COVID-19 - Caribbean - 20-06-03

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Caribbean is a Group with the following members:
Antigua and Barbuda - Bahamas - Barbados - Cape Verde - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Haiti - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Trinidad and Tobago

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 25532 64.7 594 2.38% 2.37%
Active cases 10410 26.4 385 3.84% -0.34%
Deaths 693 1.8 5 0.73% 1.21%
Recovered 1442936.62041.43%3.73%
Deaths per infected 2.71%
Recovered per infected56.51%
Active per infected 40.77%
Deaths per recovered 4.8%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
0.47%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 29d 10h 29d 15h
Time to reach a million cases 155d 19h156d 19h
Time to saturate the population311d 22h 313d 23h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 61 65
Active na 50 124
Deaths na 63 58
Recovered na 59 32
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Caribbean

Antigua and Barbuda - Bahamas - Barbados - Cape Verde - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Haiti - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Trinidad and Tobago

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Dominican Republic10.358180406300516112241.76-1.811.093.6939d 15h64d 0h174.260.85.0108.44.61:21.70.62
Cuba11.2121071948318301.02.520.240.7569d 18h284d 12h18.81.70.716.34.51:22.00.87
Jamaica2.727591220103610.55-3.940.04.34126d 3h21.78.10.413.22.81:36.10.61
Maldives0.3751850119976443.09-2.327.3330.022d 19h9d 19h493.6319.91.9171.81.11:91.70.35
Trinidad and Tobago1.364117181080.1700.00.0>1yr8.60.10.67.97.41:13.50.92
Bahamas0.3851023611550.0-0.470.00.4226.59.42.914.320.01:5.00.54
Haiti11.582507243548249.817.45.351.827d 9h13d 7h21.621.00.40.2200.02.0:10.01
Caribbean39.452553210410693144292.37-0.341.213.7329d 15h57d 14h64.726.41.836.64.81:20.80.57

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Dominican Republic10.358180406300516112244.61:21.70.620.030.030.030.030.041.35Dominican Republic
Cuba11.2121071948318304.51:22.00.870.040.040.040.040.040.2Cuba
Jamaica2.727591220103612.81:36.10.610.020.020.020.020.020.1Jamaica
Maldives0.3751850119976441.11:91.70.350.00.00.00.010.010.5Maldives
Trinidad and Tobago1.364117181087.41:13.50.920.070.070.070.070.070.16Trinidad and Tobago
Bahamas0.38510236115520.01:5.00.540.110.110.110.110.110.77Bahamas
Haiti11.58250724354824200.02.0:10.010.020.030.040.050.070.11Haiti
Caribbean39.452553210410693144294.81:20.80.570.030.030.030.030.040.47Caribbean

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt