COVID-19 - Western Asia - 20-06-03

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Western Asia is a Group with the following members:
Armenia - Azerbaijan - Bahrain - Cyprus - Georgia - Iraq - Israel - Jordan - Kuwait - Lebanon - Oman - Qatar - Saudi Arabia - Syria - Turkey - United Arab Emirates - West Bank and Gaza - Yemen

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 458933 167.8 9227 2.05% 1.97%
Active cases 141085 51.6 1586 1.14% -0.74%
Deaths 6783 2.5 117 1.76% 1.22%
Recovered 311065113.775242.48%2.74%
Deaths per infected 1.48%
Recovered per infected67.78%
Active per infected 30.74%
Deaths per recovered 2.18%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
0.67%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 34d 3h 35d 14h
Time to reach a million cases 38d 8h40d 0h
Time to saturate the population314d 14h 328d 8h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 45 78
Active na 39 133
Deaths na 55 58
Recovered na 39 56
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Western Asia

Armenia - Azerbaijan - Bahrain - Cyprus - Georgia - Iraq - Israel - Jordan - Kuwait - Lebanon - Oman - Qatar - Saudi Arabia - Syria - Turkey - United Arab Emirates - West Bank and Gaza - Yemen

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Israel9.175173772103291149830.461.30.420.22152d 14h164d 20h189.422.93.2163.31.91:51.50.86
Qatar2.747621602457345375423.28-5.543.6612.1621d 11h19d 6h2262.6894.41.61366.50.11:833.30.6
Turkey83.1551664223096146091308520.53-0.390.420.62132d 7h163d 16h200.137.25.5157.43.51:28.40.79
Bahrain1.5431281553852074104.170.685.025.4916d 23h14d 3h830.4348.91.3480.10.31:370.40.58
Saudi Arabia34.2189118222444579681592.2-1.333.712.9231d 19h19d 0h266.565.61.7199.20.81:117.60.75
Iraq39.1288168381725640956.846.684.942.9110d 11h14d 8h20.99.80.710.56.21:16.00.5
Lebanon6.8251256505277241.42.40.770.3950d 0h90d 10h18.47.40.410.63.71:26.80.58
Kuwait4.422935913379230157503.12-2.073.129.1322d 14h22d 13h664.2302.75.2356.31.51:68.50.54
United Arab Emirates9.893635916936270191531.851.210.681.8437d 18h101d 17h367.6171.22.7193.71.41:70.90.53
Armenia2.95810524690017034543.944.125.750.7817d 21h12d 9h355.8233.35.7116.84.91:20.30.33
Jordan10.64175718795610.73-1.620.01.6195d 8h7.11.80.15.31.61:62.50.74
Cyprus0.875958151177900.340.590.00.15205d 14h109.517.31.990.32.11:46.50.82
Oman4.66513537106256728456.646.168.343.3610d 18h8d 15h290.2227.81.461.02.41:42.40.21
Azerbaijan10.067626025197636654.655.024.162.6915d 6h17d 0h62.225.00.836.42.11:48.30.59
Georgia3.724800147136401.41-0.851.671.9549d 9h41d 22h21.53.90.317.22.01:49.30.8
Syria17.5123646530.16-2.179.03.13>1yr8d 1h0.70.40.00.311.31:8.80.43
West Bank and Gaza3.74578233720.490.290.00.22141d 23h12.42.20.110.10.81:123.50.81
Yemen28.2541930795178.217.646.196.68d 18h11d 13h1.51.10.30.1558.85.6:10.04
Western Asia273.4845893314108567833110651.97-0.741.222.7435d 14h57d 5h167.851.62.5113.72.21:45.90.68

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Israel9.175173772103291149831.91:51.50.860.020.020.020.020.020.86Israel
Qatar2.747621602457345375420.11:833.30.60.00.00.00.00.00.44Qatar
Turkey83.1551664223096146091308523.51:28.40.790.030.030.030.030.031.5Turkey
Bahrain1.5431281553852074100.31:370.40.580.00.00.00.00.00.35Bahrain
Saudi Arabia34.2189118222444579681590.81:117.60.750.010.010.010.010.010.46Saudi Arabia
Iraq39.1288168381725640956.21:16.00.50.030.040.050.060.070.18Iraq
Lebanon6.8251256505277243.71:26.80.580.020.020.020.020.030.11Lebanon
Kuwait4.422935913379230157501.51:68.50.540.010.010.010.010.011.41Kuwait
United Arab Emirates9.893635916936270191531.41:70.90.530.010.010.010.010.010.74United Arab Emirates
Armenia2.95810524690017034544.91:20.30.330.020.020.020.020.031.55Armenia
Jordan10.64175718795611.61:62.50.740.010.010.010.010.010.02Jordan
Cyprus0.875958151177902.11:46.50.820.020.020.020.020.020.53Cyprus
Oman4.66513537106256728452.41:42.40.210.00.010.010.010.010.39Oman
Azerbaijan10.067626025197636652.11:48.30.590.010.010.020.020.020.2Azerbaijan
Georgia3.724800147136402.01:49.30.80.020.020.020.020.020.09Georgia
Syria17.51236465311.31:8.80.430.050.050.050.060.10.01Syria
West Bank and Gaza3.74578233720.81:123.50.810.010.010.010.010.010.02West Bank and Gaza
Yemen28.254193079517558.85.6:10.040.230.310.340.410.480.09Yemen
Western Asia273.4845893314108567833110652.21:45.90.680.010.020.020.020.020.67Western Asia

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt