COVID-19 - Greece - 20-10-09

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Greece is included in the following groups: EU - Female Heads of State - Southern Europe - Europe - UNR Western European and Others Group - WHO European Region
Greece has a landborder to: Albania - Bulgaria - Turkey - North Macedonia

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 21772 203.0 391 1.83% 1.87%
Active cases 19994 186.4 390 1.99% 1.63%
Deaths 431 4.0 1 0.23% 1.01%
Recovered 134712.600.0%0.0%
Deaths per infected 1.98%
Recovered per infected6.19%
Active per infected 91.83%
Deaths per recovered 32.0%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
1.09%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 38d 5h 37d 7h
Time to reach a million cases 211d 4h206d 3h
Time to saturate the population342d 2h 333d 21h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population 85
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected 84 103 34
Active 42 38 67
Deaths 80 94 32
Recovered 147 159 185
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Neighbours of Greece

Albania - Bulgaria - Turkey - North Macedonia

Greece in its groups

EU - Female Heads of State - Southern Europe - Europe - UNR Western European and Others Group - WHO European Region

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt