COVID-19 - Europe - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Europe is a Group with the following members:
Albania - Andorra - Armenia - Austria - Azerbaijan - Belarus - Belgium - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Georgia - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Hungary - Iceland - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Liechtenstein - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Moldova - Monaco - Netherlands - North Macedonia - Norway - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Russia - San Marino - Serbia - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Ukraine - United Kingdom

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 17127169 2248.9 242003 1.43% 1.42%
Active cases 9980955 1310.6 82793 0.84% 0.54%
Deaths 386681 50.8 5962 1.57% 1.19%
Recovered 6759533887.61532482.32%2.05%
Deaths per infected 2.26%
Recovered per infected39.47%
Active per infected 58.28%
Deaths per recovered 5.72%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
13.72%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 48d 17h 49d 7h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population266d 15h 269d 23h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 192Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 40 52
Active na 12 85
Deaths na 31 38
Recovered na 56 28
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Europe

Albania - Andorra - Armenia - Austria - Azerbaijan - Belarus - Belgium - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Georgia - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Hungary - Iceland - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Liechtenstein - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Moldova - Monaco - Netherlands - North Macedonia - Norway - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Russia - San Marino - Serbia - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Ukraine - United Kingdom

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.2431538217787893536776966471.77-0.251.193.6539d 10h58d 16h2553.31307.889.11156.47.71:13.00.45
Spain47.116282081433164446681503760.90.850.810.077d 3h85d 18h3456.93042.894.8319.329.71:3.40.09
Germany83.1491038649317425160117052132.180.672.012.3132d 1h34d 17h1249.1381.819.3848.12.31:44.10.68
France67.06922482092030717519991654930.520.360.90.82134d 20h77d 5h3352.13027.877.5246.831.41:3.20.07
Switzerland8.5873182909161945712221001.84-2.812.154.0438d 0h32d 14h3706.81067.053.22586.62.11:48.50.7
United Kingdom66.436159325015321405764834621.00.820.720.7969d 12h96d 17h2398.22306.286.85.21665.216.7:10.0
Netherlands17.447517045500849934368530.990.760.650.4770d 15h107d 16h2963.62870.753.639.3136.31.4:10.01
Austria8.9032709926485528862032511.86-2.383.053.0237d 16h23d 2h3044.0728.532.42283.11.41:70.40.75
Belgium11.52457082955449016339311300.430.30.760.0162d 9h91d 16h4953.24811.4141.80.052.51:1.90.05
Norway5.3683519316867328179981.442.60.650.048d 11h107d 11h655.7314.26.1335.31.81:54.90.51
Sweden10.334243129236448668149713.182.660.670.022d 3h104d 5h2352.82288.264.70.0134.41.3:10.02
Denmark5.8237723615592816608281.71.230.681.3941d 4h102d 5h1326.4267.814.01044.71.31:74.60.79
Portugal10.2772858388211642761994461.85-0.391.562.3337d 17h44d 21h2781.4799.141.61940.82.11:46.70.7
Czechia10.6945159848299179674250260.95-3.641.571.6573d 14h44d 9h4825.0776.174.53974.51.91:53.50.82
Ireland4.92171699462922043233640.350.450.130.0198d 23h>1yr1456.9940.641.5474.78.71:11.40.33
Greece10.725101287761112102230742.032.14.210.034d 12h16d 19h944.4709.719.6215.29.11:11.00.23
Finland5.528237666573393168001.890.460.691.9636d 22h101d 1h430.0118.97.1303.92.31:42.70.71
Poland38.386958416425633161475166362.160.342.733.1632d 9h25d 17h2496.81108.842.11345.93.11:31.90.54
Luxembourg0.614334099036300240732.35-0.612.53.2429d 21h28d 1h5442.11471.948.93921.31.21:80.00.72
Iceland0.36453461762651440.26-4.110.00.33266d 17h1468.748.47.11413.20.51:196.10.96
Slovenia2.09472674202601293511212.160.063.442.432d 9h20d 11h3470.4967.561.72441.22.51:39.50.7
Romania19.405457848120307108843266571.810.31.291.8638d 16h53d 23h2359.4620.056.11683.33.31:30.00.71
Estonia1.32811323450910467103.092.142.392.722d 17h29d 7h852.4339.47.8505.11.61:64.50.59
Russia146.74521966914608983817516976181.180.321.011.159d 5h68d 18h1496.9314.126.01156.82.21:44.40.77
Slovakia5.45610310643050771592851.39-2.332.234.2350d 5h31d 10h1889.6789.014.11086.51.31:76.90.57
Armenia2.9581323462510720901051490.95-3.061.161.8573d 2h59d 22h4474.9848.970.73555.32.01:50.30.79
Croatia4.076119706224081600956982.911.772.792.3224d 3h25d 4h2936.7549.739.32347.71.71:59.90.8
Bulgaria7.0139955895353680467402.821.384.174.2324d 23h16d 22h1999.41279.152.6667.77.91:12.70.33
Serbia6.9641559941545711423155645.194.162.650.013d 16h26d 11h2240.12219.620.40.09.11:10.90.1
Latvia1.907158081389919017193.813.234.241.0118d 12h16d 16h829.0728.910.090.211.11:9.00.11
Hungary9.7731984401419504364521262.591.572.173.0527d 1h32d 7h2030.51452.544.7533.48.41:11.90.26
Cyprus0.875998378784820572.932.971.770.024d 0h39d 12h1140.9900.35.5235.12.31:42.90.21
Albania2.8623624517719771177552.041.531.51.8434d 6h46d 10h1266.2619.026.9620.34.31:23.00.49
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.30185431328882542500011.32-0.181.741.952d 18h40d 6h2588.0996.377.01514.75.11:19.70.59
Malta0.4949501207612872971.26-0.382.411.4955d 7h29d 1h1924.8420.625.91478.31.81:57.10.77
Belarus9.4131316332034511361101521.21.10.580.9358d 0h120d 8h1398.4216.112.11170.21.01:97.10.84
Moldova2.682104140100932250917971.24-7.890.732.6456d 10h94d 17h3883.4376.483.93423.12.51:40.80.88
Lithuania2.7935609542110471135143.582.643.092.9719d 16h22d 18h2008.11507.516.9483.83.51:28.70.24
North Macedonia2.07759701212181658368251.750.051.532.1939d 22h45d 14h2874.21021.579.81772.94.51:22.20.62
Azerbaijan10.067109813385911291699313.365.262.121.4420d 23h32d 23h1090.8383.312.8694.61.91:54.10.64
Georgia3.7241234702003911611022703.350.742.872.9121d 1h24d 11h3316.0538.231.22746.61.11:87.70.83
Ukraine41.902712249359163122923407942.091.231.382.0533d 11h50d 14h1699.8857.129.3813.33.61:27.70.48
Europe761.5817127169998095538668167595331.420.541.192.0549d 7h58d 15h2248.91310.650.8887.65.71:17.50.39

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.2431538217787893536776966477.71:13.00.450.030.040.040.040.0524.08Italy
Spain47.1162820814331644466815037629.71:3.40.090.030.030.030.030.0325.63Spain
Germany83.1491038649317425160117052132.31:44.10.680.020.020.020.020.025.2Germany
France67.069224820920307175199916549331.41:3.20.070.020.020.020.020.0320.95France
Switzerland8.5873182909161945712221002.11:48.50.70.010.020.020.020.0214.39Switzerland
United Kingdom66.436159325015321405764834621665.216.7:10.00.040.040.040.040.0423.45United Kingdom
Netherlands17.44751704550084993436853136.31.4:10.010.020.020.020.020.0214.47Netherlands
Austria8.9032709926485528862032511.41:70.40.750.010.010.010.010.018.76Austria
Belgium11.524570829554490163393113052.51:1.90.050.030.030.030.030.0338.32Belgium
Norway5.3683519316867328179981.81:54.90.510.010.010.010.010.011.65Norway
Sweden10.33424312923644866814971134.41.3:10.020.030.030.030.030.0417.47Sweden
Denmark5.8237723615592816608281.31:74.60.790.010.010.010.010.013.79Denmark
Portugal10.2772858388211642761994462.11:46.70.70.010.020.020.020.0211.25Portugal
Czechia10.6945159848299179674250261.91:53.50.820.020.020.020.020.0220.14Czechia
Ireland4.92171699462922043233648.71:11.40.330.030.030.030.030.0311.22Ireland
Greece10.725101287761112102230749.11:11.00.230.020.020.020.030.035.3Greece
Finland5.528237666573393168002.31:42.70.710.020.020.020.020.021.92Finland
Poland38.386958416425633161475166363.11:31.90.540.020.020.020.020.0211.37Poland
Luxembourg0.614334099036300240731.21:80.00.720.010.010.010.010.0113.21Luxembourg
Iceland0.36453461762651440.51:196.10.960.00.00.00.00.011.93Iceland
Slovenia2.09472674202601293511212.51:39.50.70.020.020.020.020.0216.69Slovenia
Romania19.405457848120307108843266573.31:30.00.710.020.030.030.030.0315.16Romania
Estonia1.32811323450910467101.61:64.50.590.010.010.010.010.012.12Estonia
Russia146.74521966914608983817516976182.21:44.40.770.020.020.020.020.027.03Russia
Slovakia5.45610310643050771592851.31:76.90.570.010.010.010.010.013.82Slovakia
Armenia2.9581323462510720901051492.01:50.30.790.020.020.020.020.0219.1Armenia
Croatia4.076119706224081600956981.71:59.90.80.010.020.020.020.0210.61Croatia
Bulgaria7.0139955895353680467407.91:12.70.330.030.030.030.030.0414.21Bulgaria
Serbia6.9641559941545711423155649.11:10.90.10.010.010.010.010.025.52Serbia
Latvia1.9071580813899190171911.11:9.00.110.010.010.010.020.022.69Latvia
Hungary9.7731984401419504364521268.41:11.90.260.020.020.030.030.0312.07Hungary
Cyprus0.875998378784820572.31:42.90.210.00.010.010.010.011.48Cyprus
Albania2.8623624517719771177554.31:23.00.490.020.020.020.030.037.28Albania
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.30185431328882542500015.11:19.70.590.030.030.030.030.0420.81Bosnia and Herzegovina
Malta0.4949501207612872971.81:57.10.770.010.010.010.020.027.01Malta
Belarus9.4131316332034511361101521.01:97.10.840.010.010.010.010.013.26Belarus
Moldova2.682104140100932250917972.51:40.80.880.020.020.020.020.0322.68Moldova
Lithuania2.7935609542110471135143.51:28.70.240.010.010.010.010.014.56Lithuania
North Macedonia2.07759701212181658368254.51:22.20.620.030.030.030.030.0421.57North Macedonia
Azerbaijan10.067109813385911291699311.91:54.10.640.010.010.010.020.023.47Azerbaijan
Georgia3.7241234702003911611022701.11:87.70.830.010.010.010.010.028.43Georgia
Ukraine41.902712249359163122923407943.61:27.70.480.020.020.020.020.027.93Ukraine
Europe761.5817127169998095538668167595335.71:17.50.390.020.020.020.030.0313.72Europe

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt