COVID-19 - Europe - 20-08-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Europe is a Group with the following members:
Albania - Andorra - Armenia - Austria - Azerbaijan - Belarus - Belgium - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Georgia - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Hungary - Iceland - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Liechtenstein - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Moldova - Monaco - Netherlands - North Macedonia - Norway - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Russia - San Marino - Serbia - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Ukraine - United Kingdom

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 3047303 400.1 24811 0.82% 0.67%
Active cases 1056837 138.8 9814 0.94% 0.65%
Deaths 206420 27.1 505 0.25% 0.11%
Recovered 1784046234.3144920.82%0.47%
Deaths per infected 6.77%
Recovered per infected58.55%
Active per infected 34.68%
Deaths per recovered 11.57%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
7.33%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 84d 18h 103d 19h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population>1yr stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 47 103
Active na 34 71
Deaths na 19 107
Recovered na 51 112
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Europe

Albania - Andorra - Armenia - Austria - Azerbaijan - Belarus - Belgium - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Georgia - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Hungary - Iceland - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Liechtenstein - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Moldova - Monaco - Netherlands - North Macedonia - Norway - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Russia - San Marino - Serbia - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Ukraine - United Kingdom

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.24324920412694351872013230.110.30.020.07>1yrstable413.721.158.4334.217.51:5.70.81
Spain47.1309855130979285001503761.443.00.040.048d 10hstable657.9278.160.5319.318.91:5.30.49
Germany83.1492150391057791811952810.382.440.050.2182d 22hstable258.612.711.0234.94.71:21.30.91
France67.06923131011841030308825920.540.50.020.13128d 21hstable344.9176.545.2123.136.71:2.70.36
Switzerland8.5873610825231985316000.391.980.030.19178d 0hstable420.529.423.1368.06.31:15.90.88
United Kingdom66.4363097962618514649814470.280.130.010.07252d 0hstable466.3394.170.02.23213.432.1:10.0
Netherlands17.447574655105761732350.870.70.020.779d 17hstable329.4292.635.41.32626.826.3:10.0
Austria8.903216961381719195960.45-2.560.030.58153d 14hstable243.715.58.1220.13.71:27.20.9
Belgium11.52472016444559861177000.740.780.030.193d 16hstable624.9385.785.6153.655.71:1.80.25
Norway5.368946835525688570.4610.570.080.0150d 19hstable176.46.64.8165.02.91:34.60.94
Sweden10.3348196776201576649710.380.290.060.0181d 23hstable793.2737.455.80.0116.01.2:10.06
Denmark5.82314586976617129930.786.660.030.2888d 17hstable250.516.810.6223.14.81:21.10.89
Portugal10.27752061124781743378400.29-0.390.030.42238d 11hstable506.6121.417.0368.24.61:21.70.73
Czechia10.694177315021390123201.212.050.260.5557d 18h264d 20h165.847.03.6115.23.21:31.50.69
Ireland4.9212637212401768233640.23.690.00.0345d 18h535.925.235.9474.77.61:13.20.89
Greece10.7255123353921013742.242.440.390.031d 8h179d 21h47.833.02.012.815.31:6.50.27
Finland5.528753222133169800.244.220.120.09291d 12h>1yr136.34.06.0126.34.71:21.10.93
Poland38.38649515120991774356421.332.710.40.5552d 9h171d 20h129.031.54.692.95.01:20.10.72
Luxembourg0.6147073120411957500.81-2.750.341.6385d 17h202d 5h1152.1196.119.4936.62.11:48.30.81
Iceland0.3641932971018250.419.730.00.0169d 20h530.826.62.7501.40.61:181.80.94
Slovenia2.094222318912519090.47-2.790.830.68146d 7h84d 1h106.29.06.091.26.51:15.30.86
Romania19.40557895263372566289922.132.61.170.8932d 22h59d 15h298.3135.713.2149.48.81:11.30.5
Estonia1.32821241076319540.58.38-1.740.14139d 16h159.98.14.7147.13.21:31.10.92
Russia146.745870187180539145796750690.62-0.190.610.69112d 22h114d 10h593.0123.09.9460.02.21:46.30.78
Slovakia5.45624806272918241.21.590.00.458d 3h45.511.50.533.41.61:62.90.74
Armenia2.958398197491772315560.5-1.360.560.86139d 7h125d 4h1346.4253.326.11067.02.51:40.80.79
Croatia4.076540456115546880.68-2.971.221.12102d 6h57d 4h132.613.83.8115.03.31:30.20.87
Bulgaria7.013014520543573741.920.341.962.2836d 12h35d 17h185.974.46.2105.35.91:16.90.57
Serbia6.9642733226711621155641.10.871.080.063d 13h64d 15h392.5383.68.90.04.01:25.10.57
Latvia1.90712751733210700.590.260.00.34117d 11h66.99.11.756.13.01:33.40.84
Hungary9.773459753460034630.31-1.110.070.4222d 12hstable47.05.56.135.417.31:5.80.75
Cyprus0.8751208333198561.454.870.00.0948d 0h138.138.12.297.82.21:45.00.71
Albania2.8626016267318831552.22.62.491.0831d 20h28d 4h210.293.46.6110.26.01:16.80.52
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.30113396597038470422.441.22.262.8228d 17h30d 22h405.8180.911.6213.35.51:18.30.53
Malta0.49494626796702.297.920.00.0930d 15h191.754.11.8135.71.31:74.60.71
Belarus9.413685034167580637560.16-1.40.490.23>1yr141d 0h727.744.36.2677.30.91:109.90.93
Moldova2.682266287124828186761.181.40.870.6759d 2h79d 14h993.0265.730.9696.44.41:22.60.7
Lithuania2.79321714348116560.732.440.250.0794d 16h277d 14h77.715.52.959.34.91:20.40.76
North Macedonia2.07711399340251774800.92-0.780.721.5275d 23h96d 12h548.8163.824.9360.16.91:14.50.66
Azerbaijan10.067332473493479292750.67-6.20.951.73103d 22h73d 2h330.334.74.8290.81.61:61.00.88
Georgia3.7241206202179870.59-0.090.00.56117d 12h32.45.40.526.51.71:58.10.82
Ukraine41.90278515328571846438121.581.420.911.144d 7h76d 16h187.478.44.4104.64.21:23.80.56
Europe761.583047303105683720642017840460.670.650.110.47103d 19h>1yr400.1138.827.1234.311.61:8.60.59

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.243249204126943518720132317.51:5.70.810.140.140.140.140.1415.79Italy
Spain47.13098551309792850015037618.91:5.30.490.090.10.10.10.116.35Spain
Germany83.1492150391057791811952814.71:21.30.910.040.040.040.040.042.98Germany
France67.069231310118410303088259236.71:2.70.360.130.130.130.140.1412.21France
Switzerland8.5873610825231985316006.31:15.90.880.060.060.060.060.066.25Switzerland
United Kingdom66.4363097962618514649814473213.432.1:10.00.150.150.150.150.1618.92United Kingdom
Netherlands17.447574655105761732352626.826.3:10.00.110.110.110.120.129.56Netherlands
Austria8.903216961381719195963.71:27.20.90.030.030.030.030.042.18Austria
Belgium11.524720164445598611770055.71:1.80.250.140.140.140.150.1523.13Belgium
Norway5.368946835525688572.91:34.60.940.030.030.030.030.031.29Norway
Sweden10.334819677620157664971116.01.2:10.060.070.070.070.070.0715.08Sweden
Denmark5.82314586976617129934.81:21.10.890.040.040.040.040.052.86Denmark
Portugal10.27752061124781743378404.61:21.70.730.030.030.030.030.044.58Portugal
Czechia10.694177315021390123203.21:31.50.690.020.020.020.020.030.99Czechia
Ireland4.9212637212401768233647.61:13.20.890.070.070.070.070.079.71Ireland
Greece10.72551233539210137415.31:6.50.270.040.050.050.050.050.53Greece
Finland5.528753222133169804.71:21.10.930.040.040.040.040.041.62Finland
Poland38.38649515120991774356425.01:20.10.720.040.040.040.040.041.25Poland
Luxembourg0.6147073120411957502.11:48.30.810.020.020.020.020.025.24Luxembourg
Iceland0.3641932971018250.61:181.80.940.010.010.010.010.010.74Iceland
Slovenia2.094222318912519096.51:15.30.860.060.060.060.060.061.61Slovenia
Romania19.40557895263372566289928.81:11.30.50.040.050.050.050.063.57Romania
Estonia1.32821241076319543.21:31.10.920.030.030.030.030.031.28Estonia
Russia146.745870187180539145796750692.21:46.30.780.020.020.020.020.022.69Russia
Slovakia5.45624806272918241.61:62.90.740.010.010.010.010.010.14Slovakia
Armenia2.958398197491772315562.51:40.80.790.020.020.020.020.027.05Armenia
Croatia4.076540456115546883.31:30.20.870.030.030.030.030.031.03Croatia
Bulgaria7.013014520543573745.91:16.90.570.030.040.040.040.041.68Bulgaria
Serbia6.9642733226711621155644.01:25.10.570.020.020.020.030.032.41Serbia
Latvia1.90712751733210703.01:33.40.840.030.030.030.030.030.45Latvia
Hungary9.7734597534600346317.31:5.80.750.130.130.130.130.141.66Hungary
Cyprus0.8751208333198562.21:45.00.710.020.020.020.020.020.59Cyprus
Albania2.8626016267318831556.01:16.80.520.030.030.030.040.041.78Albania
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.30113396597038470425.51:18.30.530.030.030.030.040.043.14Bosnia and Herzegovina
Malta0.49494626796701.31:74.60.710.010.010.010.010.010.49Malta
Belarus9.413685034167580637560.91:109.90.930.010.010.010.010.011.67Belarus
Moldova2.682266287124828186764.41:22.60.70.030.030.030.040.048.34Moldova
Lithuania2.79321714348116564.91:20.40.760.040.040.040.040.040.78Lithuania
North Macedonia2.07711399340251774806.91:14.50.660.050.050.050.050.056.73North Macedonia
Azerbaijan10.067332473493479292751.61:61.00.880.010.010.010.020.021.29Azerbaijan
Georgia3.7241206202179871.71:58.10.820.010.010.010.010.020.12Georgia
Ukraine41.90278515328571846438124.21:23.80.560.020.030.030.030.031.19Ukraine
Europe761.5830473031056837206420178404611.61:8.60.590.070.070.070.070.077.33Europe

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt