COVID-19 - Europe - 20-06-03

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Europe is a Group with the following members:
Albania - Andorra - Armenia - Austria - Azerbaijan - Belarus - Belgium - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Georgia - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Hungary - Iceland - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Liechtenstein - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Moldova - Monaco - Netherlands - North Macedonia - Norway - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Russia - San Marino - Serbia - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Ukraine - United Kingdom

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 1962361 257.7 -56546 -2.8% 0.08%
Active cases 804398 105.6 -72345 -8.25% 0.42%
Deaths 176651 23.2 920 0.52% 0.35%
Recovered 981312128.9148791.54%0.9%
Deaths per infected 9.0%
Recovered per infected50.01%
Active per infected 40.99%
Deaths per recovered 18.0%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
6.27%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases stable
Time to reach a million cases 23d 17h
Time to saturate the population stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 33 151
Active na 26 96
Deaths na 11 91
Recovered na 35 102
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Europe

Albania - Andorra - Armenia - Austria - Azerbaijan - Belarus - Belgium - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Georgia - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Hungary - Iceland - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Liechtenstein - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Moldova - Monaco - Netherlands - North Macedonia - Norway - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Russia - San Marino - Serbia - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Ukraine - United Kingdom

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.24323383639297336011609380.14-2.860.180.93>1yr>1yr388.265.255.8267.120.91:4.80.69
Spain47.124032662822271281503760.150.440.00.0>1yrstable510.2133.457.6319.318.01:5.50.63
Germany83.149184121806686021674530.13-3.030.140.29>1yr>1yr221.49.710.3201.45.11:19.50.91
France67.069114400158032902469573-7.690.070.160.3>1yr170.623.643.3103.741.71:2.40.61
Switzerland8.587308933721921286000.04-5.380.010.14stablestable359.84.322.4333.16.71:14.90.93
United Kingdom66.4362812702402473981112120.630.470.630.88110d 18h111d 3h423.4361.659.91.83284.732.8:10.0
Netherlands17.447469394076359961800.260.240.120.22264d 11h>1yr269.0233.634.41.03331.133.3:10.0
Austria8.90316771429670156720.14-5.940.030.37>1yrstable188.44.87.5176.04.31:23.40.93
Belgium11.52458685332049522159590.210.140.160.32324d 3h>1yr509.2288.182.6138.559.71:1.70.27
Norway5.368847751323777270.131.360.080.0>1yrstable157.99.64.4144.03.11:32.60.91
Sweden10.3344080336261454249712.284.930.540.030d 17h129d 1h394.9350.944.00.091.41:1.10.12
Denmark5.82311971641580107500.3-3.210.420.47231d 8h165d 15h205.611.010.0184.65.41:18.50.9
Portugal10.27733261117351447200790.81-0.10.760.9985d 21h92d 1h323.7114.214.1195.47.21:13.90.6
Czechia10.6949438236432567490.52-0.180.250.57133d 9h277d 19h88.322.13.063.14.81:20.70.72
Ireland4.921251117541659226980.192.960.160.0>1yr>1yr510.215.333.7461.27.31:13.70.9
Greece10.7252937138417913740.190.350.460.0361d 6h151d 23h27.412.91.712.813.01:7.70.47
Finland5.5286911109032155000.42.110.380.0175d 13h182d 2h125.019.75.899.55.81:17.10.8
Poland38.38624687115581115120141.290.290.771.8754d 1h90d 8h64.330.12.931.39.31:10.80.49
Luxembourg0.61440245311038610.06-6.160.00.17stable655.58.617.9628.92.91:35.10.96
Iceland0.364180621017940.0120.00.00.0stable496.20.52.7492.90.61:178.60.99
Slovenia2.09414771010913580.051.310.190.01stable>1yr70.50.55.264.88.01:12.50.92
Romania19.4051966945731296138000.71-0.830.631.0797d 11h109d 18h101.423.66.771.19.41:10.60.7
Estonia1.32818801616916500.23-1.340.30.27308d 6h232d 13h141.512.15.2124.24.21:23.90.88
Russia146.74543171523094852081955592.180.672.853.2432d 4h24d 16h294.2157.43.5133.32.71:37.60.45
Slovakia5.45615251222813750.07-4.460.00.5stable27.92.20.525.22.01:49.00.9
Armenia2.95810524690017034543.944.125.750.7817d 21h12d 9h355.8233.35.7116.84.91:20.30.33
Croatia4.07622464810320950.01-7.710.00.28stable55.11.22.551.44.91:20.30.93
Bulgaria7.02560120814612060.6-0.941.162.04116d 12h60d 6h36.617.32.117.212.11:8.30.47
Serbia6.96411523442624568520.3-0.640.250.73234d 11h281d 1h165.563.63.598.43.61:27.90.59
Latvia1.9071079295247600.28-0.540.00.4247d 5h56.615.51.339.93.21:31.60.7
Hungary9.7733931120753421900.46-1.060.571.33149d 13h120d 21h40.212.45.522.424.41:4.10.56
Cyprus0.875958151177900.340.590.00.15205d 14h109.517.31.990.32.11:46.50.82
Albania2.8621184253338981.52.270.00.9346d 11h41.48.81.231.43.71:27.20.76
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.301255145515719390.53-2.410.521.16132d 4h133d 13h77.313.84.858.78.11:12.30.76
Malta0.4946225195620.19-9.00.01.52357d 9h126.010.31.8113.91.61:62.50.9
Belarus9.4134511624697248201712.051.41.652.034d 3h42d 10h479.3262.42.6214.31.21:81.30.45
Moldova2.6828795362231048632.181.021.292.0732d 2h53d 23h328.0135.111.6181.36.41:15.70.55
Lithuania2.79316843537112600.26-0.850.870.54263d 11h79d 15h60.312.62.545.15.61:17.80.75
North Macedonia2.077249274214516053.26.22.291.0221d 23h30d 13h120.035.77.077.39.01:11.10.64
Azerbaijan10.067626025197636654.655.024.162.6915d 6h17d 0h62.225.00.836.42.11:48.30.59
Georgia3.724800147136401.41-0.851.671.9549d 9h41d 22h21.53.90.317.22.01:49.30.8
Ukraine41.9022538513805742108382.160.761.553.2232d 8h45d 4h60.632.91.825.96.81:14.60.43
Europe761.5819623618043981766519813120.080.420.350.9stable197d 9h257.7105.623.2128.918.01:5.60.5

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.243233836392973360116093820.91:4.80.690.140.140.140.150.1515.07Italy
Spain47.1240326628222712815037618.01:5.50.630.110.110.110.120.1215.57Spain
Germany83.149184121806686021674535.11:19.50.910.050.050.050.050.052.8Germany
France67.06911440015803290246957341.71:2.40.610.250.150.160.160.1611.7France
Switzerland8.587308933721921286006.71:14.90.930.060.060.060.060.066.05Switzerland
United Kingdom66.4362812702402473981112123284.732.8:10.00.140.150.150.150.1616.2United Kingdom
Netherlands17.447469394076359961803331.133.3:10.00.130.130.130.130.139.29Netherlands
Austria8.90316771429670156724.31:23.40.930.040.040.040.040.042.03Austria
Belgium11.524586853320495221595959.71:1.70.270.160.160.160.170.1722.33Belgium
Norway5.368847751323777273.11:32.60.910.030.030.030.030.031.19Norway
Sweden10.33440803362614542497191.41:1.10.120.110.120.130.130.1411.88Sweden
Denmark5.82311971641580107505.41:18.50.90.050.050.050.050.052.69Denmark
Portugal10.27733261117351447200797.21:13.90.60.040.040.050.050.053.81Portugal
Czechia10.6949438236432567494.81:20.70.720.030.040.040.040.040.82Czechia
Ireland4.921251117541659226987.31:13.70.90.070.070.070.070.079.11Ireland
Greece10.72529371384179137413.01:7.70.470.060.060.060.060.060.45Greece
Finland5.5286911109032155005.81:17.10.80.050.050.050.050.051.57Finland
Poland38.38624687115581115120149.31:10.80.490.050.050.050.050.060.79Poland
Luxembourg0.61440245311038612.91:35.10.960.030.030.030.030.034.84Luxembourg
Iceland0.364180621017940.61:178.60.990.010.010.010.010.010.74Iceland
Slovenia2.09414771010913588.01:12.50.920.070.070.070.070.071.41Slovenia
Romania19.4051966945731296138009.41:10.60.70.070.070.070.070.071.81Romania
Estonia1.32818801616916504.21:23.90.880.040.040.040.040.041.4Estonia
Russia146.74543171523094852081955592.71:37.60.450.010.010.010.010.020.96Russia
Slovakia5.45615251222813752.01:49.00.90.020.020.020.020.020.14Slovakia
Armenia2.95810524690017034544.91:20.30.330.020.020.020.020.031.55Armenia
Croatia4.07622464810320954.91:20.30.930.050.050.050.050.050.68Croatia
Bulgaria7.025601208146120612.11:8.30.470.060.060.060.060.060.56Bulgaria
Serbia6.96411523442624568523.61:27.90.590.020.020.020.020.020.95Serbia
Latvia1.9071079295247603.21:31.60.70.020.020.020.020.020.34Latvia
Hungary9.77339311207534219024.41:4.10.560.140.140.140.140.151.48Hungary
Cyprus0.875958151177902.11:46.50.820.020.020.020.020.020.53Cyprus
Albania2.8621184253338983.71:27.20.760.030.030.030.030.030.31Albania
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.301255145515719398.11:12.30.760.060.060.060.070.071.29Bosnia and Herzegovina
Malta0.4946225195621.61:62.50.90.010.010.010.010.020.49Malta
Belarus9.4134511624697248201711.21:81.30.450.010.010.010.010.010.71Belarus
Moldova2.6828795362231048636.41:15.70.550.040.040.040.040.053.12Moldova
Lithuania2.79316843537112605.61:17.80.750.040.040.040.040.040.69Lithuania
North Macedonia2.077249274214516059.01:11.10.640.060.070.070.070.081.89North Macedonia
Azerbaijan10.067626025197636652.11:48.30.590.010.010.020.020.020.2Azerbaijan
Georgia3.724800147136402.01:49.30.80.020.020.020.020.020.09Georgia
Ukraine41.9022538513805742108386.81:14.60.430.030.030.030.030.040.48Ukraine
Europe761.58196236180439817665198131218.01:5.60.50.090.090.090.090.16.27Europe

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt