COVID-19 - Switzerland - 20-10-09

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Switzerland is included in the following groups: Female Heads of State - Western Europe - Europe - UNR Western European and Others Group - WHO European Region
Switzerland has a landborder to: Austria - France - Italy - Liechtenstein - Germany

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 60368 703.0 1487 2.53% 2.11%
Active cases 9880 115.1 1486 17.7% 5.89%
Deaths 2088 24.3 1 0.05% 0.1%
Recovered 48400563.700.0%1.12%
Deaths per infected 3.46%
Recovered per infected80.17%
Active per infected 16.37%
Deaths per recovered 4.31%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
6.57%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 27d 19h 33d 4h
Time to reach a million cases 112d 13h134d 8h
Time to saturate the population198d 18h 237d 6h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population 100
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected 56 53 25
Active 56 58 20
Deaths 40 34 119
Recovered 52 42 49
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Neighbours of Switzerland

Austria - France - Italy - Liechtenstein - Germany

Switzerland in its groups

Female Heads of State - Western Europe - Europe - UNR Western European and Others Group - WHO European Region

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt