COVID-19 - EU - 20-10-09

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

EU is a Group with the following members:
Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Go to the data tables

	absolute	cases per 100.000	abs. development 1 day	rel. development 1 day	rel. development 5 days/average
Total infections	3420537	763.6	80778	2.42%	2.18%
Active cases	2008698	448.4	68481	3.53%	2.48%
Deaths	151916	33.9	620	0.41%	0.28%
Recovered	1259923	281.3	11677	0.94%	0.72%

Deaths per infected	4.44%
Recovered per infected	36.83%
Active per infected	58.72%
Deaths per recovered	12.06%
Projection: Total Case Percentage	9.17%

	Last days rate	Last average rate
Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Time to double cases	29d 0h	32d 2h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population	203d 23h	225d 18h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total:	189	Population	na
	Total cases	Cases per 100.000	Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected	na	49	23
Active	na	17	54
Deaths	na	23	91
Recovered	na	75	67
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: EU

Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Deaths	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected
		absolute values				Percentage growthrate 5d				Time to double		Cases per 100.000				% / ratio
Italy	60.243	343770	70110	36111	237549	1.11	2.82	0.05	0.38	62d 19h	stable	570.6	116.4	59.9	394.3	15.2	1:6.6	0.69
Spain	47.1	861112	677807	32929	150376	1.74	1.84	0.37	0.0	40d 3h	186d 6h	1828.2	1439.1	69.9	319.3	21.9	1:4.6	0.17
Germany	83.149	320495	37178	9599	273718	1.22	2.84	0.03	0.75	56d 22h	stable	385.4	44.7	11.5	329.2	3.5	1:28.5	0.85
France	67.069	732434	596601	32601	103232	3.08	3.04	0.23	0.45	22d 19h	304d 13h	1092.1	889.5	48.6	153.9	31.6	1:3.2	0.14
Netherlands	17.447	167348	156038	6601	4709	3.47	2.89	0.24	1.36	20d 7h	286d 22h	959.2	894.4	37.8	27.0	140.2	1.4:1	0.03
Austria	8.903	53188	10307	842	42039	2.01	2.68	0.61	1.34	34d 19h	114d 7h	597.4	115.8	9.5	472.2	2.0	1:50.0	0.79
Belgium	11.524	148981	118758	10151	20072	2.73	2.48	0.12	0.31	25d 17h	>1yr	1292.7	1030.5	88.1	174.2	50.6	1:2.0	0.13
Sweden	10.334	98451	92557	5894	4971	0.87	0.73	-0.01	0.0	79d 22h		952.7	895.7	57.0	0.0	118.6	1.2:1	0.05
Denmark	5.823	32131	5491	665	25975	1.27	-2.4	0.21	1.84	54d 23h	327d 2h	551.8	94.3	11.4	446.1	2.6	1:39.1	0.81
Portugal	10.277	83928	29702	2062	52164	1.18	1.47	0.45	0.52	59d 2h	156d 0h	816.7	289.0	20.1	507.6	4.0	1:25.3	0.62
Czechia	10.694	109374	55296	905	53173	5.83	5.42	3.65	3.02	12d 5h	19d 8h	1022.8	517.1	8.5	497.2	1.7	1:58.8	0.49
Ireland	4.921	40703	15518	1821	23364	1.37	3.01	0.08	0.0	51d 1h	stable	827.0	315.3	37.0	474.7	7.8	1:12.8	0.57
Greece	10.725	21772	19994	431	1347	1.87	1.63	1.01	0.0	37d 7h	69d 1h	203.0	186.4	4.0	12.6	32.0	1:3.1	0.06
Finland	5.528	11580	2734	346	8500	1.91	4.0	0.06	0.99	36d 17h	stable	209.5	49.5	6.3	153.8	4.1	1:24.6	0.73
Poland	38.386	116338	35544	2919	77875	3.06	5.75	1.75	0.94	22d 23h	40d 1h	303.1	92.6	7.6	202.9	3.8	1:26.7	0.67
Luxembourg	0.614	9119	1091	128	7900	0.93	-0.93	0.48	1.26	74d 23h	145d 12h	1485.4	177.7	20.9	1286.9	1.6	1:61.7	0.87
Slovenia	2.094	7872	2865	165	4842	3.92	5.45	0.64	1.78	18d 0h	108d 17h	375.9	136.8	7.9	231.2	3.4	1:29.3	0.62
Romania	19.405	148886	28795	5299	114792	1.84	3.76	0.96	0.91	37d 23h	72d 15h	767.2	148.4	27.3	591.6	4.6	1:21.6	0.77
Estonia	1.328	3809	835	68	2906	1.1	1.94	0.0	0.54	63d 13h		286.7	62.9	5.1	218.8	2.3	1:42.7	0.76
Slovakia	5.456	16910	11401	57	5452	5.2	4.62	0.73	2.1	13d 16h	95d 15h	309.9	208.9	1.0	99.9	1.1	1:95.2	0.32
Croatia	4.076	19446	2438	313	16695	1.95	8.21	0.79	0.78	35d 21h	87d 13h	477.1	59.8	7.7	409.6	1.9	1:53.5	0.86
Bulgaria	7.0	23871	7271	887	15713	2.03	3.56	0.84	0.72	34d 10h	82d 20h	341.0	103.9	12.7	224.5	5.7	1:17.7	0.66
Latvia	1.907	2507	1145	40	1322	3.75	6.42	1.04	0.23	18d 19h	67d 1h	131.5	60.0	2.1	69.3	3.0	1:33.0	0.53
Hungary	9.773	35222	25107	913	9202	2.87	1.47	1.79	4.29	24d 11h	39d 1h	360.4	256.9	9.3	94.2	9.9	1:10.1	0.26
Cyprus	0.875	1951	557	25	1369	1.36	3.95	1.78	0.0	51d 11h	39d 7h	223.0	63.7	2.9	156.5	1.8	1:54.6	0.7
Malta	0.494	3581	625	41	2915	1.83	4.27	1.01	0.9	38d 3h	68d 18h	725.5	126.6	8.3	590.6	1.4	1:70.9	0.81
Lithuania	2.793	5758	2933	103	2722	2.12	1.99	1.67	1.29	33d 1h	41d 22h	206.1	105.0	3.7	97.4	3.8	1:26.5	0.47
EU	447.94	3420537	2008698	151916	1259923	2.18	2.48	0.28	0.72	32d 2h	248d 13h	763.6	448.4	33.9	281.3	12.1	1:8.3	0.37

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected	Deaths per infected ... days ago					Possible Total %	Country
		absolute values				% / ratio		Recovered per infected	0d	5d	7d	10d	14d	Possible Total %
Italy	60.243	343770	70110	36111	237549	15.2	1:6.6	0.69	0.1	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.12	16.2	Italy
Spain	47.1	861112	677807	32929	150376	21.9	1:4.6	0.17	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.05	18.9	Spain
Germany	83.149	320495	37178	9599	273718	3.5	1:28.5	0.85	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	3.12	Germany
France	67.069	732434	596601	32601	103232	31.6	1:3.2	0.14	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.06	13.14	France
Netherlands	17.447	167348	156038	6601	4709	140.2	1.4:1	0.03	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.06	10.23	Netherlands
Austria	8.903	53188	10307	842	42039	2.0	1:50.0	0.79	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	2.56	Austria
Belgium	11.524	148981	118758	10151	20072	50.6	1:2.0	0.13	0.07	0.08	0.08	0.09	0.09	23.81	Belgium
Sweden	10.334	98451	92557	5894	4971	118.6	1.2:1	0.05	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	15.42	Sweden
Denmark	5.823	32131	5491	665	25975	2.6	1:39.1	0.81	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	3.09	Denmark
Portugal	10.277	83928	29702	2062	52164	4.0	1:25.3	0.62	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	5.42	Portugal
Czechia	10.694	109374	55296	905	53173	1.7	1:58.8	0.49	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	2.29	Czechia
Ireland	4.921	40703	15518	1821	23364	7.8	1:12.8	0.57	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	10.0	Ireland
Greece	10.725	21772	19994	431	1347	32.0	1:3.1	0.06	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	1.09	Greece
Finland	5.528	11580	2734	346	8500	4.1	1:24.6	0.73	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	1.69	Finland
Poland	38.386	116338	35544	2919	77875	3.8	1:26.7	0.67	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	2.06	Poland
Luxembourg	0.614	9119	1091	128	7900	1.6	1:61.7	0.87	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	5.64	Luxembourg
Slovenia	2.094	7872	2865	165	4842	3.4	1:29.3	0.62	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	2.13	Slovenia
Romania	19.405	148886	28795	5299	114792	4.6	1:21.6	0.77	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	7.38	Romania
Estonia	1.328	3809	835	68	2906	2.3	1:42.7	0.76	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	1.38	Estonia
Slovakia	5.456	16910	11401	57	5452	1.1	1:95.2	0.32	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.01	0.01	0.28	Slovakia
Croatia	4.076	19446	2438	313	16695	1.9	1:53.5	0.86	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	2.08	Croatia
Bulgaria	7.0	23871	7271	887	15713	5.7	1:17.7	0.66	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	3.42	Bulgaria
Latvia	1.907	2507	1145	40	1322	3.0	1:33.0	0.53	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.57	Latvia
Hungary	9.773	35222	25107	913	9202	9.9	1:10.1	0.26	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	2.52	Hungary
Cyprus	0.875	1951	557	25	1369	1.8	1:54.6	0.7	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.77	Cyprus
Malta	0.494	3581	625	41	2915	1.4	1:70.9	0.81	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	2.24	Malta
Lithuania	2.793	5758	2933	103	2722	3.8	1:26.5	0.47	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	1.0	Lithuania
EU	447.94	3420537	2008698	151916	1259923	12.1	1:8.3	0.37	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.06	9.17	EU

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt