COVID-19 - EU - 20-08-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

EU is a Group with the following members:
Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 1511882 337.5 13737 0.92% 0.74%
Active cases 517299 115.5 10053 1.98% 1.28%
Deaths 136761 30.5 117 0.09% 0.06%
Recovered 857822191.535670.42%0.21%
Deaths per infected 9.05%
Recovered per infected56.74%
Active per infected 34.22%
Deaths per recovered 15.94%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
8.25%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 75d 22h 94d 13h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population>1yr stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 56 99
Active na 39 60
Deaths na 18 110
Recovered na 56 135
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: EU

Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.24324920412694351872013230.110.30.020.07>1yrstable413.721.158.4334.217.51:5.70.81
Spain47.1309855130979285001503761.443.00.040.048d 10hstable657.9278.160.5319.318.91:5.30.49
Germany83.1492150391057791811952810.382.440.050.2182d 22hstable258.612.711.0234.94.71:21.30.91
France67.06923131011841030308825920.540.50.020.13128d 21hstable344.9176.545.2123.136.71:2.70.36
Netherlands17.447574655105761732350.870.70.020.779d 17hstable329.4292.635.41.32626.826.3:10.0
Austria8.903216961381719195960.45-2.560.030.58153d 14hstable243.715.58.1220.13.71:27.20.9
Belgium11.52472016444559861177000.740.780.030.193d 16hstable624.9385.785.6153.655.71:1.80.25
Sweden10.3348196776201576649710.380.290.060.0181d 23hstable793.2737.455.80.0116.01.2:10.06
Denmark5.82314586976617129930.786.660.030.2888d 17hstable250.516.810.6223.14.81:21.10.89
Portugal10.27752061124781743378400.29-0.390.030.42238d 11hstable506.6121.417.0368.24.61:21.70.73
Czechia10.694177315021390123201.212.050.260.5557d 18h264d 20h165.847.03.6115.23.21:31.50.69
Ireland4.9212637212401768233640.23.690.00.0345d 18h535.925.235.9474.77.61:13.20.89
Greece10.7255123353921013742.242.440.390.031d 8h179d 21h47.833.02.012.815.31:6.50.27
Finland5.528753222133169800.244.220.120.09291d 12h>1yr136.34.06.0126.34.71:21.10.93
Poland38.38649515120991774356421.332.710.40.5552d 9h171d 20h129.031.54.692.95.01:20.10.72
Luxembourg0.6147073120411957500.81-2.750.341.6385d 17h202d 5h1152.1196.119.4936.62.11:48.30.81
Slovenia2.094222318912519090.47-2.790.830.68146d 7h84d 1h106.29.06.091.26.51:15.30.86
Romania19.40557895263372566289922.132.61.170.8932d 22h59d 15h298.3135.713.2149.48.81:11.30.5
Estonia1.32821241076319540.58.38-1.740.14139d 16h159.98.14.7147.13.21:31.10.92
Slovakia5.45624806272918241.21.590.00.458d 3h45.511.50.533.41.61:62.90.74
Croatia4.076540456115546880.68-2.971.221.12102d 6h57d 4h132.613.83.8115.03.31:30.20.87
Bulgaria7.013014520543573741.920.341.962.2836d 12h35d 17h185.974.46.2105.35.91:16.90.57
Latvia1.90712751733210700.590.260.00.34117d 11h66.99.11.756.13.01:33.40.84
Hungary9.773459753460034630.31-1.110.070.4222d 12hstable47.05.56.135.417.31:5.80.75
Cyprus0.8751208333198561.454.870.00.0948d 0h138.138.12.297.82.21:45.00.71
Malta0.49494626796702.297.920.00.0930d 15h191.754.11.8135.71.31:74.60.71
Lithuania2.79321714348116560.732.440.250.0794d 16h277d 14h77.715.52.959.34.91:20.40.76
EU447.9415118825172991367618578220.741.280.060.2194d 13hstable337.5115.530.5191.515.91:6.30.57

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.243249204126943518720132317.51:5.70.810.140.140.140.140.1415.79Italy
Spain47.13098551309792850015037618.91:5.30.490.090.10.10.10.116.35Spain
Germany83.1492150391057791811952814.71:21.30.910.040.040.040.040.042.98Germany
France67.069231310118410303088259236.71:2.70.360.130.130.130.140.1412.21France
Netherlands17.447574655105761732352626.826.3:10.00.110.110.110.120.129.56Netherlands
Austria8.903216961381719195963.71:27.20.90.030.030.030.030.042.18Austria
Belgium11.524720164445598611770055.71:1.80.250.140.140.140.150.1523.13Belgium
Sweden10.334819677620157664971116.01.2:10.060.070.070.070.070.0715.08Sweden
Denmark5.82314586976617129934.81:21.10.890.040.040.040.040.052.86Denmark
Portugal10.27752061124781743378404.61:21.70.730.030.030.030.030.044.58Portugal
Czechia10.694177315021390123203.21:31.50.690.020.020.020.020.030.99Czechia
Ireland4.9212637212401768233647.61:13.20.890.070.070.070.070.079.71Ireland
Greece10.72551233539210137415.31:6.50.270.040.050.050.050.050.53Greece
Finland5.528753222133169804.71:21.10.930.040.040.040.040.041.62Finland
Poland38.38649515120991774356425.01:20.10.720.040.040.040.040.041.25Poland
Luxembourg0.6147073120411957502.11:48.30.810.020.020.020.020.025.24Luxembourg
Slovenia2.094222318912519096.51:15.30.860.060.060.060.060.061.61Slovenia
Romania19.40557895263372566289928.81:11.30.50.040.050.050.050.063.57Romania
Estonia1.32821241076319543.21:31.10.920.030.030.030.030.031.28Estonia
Slovakia5.45624806272918241.61:62.90.740.010.010.010.010.010.14Slovakia
Croatia4.076540456115546883.31:30.20.870.030.030.030.030.031.03Croatia
Bulgaria7.013014520543573745.91:16.90.570.030.040.040.040.041.68Bulgaria
Latvia1.90712751733210703.01:33.40.840.030.030.030.030.030.45Latvia
Hungary9.7734597534600346317.31:5.80.750.130.130.130.130.141.66Hungary
Cyprus0.8751208333198562.21:45.00.710.020.020.020.020.020.59Cyprus
Malta0.49494626796701.31:74.60.710.010.010.010.010.010.49Malta
Lithuania2.79321714348116564.91:20.40.760.040.040.040.040.040.78Lithuania
EU447.94151188251729913676185782215.91:6.30.570.090.090.090.10.18.25EU

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt