COVID-19 - EU - 20-06-03

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

EU is a Group with the following members:
Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 1091852 243.7 -69651 -6.0% -0.99%
Active cases 274403 61.3 -74077 -21.26% 0.07%
Deaths 127227 28.4 345 0.27% 0.16%
Recovered 690222154.140810.59%0.29%
Deaths per infected 11.65%
Recovered per infected63.22%
Active per infected 25.13%
Deaths per recovered 18.43%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
7.68%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases
Time to reach a million cases 1d 10h8d 19h
Time to saturate the population

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 34 184
Active na 37 104
Deaths na 11 102
Recovered na 27 129
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: EU

Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.24323383639297336011609380.14-2.860.180.93>1yr>1yr388.265.255.8267.120.91:4.80.69
Spain47.124032662822271281503760.150.440.00.0>1yrstable510.2133.457.6319.318.01:5.50.63
Germany83.149184121806686021674530.13-3.030.140.29>1yr>1yr221.49.710.3201.45.11:19.50.91
France67.069114400158032902469573-7.690.070.160.3>1yr170.623.643.3103.741.71:2.40.61
Netherlands17.447469394076359961800.260.240.120.22264d 11h>1yr269.0233.634.41.03331.133.3:10.0
Austria8.90316771429670156720.14-5.940.030.37>1yrstable188.44.87.5176.04.31:23.40.93
Belgium11.52458685332049522159590.210.140.160.32324d 3h>1yr509.2288.182.6138.559.71:1.70.27
Sweden10.3344080336261454249712.284.930.540.030d 17h129d 1h394.9350.944.00.091.41:1.10.12
Denmark5.82311971641580107500.3-3.210.420.47231d 8h165d 15h205.611.010.0184.65.41:18.50.9
Portugal10.27733261117351447200790.81-0.10.760.9985d 21h92d 1h323.7114.214.1195.47.21:13.90.6
Czechia10.6949438236432567490.52-0.180.250.57133d 9h277d 19h88.322.13.063.14.81:20.70.72
Ireland4.921251117541659226980.192.960.160.0>1yr>1yr510.215.333.7461.27.31:13.70.9
Greece10.7252937138417913740.190.350.460.0361d 6h151d 23h27.412.91.712.813.01:7.70.47
Finland5.5286911109032155000.42.110.380.0175d 13h182d 2h125.019.75.899.55.81:17.10.8
Poland38.38624687115581115120141.290.290.771.8754d 1h90d 8h64.330.12.931.39.31:10.80.49
Luxembourg0.61440245311038610.06-6.160.00.17stable655.58.617.9628.92.91:35.10.96
Slovenia2.09414771010913580.051.310.190.01stable>1yr70.50.55.264.88.01:12.50.92
Romania19.4051966945731296138000.71-0.830.631.0797d 11h109d 18h101.423.66.771.19.41:10.60.7
Estonia1.32818801616916500.23-1.340.30.27308d 6h232d 13h141.512.15.2124.24.21:23.90.88
Slovakia5.45615251222813750.07-4.460.00.5stable27.92.20.525.22.01:49.00.9
Croatia4.07622464810320950.01-7.710.00.28stable55.11.22.551.44.91:20.30.93
Bulgaria7.02560120814612060.6-0.941.162.04116d 12h60d 6h36.617.32.117.212.11:8.30.47
Latvia1.9071079295247600.28-0.540.00.4247d 5h56.615.51.339.93.21:31.60.7
Hungary9.7733931120753421900.46-1.060.571.33149d 13h120d 21h40.212.45.522.424.41:4.10.56
Cyprus0.875958151177900.340.590.00.15205d 14h109.517.31.990.32.11:46.50.82
Malta0.4946225195620.19-9.00.01.52357d 9h126.010.31.8113.91.61:62.50.9
Lithuania2.79316843537112600.26-0.850.870.54263d 11h79d 15h60.312.62.545.15.61:17.80.75
EU447.941091852274403127227690222-0.990.070.160.29>1yr243.761.328.4154.118.41:5.40.63

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.243233836392973360116093820.91:4.80.690.140.140.140.150.1515.07Italy
Spain47.1240326628222712815037618.01:5.50.630.110.110.110.120.1215.57Spain
Germany83.149184121806686021674535.11:19.50.910.050.050.050.050.052.8Germany
France67.06911440015803290246957341.71:2.40.610.250.150.160.160.1611.7France
Netherlands17.447469394076359961803331.133.3:10.00.130.130.130.130.139.29Netherlands
Austria8.90316771429670156724.31:23.40.930.040.040.040.040.042.03Austria
Belgium11.524586853320495221595959.71:1.70.270.160.160.160.170.1722.33Belgium
Sweden10.33440803362614542497191.41:1.10.120.110.120.130.130.1411.88Sweden
Denmark5.82311971641580107505.41:18.50.90.050.050.050.050.052.69Denmark
Portugal10.27733261117351447200797.21:13.90.60.040.040.050.050.053.81Portugal
Czechia10.6949438236432567494.81:20.70.720.030.040.040.040.040.82Czechia
Ireland4.921251117541659226987.31:13.70.90.070.070.070.070.079.11Ireland
Greece10.72529371384179137413.01:7.70.470.060.060.060.060.060.45Greece
Finland5.5286911109032155005.81:17.10.80.050.050.050.050.051.57Finland
Poland38.38624687115581115120149.31:10.80.490.050.050.050.050.060.79Poland
Luxembourg0.61440245311038612.91:35.10.960.030.030.030.030.034.84Luxembourg
Slovenia2.09414771010913588.01:12.50.920.070.070.070.070.071.41Slovenia
Romania19.4051966945731296138009.41:10.60.70.070.070.070.070.071.81Romania
Estonia1.32818801616916504.21:23.90.880.040.040.040.040.041.4Estonia
Slovakia5.45615251222813752.01:49.00.90.020.020.020.020.020.14Slovakia
Croatia4.07622464810320954.91:20.30.930.050.050.050.050.050.68Croatia
Bulgaria7.025601208146120612.11:8.30.470.060.060.060.060.060.56Bulgaria
Latvia1.9071079295247603.21:31.60.70.020.020.020.020.020.34Latvia
Hungary9.77339311207534219024.41:4.10.560.140.140.140.140.151.48Hungary
Cyprus0.875958151177902.11:46.50.820.020.020.020.020.020.53Cyprus
Malta0.4946225195621.61:62.50.90.010.010.010.010.020.49Malta
Lithuania2.79316843537112605.61:17.80.750.040.040.040.040.040.69Lithuania
EU447.94109185227440312722769022218.41:5.40.630.120.110.110.110.117.68EU

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt