COVID-19 - West Bank and Gaza - 20-08-04

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

West Bank and Gaza is included in the following groups: Western Asia - Asia - UNR Asia and the Pacific Group - WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region
West Bank and Gaza has a landborder to: Egypt - Israel - Jordan

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 12770 345.1 229 1.83% 2.05%
Active cases 6265 169.3 -802 -11.35% 1.86%
Deaths 86 2.3 2 2.38% 0.73%
Recovered 6419173.5102919.09%1.48%
Deaths per infected 0.67%
Recovered per infected50.27%
Active per infected 49.06%
Deaths per recovered 1.34%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
0.63%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 38d 7h 34d 4h
Time to reach a million cases 240d 23h215d 4h
Time to saturate the population313d 6h 279d 17h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population 130
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected 77 53 46
Active 59 32 63
Deaths 101 89 69
Recovered 82 57 59
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Neighbours of West Bank and Gaza

Egypt - Israel - Jordan

West Bank and Gaza in its groups

Western Asia - Asia - UNR Asia and the Pacific Group - WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt