COVID-19 - Belgium - 20-05-28

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Belgium is included in the following groups: EU - Female Heads of State - Western Europe - Europe - UNR Western European and Others Group - WHO European Region
Belgium has a landborder to: France - Germany - Luxembourg - Netherlands

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 57849 502.0 257 0.45% 0.36%
Active cases 32889 285.4 126 0.38% 0.21%
Deaths 9388 81.5 24 0.26% 0.27%
Recovered 15572135.11070.69%0.41%
Deaths per infected 16.23%
Recovered per infected26.92%
Active per infected 56.85%
Deaths per recovered 60.29%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
22.02%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 155d 16h 191d 4h
Time to reach a million cases >1yrstable
Time to saturate the populationstable stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population 81
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected 19 12 131
Active 15 9 102
Deaths 7 2 105
Recovered 25 31 129
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Neighbours of Belgium

France - Germany - Luxembourg - Netherlands

Belgium in its groups

EU - Female Heads of State - Western Europe - Europe - UNR Western European and Others Group - WHO European Region

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt