COVID-19 - Caribbean - 20-08-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Caribbean is a Group with the following members:
Antigua and Barbuda - Bahamas - Barbados - Cape Verde - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Haiti - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Trinidad and Tobago

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 93867 237.9 1100 1.19% 1.42%
Active cases 40520 102.7 624 1.56% 1.18%
Deaths 1568 4.0 24 1.55% 0.84%
Recovered 51779131.34520.88%1.21%
Deaths per infected 1.67%
Recovered per infected55.16%
Active per infected 43.17%
Deaths per recovered 3.03%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
1.07%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 58d 19h 49d 2h
Time to reach a million cases 200d 16h167d 14h
Time to saturate the population>1yr >1yr

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 68 59
Active na 43 61
Deaths na 72 68
Recovered na 66 68
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Caribbean

Antigua and Barbuda - Bahamas - Barbados - Cape Verde - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Haiti - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Trinidad and Tobago

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Dominican Republic10.35876536347511246405391.40.960.881.3650d 0h79d 8h738.9335.512.0391.43.11:32.60.53
Cuba11.2127752788824091.066.290.230.2465d 22h301d 20h24.82.50.821.53.61:27.40.87
Jamaica2.727958201127451.655.684.00.0542d 10h17d 16h35.17.40.427.31.61:62.10.78
Maldives0.375468019361927253.467.352.290.6820d 8h30d 15h1248.7516.55.1727.10.71:142.90.58
Trinidad and Tobago1.3642106781353.9812.140.00.4517d 18h15.44.90.69.95.91:16.90.64
Barbados0.2871332671001.7911.020.00.4139d 1h46.39.12.434.87.01:14.30.75
Bahamas0.38576165614914.935.560.00.014d 9h197.7170.43.623.615.41:6.50.12
Haiti11.587582257917148320.3-1.140.720.98228d 12h96d 3h65.522.31.541.73.51:28.20.64
Caribbean39.4593867405201568517791.421.180.841.2149d 2h82d 22h237.9102.74.0131.33.01:33.00.55

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Dominican Republic10.35876536347511246405393.11:32.60.530.020.020.020.020.023.25Dominican Republic
Cuba11.2127752788824093.61:27.40.870.030.030.030.030.040.21Cuba
Jamaica2.727958201127451.61:62.10.780.010.010.010.010.010.12Jamaica
Maldives0.375468019361927250.71:142.90.580.00.00.00.010.011.37Maldives
Trinidad and Tobago1.3642106781355.91:16.90.640.040.040.050.050.060.16Trinidad and Tobago
Barbados0.2871332671007.01:14.30.750.050.050.060.060.060.66Barbados
Bahamas0.385761656149115.41:6.50.120.020.020.020.030.040.98Bahamas
Haiti11.587582257917148323.51:28.20.640.020.020.020.020.020.4Haiti
Caribbean39.4593867405201568517793.01:33.00.550.020.020.020.020.021.07Caribbean

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt