COVID-19 - EU - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

EU is a Group with the following members:
Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Go to the data tables

	absolute	cases per 100.000	abs. development 1 day	rel. development 1 day	rel. development 5 days/average
Total infections	11317352	2526.5	154967	1.39%	1.39%
Active cases	7178167	1602.5	48194	0.68%	0.46%
Deaths	259181	57.9	4391	1.72%	1.28%
Recovered	3880004	866.2	102382	2.71%	2.41%

Deaths per infected	2.29%
Recovered per infected	34.28%
Active per infected	63.43%
Deaths per recovered	6.68%
Projection: Total Case Percentage	15.64%

	Last days rate	Last average rate
Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Time to double cases	50d 6h	50d 4h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population	266d 18h	266d 8h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total:	192	Population	na
	Total cases	Cases per 100.000	Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected	na	36	52
Active	na	9	92
Deaths	na	25	36
Recovered	na	56	20
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: EU

Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Deaths	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected
		absolute values				Percentage growthrate 5d				Time to double		Cases per 100.000				% / ratio
Italy	60.243	1538217	787893	53677	696647	1.77	-0.25	1.19	3.65	39d 10h	58d 16h	2553.3	1307.8	89.1	1156.4	7.7	1:13.0	0.45
Spain	47.1	1628208	1433164	44668	150376	0.9	0.85	0.81	0.0	77d 3h	85d 18h	3456.9	3042.8	94.8	319.3	29.7	1:3.4	0.09
Germany	83.149	1038649	317425	16011	705213	2.18	0.67	2.01	2.31	32d 1h	34d 17h	1249.1	381.8	19.3	848.1	2.3	1:44.1	0.68
France	67.069	2248209	2030717	51999	165493	0.52	0.36	0.9	0.82	134d 20h	77d 5h	3352.1	3027.8	77.5	246.8	31.4	1:3.2	0.07
Netherlands	17.447	517045	500849	9343	6853	0.99	0.76	0.65	0.47	70d 15h	107d 16h	2963.6	2870.7	53.6	39.3	136.3	1.4:1	0.01
Austria	8.903	270992	64855	2886	203251	1.86	-2.38	3.05	3.02	37d 16h	23d 2h	3044.0	728.5	32.4	2283.1	1.4	1:70.4	0.75
Belgium	11.524	570829	554490	16339	31130	0.43	0.3	0.76	0.0	162d 9h	91d 16h	4953.2	4811.4	141.8	0.0	52.5	1:1.9	0.05
Sweden	10.334	243129	236448	6681	4971	3.18	2.66	0.67	0.0	22d 3h	104d 5h	2352.8	2288.2	64.7	0.0	134.4	1.3:1	0.02
Denmark	5.823	77236	15592	816	60828	1.7	1.23	0.68	1.39	41d 4h	102d 5h	1326.4	267.8	14.0	1044.7	1.3	1:74.6	0.79
Portugal	10.277	285838	82116	4276	199446	1.85	-0.39	1.56	2.33	37d 17h	44d 21h	2781.4	799.1	41.6	1940.8	2.1	1:46.7	0.7
Czechia	10.694	515984	82991	7967	425026	0.95	-3.64	1.57	1.65	73d 14h	44d 9h	4825.0	776.1	74.5	3974.5	1.9	1:53.5	0.82
Ireland	4.921	71699	46292	2043	23364	0.35	0.45	0.13	0.0	198d 23h	>1yr	1456.9	940.6	41.5	474.7	8.7	1:11.4	0.33
Greece	10.725	101287	76111	2102	23074	2.03	2.1	4.21	0.0	34d 12h	16d 19h	944.4	709.7	19.6	215.2	9.1	1:11.0	0.23
Finland	5.528	23766	6573	393	16800	1.89	0.46	0.69	1.96	36d 22h	101d 1h	430.0	118.9	7.1	303.9	2.3	1:42.7	0.71
Poland	38.386	958416	425633	16147	516636	2.16	0.34	2.73	3.16	32d 9h	25d 17h	2496.8	1108.8	42.1	1345.9	3.1	1:31.9	0.54
Luxembourg	0.614	33409	9036	300	24073	2.35	-0.61	2.5	3.24	29d 21h	28d 1h	5442.1	1471.9	48.9	3921.3	1.2	1:80.0	0.72
Slovenia	2.094	72674	20260	1293	51121	2.16	0.06	3.44	2.4	32d 9h	20d 11h	3470.4	967.5	61.7	2441.2	2.5	1:39.5	0.7
Romania	19.405	457848	120307	10884	326657	1.81	0.3	1.29	1.86	38d 16h	53d 23h	2359.4	620.0	56.1	1683.3	3.3	1:30.0	0.71
Estonia	1.328	11323	4509	104	6710	3.09	2.14	2.39	2.7	22d 17h	29d 7h	852.4	339.4	7.8	505.1	1.6	1:64.5	0.59
Slovakia	5.456	103106	43050	771	59285	1.39	-2.33	2.23	4.23	50d 5h	31d 10h	1889.6	789.0	14.1	1086.5	1.3	1:76.9	0.57
Croatia	4.076	119706	22408	1600	95698	2.91	1.77	2.79	2.32	24d 3h	25d 4h	2936.7	549.7	39.3	2347.7	1.7	1:59.9	0.8
Bulgaria	7.0	139955	89535	3680	46740	2.82	1.38	4.17	4.23	24d 23h	16d 22h	1999.4	1279.1	52.6	667.7	7.9	1:12.7	0.33
Latvia	1.907	15808	13899	190	1719	3.81	3.23	4.24	1.01	18d 12h	16d 16h	829.0	728.9	10.0	90.2	11.1	1:9.0	0.11
Hungary	9.773	198440	141950	4364	52126	2.59	1.57	2.17	3.05	27d 1h	32d 7h	2030.5	1452.5	44.7	533.4	8.4	1:11.9	0.26
Cyprus	0.875	9983	7878	48	2057	2.93	2.97	1.77	0.0	24d 0h	39d 12h	1140.9	900.3	5.5	235.1	2.3	1:42.9	0.21
Malta	0.494	9501	2076	128	7297	1.26	-0.38	2.41	1.49	55d 7h	29d 1h	1924.8	420.6	25.9	1478.3	1.8	1:57.1	0.77
Lithuania	2.793	56095	42110	471	13514	3.58	2.64	3.09	2.97	19d 16h	22d 18h	2008.1	1507.5	16.9	483.8	3.5	1:28.7	0.24
EU	447.94	11317352	7178167	259181	3880004	1.39	0.46	1.28	2.41	50d 4h	54d 15h	2526.5	1602.5	57.9	866.2	6.7	1:15.0	0.34

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected	Deaths per infected ... days ago					Possible Total %	Country
		absolute values				% / ratio		Recovered per infected	0d	5d	7d	10d	14d	Possible Total %
Italy	60.243	1538217	787893	53677	696647	7.7	1:13.0	0.45	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.05	24.08	Italy
Spain	47.1	1628208	1433164	44668	150376	29.7	1:3.4	0.09	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	25.63	Spain
Germany	83.149	1038649	317425	16011	705213	2.3	1:44.1	0.68	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	5.2	Germany
France	67.069	2248209	2030717	51999	165493	31.4	1:3.2	0.07	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	20.95	France
Netherlands	17.447	517045	500849	9343	6853	136.3	1.4:1	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	14.47	Netherlands
Austria	8.903	270992	64855	2886	203251	1.4	1:70.4	0.75	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8.76	Austria
Belgium	11.524	570829	554490	16339	31130	52.5	1:1.9	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	38.32	Belgium
Sweden	10.334	243129	236448	6681	4971	134.4	1.3:1	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	17.47	Sweden
Denmark	5.823	77236	15592	816	60828	1.3	1:74.6	0.79	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	3.79	Denmark
Portugal	10.277	285838	82116	4276	199446	2.1	1:46.7	0.7	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	11.25	Portugal
Czechia	10.694	515984	82991	7967	425026	1.9	1:53.5	0.82	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	20.14	Czechia
Ireland	4.921	71699	46292	2043	23364	8.7	1:11.4	0.33	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	11.22	Ireland
Greece	10.725	101287	76111	2102	23074	9.1	1:11.0	0.23	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	5.3	Greece
Finland	5.528	23766	6573	393	16800	2.3	1:42.7	0.71	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	1.92	Finland
Poland	38.386	958416	425633	16147	516636	3.1	1:31.9	0.54	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	11.37	Poland
Luxembourg	0.614	33409	9036	300	24073	1.2	1:80.0	0.72	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	13.21	Luxembourg
Slovenia	2.094	72674	20260	1293	51121	2.5	1:39.5	0.7	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	16.69	Slovenia
Romania	19.405	457848	120307	10884	326657	3.3	1:30.0	0.71	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	15.16	Romania
Estonia	1.328	11323	4509	104	6710	1.6	1:64.5	0.59	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	2.12	Estonia
Slovakia	5.456	103106	43050	771	59285	1.3	1:76.9	0.57	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	3.82	Slovakia
Croatia	4.076	119706	22408	1600	95698	1.7	1:59.9	0.8	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	10.61	Croatia
Bulgaria	7.0	139955	89535	3680	46740	7.9	1:12.7	0.33	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	14.21	Bulgaria
Latvia	1.907	15808	13899	190	1719	11.1	1:9.0	0.11	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	2.69	Latvia
Hungary	9.773	198440	141950	4364	52126	8.4	1:11.9	0.26	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	12.07	Hungary
Cyprus	0.875	9983	7878	48	2057	2.3	1:42.9	0.21	0.0	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	1.48	Cyprus
Malta	0.494	9501	2076	128	7297	1.8	1:57.1	0.77	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	7.01	Malta
Lithuania	2.793	56095	42110	471	13514	3.5	1:28.7	0.24	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	4.56	Lithuania
EU	447.94	11317352	7178167	259181	3880004	6.7	1:15.0	0.34	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	15.64	EU

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt