group with the following members:
Antigua and Barbuda - Bahamas - Barbados - Cape Verde - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Haiti - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Trinidad and Tobago

Go to the data tables

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 197651 501.0 1047 0.53% 0.47%
Active cases 35282 89.4 637 1.84% 0.93%
Deaths 3279 8.3 11 0.34% 0.12%
Recovered 159090403.33990.25%0.25%
Deaths per infected 1.66%
Recovered per infected80.49%
Active per infected 17.85%
Deaths per recovered 2.06%
Total Case Percentage

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 130d 12h 147d 9h
Time to reach a million cases 305d 5h344d 17h
Time to saturate the populationstable stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 192Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 95 119
Active na 83 72
Deaths na 87 117
Recovered na 87 113
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!


Members of Group: Caribbean

Antigua and Barbuda - Bahamas - Barbados - Cape Verde - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Haiti - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Trinidad and Tobago

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Dominican Republic10.3581417772563623241138170.481.150.060.2144d 0hstable1368.7247.522.41098.82.01:49.00.8
Cuba11.21811045213375250.663.260.150.44104d 16h>1yr72.
Jamaica2.72710600452125058290.610.140.830.77114d 12h83d 23h388.7165.89.2213.84.31:23.30.55
Maldives0.37512933113846117490.513.310.00.2136d 0h3450.6303.612.33134.70.41:256.40.91
Trinidad and Tobago1.364658675811857100.421.340.170.25165d 21h>1yr482.855.68.7418.62.11:48.30.87
Barbados0.2872701472490.843.480.00.4183d 5h94.14.92.486.82.81:35.60.92
Bahamas0.3857496150316358300.22-0.860.00.48311d 4h1947.0390.442.31514.32.81:35.70.78
Saint Lucia0.17924613521092.27-3.390.015.930d 22h137.775.
Caribbean39.451976513528232791590900.470.930.120.25147d 9h>1yr501.089.48.3403.32.11:48.50.8

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Dominican Republic10.3581417772563623241138172.01: Republic
Trinidad and Tobago1.364658675811857102.11:48.30.870. and Tobago
Saint Lucia0.17924613521091.81:54.60.440. Lucia

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt