COVID-19 - Western Asia - 20-06-03

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Western Asia is a Group with the following members:
Armenia - Azerbaijan - Bahrain - Cyprus - Georgia - Iraq - Israel - Jordan - Kuwait - Lebanon - Oman - Qatar - Saudi Arabia - Syria - Turkey - United Arab Emirates - West Bank and Gaza - Yemen

Go to the data tables

	absolute	cases per 100.000	abs. development 1 day	rel. development 1 day	rel. development 5 days/average
Total infections	458933	167.8	9227	2.05%	1.97%
Active cases	141085	51.6	1586	1.14%	-0.74%
Deaths	6783	2.5	117	1.76%	1.22%
Recovered	311065	113.7	7524	2.48%	2.74%

Deaths per infected	1.48%
Recovered per infected	67.78%
Active per infected	30.74%
Deaths per recovered	2.18%
Projection: Total Case Percentage	0.67%

	Last days rate	Last average rate
Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Time to double cases	34d 3h	35d 14h
Time to reach a million cases	38d 8h	40d 0h
Time to saturate the population	314d 14h	328d 8h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total:	189	Population	na
	Total cases	Cases per 100.000	Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected	na	45	78
Active	na	39	133
Deaths	na	55	58
Recovered	na	39	56
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Western Asia

Armenia - Azerbaijan - Bahrain - Cyprus - Georgia - Iraq - Israel - Jordan - Kuwait - Lebanon - Oman - Qatar - Saudi Arabia - Syria - Turkey - United Arab Emirates - West Bank and Gaza - Yemen

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Deaths	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected
		absolute values				Percentage growthrate 5d				Time to double		Cases per 100.000				% / ratio
Israel	9.175	17377	2103	291	14983	0.46	1.3	0.42	0.22	152d 14h	164d 20h	189.4	22.9	3.2	163.3	1.9	1:51.5	0.86
Qatar	2.747	62160	24573	45	37542	3.28	-5.54	3.66	12.16	21d 11h	19d 6h	2262.6	894.4	1.6	1366.5	0.1	1:833.3	0.6
Turkey	83.155	166422	30961	4609	130852	0.53	-0.39	0.42	0.62	132d 7h	163d 16h	200.1	37.2	5.5	157.4	3.5	1:28.4	0.79
Bahrain	1.543	12815	5385	20	7410	4.17	0.68	5.02	5.49	16d 23h	14d 3h	830.4	348.9	1.3	480.1	0.3	1:370.4	0.58
Saudi Arabia	34.218	91182	22444	579	68159	2.2	-1.33	3.71	2.92	31d 19h	19d 0h	266.5	65.6	1.7	199.2	0.8	1:117.6	0.75
Iraq	39.128	8168	3817	256	4095	6.84	6.68	4.94	2.91	10d 11h	14d 8h	20.9	9.8	0.7	10.5	6.2	1:16.0	0.5
Lebanon	6.825	1256	505	27	724	1.4	2.4	0.77	0.39	50d 0h	90d 10h	18.4	7.4	0.4	10.6	3.7	1:26.8	0.58
Kuwait	4.42	29359	13379	230	15750	3.12	-2.07	3.12	9.13	22d 14h	22d 13h	664.2	302.7	5.2	356.3	1.5	1:68.5	0.54
United Arab Emirates	9.89	36359	16936	270	19153	1.85	1.21	0.68	1.84	37d 18h	101d 17h	367.6	171.2	2.7	193.7	1.4	1:70.9	0.53
Armenia	2.958	10524	6900	170	3454	3.94	4.12	5.75	0.78	17d 21h	12d 9h	355.8	233.3	5.7	116.8	4.9	1:20.3	0.33
Jordan	10.641	757	187	9	561	0.73	-1.62	0.0	1.61	95d 8h		7.1	1.8	0.1	5.3	1.6	1:62.5	0.74
Cyprus	0.875	958	151	17	790	0.34	0.59	0.0	0.15	205d 14h		109.5	17.3	1.9	90.3	2.1	1:46.5	0.82
Oman	4.665	13537	10625	67	2845	6.64	6.16	8.34	3.36	10d 18h	8d 15h	290.2	227.8	1.4	61.0	2.4	1:42.4	0.21
Azerbaijan	10.067	6260	2519	76	3665	4.65	5.02	4.16	2.69	15d 6h	17d 0h	62.2	25.0	0.8	36.4	2.1	1:48.3	0.59
Georgia	3.724	800	147	13	640	1.41	-0.85	1.67	1.95	49d 9h	41d 22h	21.5	3.9	0.3	17.2	2.0	1:49.3	0.8
Syria	17.5	123	64	6	53	0.16	-2.17	9.0	3.13	>1yr	8d 1h	0.7	0.4	0.0	0.3	11.3	1:8.8	0.43
West Bank and Gaza	3.7	457	82	3	372	0.49	0.29	0.0	0.22	141d 23h		12.4	2.2	0.1	10.1	0.8	1:123.5	0.81
Yemen	28.25	419	307	95	17	8.21	7.64	6.19	6.6	8d 18h	11d 13h	1.5	1.1	0.3	0.1	558.8	5.6:1	0.04
Western Asia	273.48	458933	141085	6783	311065	1.97	-0.74	1.22	2.74	35d 14h	57d 5h	167.8	51.6	2.5	113.7	2.2	1:45.9	0.68

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected	Deaths per infected ... days ago					Possible Total %	Country
		absolute values				% / ratio		Recovered per infected	0d	5d	7d	10d	14d	Possible Total %
Israel	9.175	17377	2103	291	14983	1.9	1:51.5	0.86	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.86	Israel
Qatar	2.747	62160	24573	45	37542	0.1	1:833.3	0.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.44	Qatar
Turkey	83.155	166422	30961	4609	130852	3.5	1:28.4	0.79	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	1.5	Turkey
Bahrain	1.543	12815	5385	20	7410	0.3	1:370.4	0.58	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.35	Bahrain
Saudi Arabia	34.218	91182	22444	579	68159	0.8	1:117.6	0.75	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.46	Saudi Arabia
Iraq	39.128	8168	3817	256	4095	6.2	1:16.0	0.5	0.03	0.04	0.05	0.06	0.07	0.18	Iraq
Lebanon	6.825	1256	505	27	724	3.7	1:26.8	0.58	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.11	Lebanon
Kuwait	4.42	29359	13379	230	15750	1.5	1:68.5	0.54	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	1.41	Kuwait
United Arab Emirates	9.89	36359	16936	270	19153	1.4	1:70.9	0.53	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.74	United Arab Emirates
Armenia	2.958	10524	6900	170	3454	4.9	1:20.3	0.33	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	1.55	Armenia
Jordan	10.641	757	187	9	561	1.6	1:62.5	0.74	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	Jordan
Cyprus	0.875	958	151	17	790	2.1	1:46.5	0.82	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.53	Cyprus
Oman	4.665	13537	10625	67	2845	2.4	1:42.4	0.21	0.0	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.39	Oman
Azerbaijan	10.067	6260	2519	76	3665	2.1	1:48.3	0.59	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.2	Azerbaijan
Georgia	3.724	800	147	13	640	2.0	1:49.3	0.8	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.09	Georgia
Syria	17.5	123	64	6	53	11.3	1:8.8	0.43	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.06	0.1	0.01	Syria
West Bank and Gaza	3.7	457	82	3	372	0.8	1:123.5	0.81	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	West Bank and Gaza
Yemen	28.25	419	307	95	17	558.8	5.6:1	0.04	0.23	0.31	0.34	0.41	0.48	0.09	Yemen
Western Asia	273.48	458933	141085	6783	311065	2.2	1:45.9	0.68	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.67	Western Asia

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt