COVID-19 - EU - 20-06-03

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

EU is a Group with the following members:
Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Go to the data tables

	absolute	cases per 100.000	abs. development 1 day	rel. development 1 day	rel. development 5 days/average
Total infections	1091852	243.7	-69651	-6.0%	-0.99%
Active cases	274403	61.3	-74077	-21.26%	0.07%
Deaths	127227	28.4	345	0.27%	0.16%
Recovered	690222	154.1	4081	0.59%	0.29%

Deaths per infected	11.65%
Recovered per infected	63.22%
Active per infected	25.13%
Deaths per recovered	18.43%
Projection: Total Case Percentage	7.68%

	Last days rate	Last average rate
Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Time to double cases
Time to reach a million cases	1d 10h	8d 19h
Time to saturate the population

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total:	189	Population	na
	Total cases	Cases per 100.000	Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected	na	34	184
Active	na	37	104
Deaths	na	11	102
Recovered	na	27	129
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: EU

Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Deaths	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected
		absolute values				Percentage growthrate 5d				Time to double		Cases per 100.000				% / ratio
Italy	60.243	233836	39297	33601	160938	0.14	-2.86	0.18	0.93	>1yr	>1yr	388.2	65.2	55.8	267.1	20.9	1:4.8	0.69
Spain	47.1	240326	62822	27128	150376	0.15	0.44	0.0	0.0	>1yr	stable	510.2	133.4	57.6	319.3	18.0	1:5.5	0.63
Germany	83.149	184121	8066	8602	167453	0.13	-3.03	0.14	0.29	>1yr	>1yr	221.4	9.7	10.3	201.4	5.1	1:19.5	0.91
France	67.069	114400	15803	29024	69573	-7.69	0.07	0.16	0.3		>1yr	170.6	23.6	43.3	103.7	41.7	1:2.4	0.61
Netherlands	17.447	46939	40763	5996	180	0.26	0.24	0.12	0.22	264d 11h	>1yr	269.0	233.6	34.4	1.0	3331.1	33.3:1	0.0
Austria	8.903	16771	429	670	15672	0.14	-5.94	0.03	0.37	>1yr	stable	188.4	4.8	7.5	176.0	4.3	1:23.4	0.93
Belgium	11.524	58685	33204	9522	15959	0.21	0.14	0.16	0.32	324d 3h	>1yr	509.2	288.1	82.6	138.5	59.7	1:1.7	0.27
Sweden	10.334	40803	36261	4542	4971	2.28	4.93	0.54	0.0	30d 17h	129d 1h	394.9	350.9	44.0	0.0	91.4	1:1.1	0.12
Denmark	5.823	11971	641	580	10750	0.3	-3.21	0.42	0.47	231d 8h	165d 15h	205.6	11.0	10.0	184.6	5.4	1:18.5	0.9
Portugal	10.277	33261	11735	1447	20079	0.81	-0.1	0.76	0.99	85d 21h	92d 1h	323.7	114.2	14.1	195.4	7.2	1:13.9	0.6
Czechia	10.694	9438	2364	325	6749	0.52	-0.18	0.25	0.57	133d 9h	277d 19h	88.3	22.1	3.0	63.1	4.8	1:20.7	0.72
Ireland	4.921	25111	754	1659	22698	0.19	2.96	0.16	0.0	>1yr	>1yr	510.2	15.3	33.7	461.2	7.3	1:13.7	0.9
Greece	10.725	2937	1384	179	1374	0.19	0.35	0.46	0.0	361d 6h	151d 23h	27.4	12.9	1.7	12.8	13.0	1:7.7	0.47
Finland	5.528	6911	1090	321	5500	0.4	2.11	0.38	0.0	175d 13h	182d 2h	125.0	19.7	5.8	99.5	5.8	1:17.1	0.8
Poland	38.386	24687	11558	1115	12014	1.29	0.29	0.77	1.87	54d 1h	90d 8h	64.3	30.1	2.9	31.3	9.3	1:10.8	0.49
Luxembourg	0.614	4024	53	110	3861	0.06	-6.16	0.0	0.17	stable		655.5	8.6	17.9	628.9	2.9	1:35.1	0.96
Slovenia	2.094	1477	10	109	1358	0.05	1.31	0.19	0.01	stable	>1yr	70.5	0.5	5.2	64.8	8.0	1:12.5	0.92
Romania	19.405	19669	4573	1296	13800	0.71	-0.83	0.63	1.07	97d 11h	109d 18h	101.4	23.6	6.7	71.1	9.4	1:10.6	0.7
Estonia	1.328	1880	161	69	1650	0.23	-1.34	0.3	0.27	308d 6h	232d 13h	141.5	12.1	5.2	124.2	4.2	1:23.9	0.88
Slovakia	5.456	1525	122	28	1375	0.07	-4.46	0.0	0.5	stable		27.9	2.2	0.5	25.2	2.0	1:49.0	0.9
Croatia	4.076	2246	48	103	2095	0.01	-7.71	0.0	0.28	stable		55.1	1.2	2.5	51.4	4.9	1:20.3	0.93
Bulgaria	7.0	2560	1208	146	1206	0.6	-0.94	1.16	2.04	116d 12h	60d 6h	36.6	17.3	2.1	17.2	12.1	1:8.3	0.47
Latvia	1.907	1079	295	24	760	0.28	-0.54	0.0	0.4	247d 5h		56.6	15.5	1.3	39.9	3.2	1:31.6	0.7
Hungary	9.773	3931	1207	534	2190	0.46	-1.06	0.57	1.33	149d 13h	120d 21h	40.2	12.4	5.5	22.4	24.4	1:4.1	0.56
Cyprus	0.875	958	151	17	790	0.34	0.59	0.0	0.15	205d 14h		109.5	17.3	1.9	90.3	2.1	1:46.5	0.82
Malta	0.494	622	51	9	562	0.19	-9.0	0.0	1.52	357d 9h		126.0	10.3	1.8	113.9	1.6	1:62.5	0.9
Lithuania	2.793	1684	353	71	1260	0.26	-0.85	0.87	0.54	263d 11h	79d 15h	60.3	12.6	2.5	45.1	5.6	1:17.8	0.75
EU	447.94	1091852	274403	127227	690222	-0.99	0.07	0.16	0.29		>1yr	243.7	61.3	28.4	154.1	18.4	1:5.4	0.63

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected	Deaths per infected ... days ago					Possible Total %	Country
		absolute values				% / ratio		Recovered per infected	0d	5d	7d	10d	14d	Possible Total %
Italy	60.243	233836	39297	33601	160938	20.9	1:4.8	0.69	0.14	0.14	0.14	0.15	0.15	15.07	Italy
Spain	47.1	240326	62822	27128	150376	18.0	1:5.5	0.63	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.12	0.12	15.57	Spain
Germany	83.149	184121	8066	8602	167453	5.1	1:19.5	0.91	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	2.8	Germany
France	67.069	114400	15803	29024	69573	41.7	1:2.4	0.61	0.25	0.15	0.16	0.16	0.16	11.7	France
Netherlands	17.447	46939	40763	5996	180	3331.1	33.3:1	0.0	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13	9.29	Netherlands
Austria	8.903	16771	429	670	15672	4.3	1:23.4	0.93	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	2.03	Austria
Belgium	11.524	58685	33204	9522	15959	59.7	1:1.7	0.27	0.16	0.16	0.16	0.17	0.17	22.33	Belgium
Sweden	10.334	40803	36261	4542	4971	91.4	1:1.1	0.12	0.11	0.12	0.13	0.13	0.14	11.88	Sweden
Denmark	5.823	11971	641	580	10750	5.4	1:18.5	0.9	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	2.69	Denmark
Portugal	10.277	33261	11735	1447	20079	7.2	1:13.9	0.6	0.04	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.05	3.81	Portugal
Czechia	10.694	9438	2364	325	6749	4.8	1:20.7	0.72	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.82	Czechia
Ireland	4.921	25111	754	1659	22698	7.3	1:13.7	0.9	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	9.11	Ireland
Greece	10.725	2937	1384	179	1374	13.0	1:7.7	0.47	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.45	Greece
Finland	5.528	6911	1090	321	5500	5.8	1:17.1	0.8	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	1.57	Finland
Poland	38.386	24687	11558	1115	12014	9.3	1:10.8	0.49	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.06	0.79	Poland
Luxembourg	0.614	4024	53	110	3861	2.9	1:35.1	0.96	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	4.84	Luxembourg
Slovenia	2.094	1477	10	109	1358	8.0	1:12.5	0.92	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	1.41	Slovenia
Romania	19.405	19669	4573	1296	13800	9.4	1:10.6	0.7	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	1.81	Romania
Estonia	1.328	1880	161	69	1650	4.2	1:23.9	0.88	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	1.4	Estonia
Slovakia	5.456	1525	122	28	1375	2.0	1:49.0	0.9	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.14	Slovakia
Croatia	4.076	2246	48	103	2095	4.9	1:20.3	0.93	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.68	Croatia
Bulgaria	7.0	2560	1208	146	1206	12.1	1:8.3	0.47	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.56	Bulgaria
Latvia	1.907	1079	295	24	760	3.2	1:31.6	0.7	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.34	Latvia
Hungary	9.773	3931	1207	534	2190	24.4	1:4.1	0.56	0.14	0.14	0.14	0.14	0.15	1.48	Hungary
Cyprus	0.875	958	151	17	790	2.1	1:46.5	0.82	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.53	Cyprus
Malta	0.494	622	51	9	562	1.6	1:62.5	0.9	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.49	Malta
Lithuania	2.793	1684	353	71	1260	5.6	1:17.8	0.75	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.69	Lithuania
EU	447.94	1091852	274403	127227	690222	18.4	1:5.4	0.63	0.12	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.11	7.68	EU

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt