COVID-19 - Bulgaria - 21-04-17

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Bulgaria is included in the following groups: EU - Eastern Europe - Europe - UNR Eastern European Group - WHO European Region
Bulgaria has a landborder to: Greece - North Macedonia - Romania - Serbia - Turkey

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 385963 5513.8 1076 0.28% 0.55%
Active cases 33704 481.5 -843 -2.44% -4.3%
Deaths 15138 216.3 38 0.25% 0.77%
Recovered 3371214816.018810.56%1.17%
Incidence206.0
R7-Value0.75
Deaths per infected 3.92%
Recovered per infected87.35%
Deaths per recovered 4.49%

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 194Population 105
Incidence: 34R7 Value 142
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (7 days)
Infected 43 47 67
Active 37 26 142
Deaths 31 6 39
Recovered 46 48 21
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate over the last seven days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last weeks rate
Time to double active cases
Time to double total cases 127d 6h
Time to reach a million cases 174d 18h
Time to saturate the population>1yr

Diagrams

Neighbours of Bulgaria

Greece - North Macedonia - Romania - Serbia - Turkey

Bulgaria in its groups

EU - Eastern Europe - Europe - UNR Eastern European Group - WHO European Region