COVID-19 - Caribbean - 20-10-09

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Caribbean is a Group with the following members:
Antigua and Barbuda - Bahamas - Barbados - Cape Verde - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Haiti - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Trinidad and Tobago

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 160641 407.2 827 0.52% 0.57%
Active cases 33335 84.5 -212 -0.63% 0.11%
Deaths 2885 7.3 9 0.31% 0.35%
Recovered 124421315.410300.83%0.56%
Deaths per infected 1.8%
Recovered per infected77.45%
Active per infected 20.75%
Deaths per recovered 2.32%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
1.98%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 134d 7h 122d 22h
Time to reach a million cases 354d 6h324d 7h
Time to saturate the populationstable stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 78 96
Active na 67 109
Deaths na 74 80
Recovered na 74 73
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Caribbean

Antigua and Barbuda - Bahamas - Barbados - Cape Verde - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Haiti - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Trinidad and Tobago

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Dominican Republic10.358117457222312165930610.510.150.270.48134d 23h256d 14h1133.9214.620.9898.42.31:42.90.79
Cuba11.21594342212353980.46-4.770.160.86151d 22h>1yr53.03.81.148.22.31:43.90.91
Jamaica2.7277363412913231021.320.461.312.1552d 18h53d 10h270.0151.44.8113.84.31:23.50.42
Maldives0.3751080811203496540.52-0.190.00.48132d 23h2883.7298.89.12575.80.31:285.70.89
Trinidad and Tobago1.364502117828931501.06-0.411.211.5965d 14h57d 17h368.1130.66.5230.92.81:35.30.63
Barbados0.2872041571820.57.450.00.0139d 5h71.15.22.463.43.91:26.00.89
Bahamas0.3854713200410226071.350.681.231.9151d 15h56d 13h1224.2520.526.5677.13.91:25.60.55
Haiti11.588854161123070130.080.160.090.06stablestable76.513.92.060.63.31:30.50.79
Caribbean39.451606413333528851244210.570.110.350.56122d 22h197d 12h407.284.57.3315.42.31:43.10.77

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Dominican Republic10.358117457222312165930612.31:42.90.790.020.020.020.020.025.65Dominican Republic
Cuba11.21594342212353982.31:43.90.910.020.020.020.020.020.3Cuba
Jamaica2.7277363412913231024.31:23.50.420.020.020.020.020.021.31Jamaica
Maldives0.3751080811203496540.31:285.70.890.00.00.00.00.02.45Maldives
Trinidad and Tobago1.364502117828931502.81:35.30.630.020.020.020.020.021.76Trinidad and Tobago
Barbados0.2872041571823.91:26.00.890.030.040.040.040.040.66Barbados
Bahamas0.3854713200410226073.91:25.60.550.020.020.020.020.037.16Bahamas
Haiti11.588854161123070133.31:30.50.790.030.030.030.030.030.54Haiti
Caribbean39.451606413333528851244212.31:43.10.770.020.020.020.020.021.98Caribbean

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt