COVID-19 - EU - 20-08-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

EU is a Group with the following members:
Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Go to the data tables

	absolute	cases per 100.000	abs. development 1 day	rel. development 1 day	rel. development 5 days/average
Total infections	1511882	337.5	13737	0.92%	0.74%
Active cases	517299	115.5	10053	1.98%	1.28%
Deaths	136761	30.5	117	0.09%	0.06%
Recovered	857822	191.5	3567	0.42%	0.21%

Deaths per infected	9.05%
Recovered per infected	56.74%
Active per infected	34.22%
Deaths per recovered	15.94%
Projection: Total Case Percentage	8.25%

	Last days rate	Last average rate
Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Time to double cases	75d 22h	94d 13h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population	>1yr	stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total:	189	Population	na
	Total cases	Cases per 100.000	Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected	na	56	99
Active	na	39	60
Deaths	na	18	110
Recovered	na	56	135
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: EU

Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Deaths	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected
		absolute values				Percentage growthrate 5d				Time to double		Cases per 100.000				% / ratio
Italy	60.243	249204	12694	35187	201323	0.11	0.3	0.02	0.07	>1yr	stable	413.7	21.1	58.4	334.2	17.5	1:5.7	0.81
Spain	47.1	309855	130979	28500	150376	1.44	3.0	0.04	0.0	48d 10h	stable	657.9	278.1	60.5	319.3	18.9	1:5.3	0.49
Germany	83.149	215039	10577	9181	195281	0.38	2.44	0.05	0.2	182d 22h	stable	258.6	12.7	11.0	234.9	4.7	1:21.3	0.91
France	67.069	231310	118410	30308	82592	0.54	0.5	0.02	0.13	128d 21h	stable	344.9	176.5	45.2	123.1	36.7	1:2.7	0.36
Netherlands	17.447	57465	51057	6173	235	0.87	0.7	0.02	0.7	79d 17h	stable	329.4	292.6	35.4	1.3	2626.8	26.3:1	0.0
Austria	8.903	21696	1381	719	19596	0.45	-2.56	0.03	0.58	153d 14h	stable	243.7	15.5	8.1	220.1	3.7	1:27.2	0.9
Belgium	11.524	72016	44455	9861	17700	0.74	0.78	0.03	0.1	93d 16h	stable	624.9	385.7	85.6	153.6	55.7	1:1.8	0.25
Sweden	10.334	81967	76201	5766	4971	0.38	0.29	0.06	0.0	181d 23h	stable	793.2	737.4	55.8	0.0	116.0	1.2:1	0.06
Denmark	5.823	14586	976	617	12993	0.78	6.66	0.03	0.28	88d 17h	stable	250.5	16.8	10.6	223.1	4.8	1:21.1	0.89
Portugal	10.277	52061	12478	1743	37840	0.29	-0.39	0.03	0.42	238d 11h	stable	506.6	121.4	17.0	368.2	4.6	1:21.7	0.73
Czechia	10.694	17731	5021	390	12320	1.21	2.05	0.26	0.55	57d 18h	264d 20h	165.8	47.0	3.6	115.2	3.2	1:31.5	0.69
Ireland	4.921	26372	1240	1768	23364	0.2	3.69	0.0	0.0	345d 18h		535.9	25.2	35.9	474.7	7.6	1:13.2	0.89
Greece	10.725	5123	3539	210	1374	2.24	2.44	0.39	0.0	31d 8h	179d 21h	47.8	33.0	2.0	12.8	15.3	1:6.5	0.27
Finland	5.528	7532	221	331	6980	0.24	4.22	0.12	0.09	291d 12h	>1yr	136.3	4.0	6.0	126.3	4.7	1:21.1	0.93
Poland	38.386	49515	12099	1774	35642	1.33	2.71	0.4	0.55	52d 9h	171d 20h	129.0	31.5	4.6	92.9	5.0	1:20.1	0.72
Luxembourg	0.614	7073	1204	119	5750	0.81	-2.75	0.34	1.63	85d 17h	202d 5h	1152.1	196.1	19.4	936.6	2.1	1:48.3	0.81
Slovenia	2.094	2223	189	125	1909	0.47	-2.79	0.83	0.68	146d 7h	84d 1h	106.2	9.0	6.0	91.2	6.5	1:15.3	0.86
Romania	19.405	57895	26337	2566	28992	2.13	2.6	1.17	0.89	32d 22h	59d 15h	298.3	135.7	13.2	149.4	8.8	1:11.3	0.5
Estonia	1.328	2124	107	63	1954	0.5	8.38	-1.74	0.14	139d 16h		159.9	8.1	4.7	147.1	3.2	1:31.1	0.92
Slovakia	5.456	2480	627	29	1824	1.2	1.59	0.0	0.4	58d 3h		45.5	11.5	0.5	33.4	1.6	1:62.9	0.74
Croatia	4.076	5404	561	155	4688	0.68	-2.97	1.22	1.12	102d 6h	57d 4h	132.6	13.8	3.8	115.0	3.3	1:30.2	0.87
Bulgaria	7.0	13014	5205	435	7374	1.92	0.34	1.96	2.28	36d 12h	35d 17h	185.9	74.4	6.2	105.3	5.9	1:16.9	0.57
Latvia	1.907	1275	173	32	1070	0.59	0.26	0.0	0.34	117d 11h		66.9	9.1	1.7	56.1	3.0	1:33.4	0.84
Hungary	9.773	4597	534	600	3463	0.31	-1.11	0.07	0.4	222d 12h	stable	47.0	5.5	6.1	35.4	17.3	1:5.8	0.75
Cyprus	0.875	1208	333	19	856	1.45	4.87	0.0	0.09	48d 0h		138.1	38.1	2.2	97.8	2.2	1:45.0	0.71
Malta	0.494	946	267	9	670	2.29	7.92	0.0	0.09	30d 15h		191.7	54.1	1.8	135.7	1.3	1:74.6	0.71
Lithuania	2.793	2171	434	81	1656	0.73	2.44	0.25	0.07	94d 16h	277d 14h	77.7	15.5	2.9	59.3	4.9	1:20.4	0.76
EU	447.94	1511882	517299	136761	857822	0.74	1.28	0.06	0.21	94d 13h	stable	337.5	115.5	30.5	191.5	15.9	1:6.3	0.57

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected	Deaths per infected ... days ago					Possible Total %	Country
		absolute values				% / ratio		Recovered per infected	0d	5d	7d	10d	14d	Possible Total %
Italy	60.243	249204	12694	35187	201323	17.5	1:5.7	0.81	0.14	0.14	0.14	0.14	0.14	15.79	Italy
Spain	47.1	309855	130979	28500	150376	18.9	1:5.3	0.49	0.09	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	16.35	Spain
Germany	83.149	215039	10577	9181	195281	4.7	1:21.3	0.91	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	2.98	Germany
France	67.069	231310	118410	30308	82592	36.7	1:2.7	0.36	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.14	0.14	12.21	France
Netherlands	17.447	57465	51057	6173	235	2626.8	26.3:1	0.0	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.12	0.12	9.56	Netherlands
Austria	8.903	21696	1381	719	19596	3.7	1:27.2	0.9	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	2.18	Austria
Belgium	11.524	72016	44455	9861	17700	55.7	1:1.8	0.25	0.14	0.14	0.14	0.15	0.15	23.13	Belgium
Sweden	10.334	81967	76201	5766	4971	116.0	1.2:1	0.06	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	15.08	Sweden
Denmark	5.823	14586	976	617	12993	4.8	1:21.1	0.89	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.05	2.86	Denmark
Portugal	10.277	52061	12478	1743	37840	4.6	1:21.7	0.73	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	4.58	Portugal
Czechia	10.694	17731	5021	390	12320	3.2	1:31.5	0.69	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.99	Czechia
Ireland	4.921	26372	1240	1768	23364	7.6	1:13.2	0.89	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	9.71	Ireland
Greece	10.725	5123	3539	210	1374	15.3	1:6.5	0.27	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.53	Greece
Finland	5.528	7532	221	331	6980	4.7	1:21.1	0.93	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	1.62	Finland
Poland	38.386	49515	12099	1774	35642	5.0	1:20.1	0.72	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	1.25	Poland
Luxembourg	0.614	7073	1204	119	5750	2.1	1:48.3	0.81	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	5.24	Luxembourg
Slovenia	2.094	2223	189	125	1909	6.5	1:15.3	0.86	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	1.61	Slovenia
Romania	19.405	57895	26337	2566	28992	8.8	1:11.3	0.5	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.06	3.57	Romania
Estonia	1.328	2124	107	63	1954	3.2	1:31.1	0.92	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	1.28	Estonia
Slovakia	5.456	2480	627	29	1824	1.6	1:62.9	0.74	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.14	Slovakia
Croatia	4.076	5404	561	155	4688	3.3	1:30.2	0.87	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	1.03	Croatia
Bulgaria	7.0	13014	5205	435	7374	5.9	1:16.9	0.57	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	1.68	Bulgaria
Latvia	1.907	1275	173	32	1070	3.0	1:33.4	0.84	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.45	Latvia
Hungary	9.773	4597	534	600	3463	17.3	1:5.8	0.75	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.14	1.66	Hungary
Cyprus	0.875	1208	333	19	856	2.2	1:45.0	0.71	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.59	Cyprus
Malta	0.494	946	267	9	670	1.3	1:74.6	0.71	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.49	Malta
Lithuania	2.793	2171	434	81	1656	4.9	1:20.4	0.76	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.78	Lithuania
EU	447.94	1511882	517299	136761	857822	15.9	1:6.3	0.57	0.09	0.09	0.09	0.1	0.1	8.25	EU

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt