COVID-19 - Western Asia - 20-08-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Western Asia is a Group with the following members:
Armenia - Azerbaijan - Bahrain - Cyprus - Georgia - Iraq - Israel - Jordan - Kuwait - Lebanon - Oman - Qatar - Saudi Arabia - Syria - Turkey - United Arab Emirates - West Bank and Gaza - Yemen

Go to the data tables

	absolute	cases per 100.000	abs. development 1 day	rel. development 1 day	rel. development 5 days/average
Total infections	1207786	441.6	10238	0.85%	0.78%
Active cases	156474	57.2	-1730	-1.09%	-1.38%
Deaths	18255	6.7	145	0.8%	0.8%
Recovered	1033057	377.7	11823	1.16%	0.94%

Deaths per infected	1.51%
Recovered per infected	85.53%
Active per infected	12.96%
Deaths per recovered	1.77%
Projection: Total Case Percentage	1.8%

	Last days rate	Last average rate
Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Time to double cases	81d 10h	88d 22h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population	>1yr	>1yr

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total:	189	Population	na
	Total cases	Cases per 100.000	Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected	na	42	95
Active	na	57	136
Deaths	na	51	70
Recovered	na	32	76
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Western Asia

Armenia - Azerbaijan - Bahrain - Cyprus - Georgia - Iraq - Israel - Jordan - Kuwait - Lebanon - Oman - Qatar - Saudi Arabia - Syria - Turkey - United Arab Emirates - West Bank and Gaza - Yemen

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Deaths	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected
		absolute values				Percentage growthrate 5d				Time to double		Cases per 100.000				% / ratio
Israel	9.175	79559	25556	576	53427	1.96	-0.47	1.45	2.66	35d 18h	48d 7h	867.2	278.6	6.3	582.3	1.1	1:92.6	0.67
Qatar	2.747	112092	3083	178	108831	0.21	-0.45	0.46	0.18	327d 4h	151d 17h	4080.1	112.2	6.5	3961.4	0.2	1:625.0	0.97
Turkey	83.155	237265	10921	5798	220546	0.46	0.34	0.26	0.37	150d 15h	269d 1h	285.3	13.1	7.0	265.2	2.6	1:38.0	0.93
Bahrain	1.543	42889	2788	156	39945	0.81	-0.3	0.94	0.71	85d 17h	74d 4h	2779.0	180.7	10.1	2588.3	0.4	1:256.4	0.93
Saudi Arabia	34.218	284226	34082	3055	247089	0.48	-1.41	0.91	0.65	144d 5h	76d 20h	830.6	99.6	8.9	722.1	1.2	1:80.6	0.87
Iraq	39.128	140603	34417	5161	101025	2.1	0.85	1.18	1.98	33d 7h	59d 5h	359.3	88.0	13.2	258.2	5.1	1:19.6	0.72
Lebanon	6.825	5672	3628	70	1974	3.72	3.65	2.22	1.32	18d 22h	31d 14h	83.1	53.2	1.0	28.9	3.5	1:28.2	0.35
Kuwait	4.42	70045	7966	469	61610	0.76	-1.0	0.65	0.8	91d 17h	106d 7h	1584.7	180.2	10.6	1393.9	0.8	1:131.6	0.88
United Arab Emirates	9.89	61845	5752	354	55739	0.35	-0.94	0.11	0.41	195d 19h	>1yr	625.3	58.2	3.6	563.6	0.6	1:156.2	0.9
Armenia	2.958	39819	7491	772	31556	0.5	-1.36	0.56	0.86	139d 7h	125d 4h	1346.4	253.3	26.1	1067.0	2.5	1:40.8	0.79
Jordan	10.641	1232	50	11	1171	0.39	-9.29	0.0	1.18	176d 2h		11.6	0.5	0.1	11.0	0.9	1:106.4	0.95
Cyprus	0.875	1208	333	19	856	1.45	4.87	0.0	0.09	48d 0h		138.1	38.1	2.2	97.8	2.2	1:45.0	0.71
Oman	4.665	80713	9311	492	70910	0.39	-8.46	3.18	2.73	177d 13h	22d 2h	1730.3	199.6	10.5	1520.1	0.7	1:144.9	0.88
Azerbaijan	10.067	33247	3493	479	29275	0.67	-6.2	0.95	1.73	103d 22h	73d 2h	330.3	34.7	4.8	290.8	1.6	1:61.0	0.88
Georgia	3.724	1206	202	17	987	0.59	-0.09	0.0	0.56	117d 12h		32.4	5.4	0.5	26.5	1.7	1:58.1	0.82
Syria	17.5	999	640	48	311	5.08	3.74	2.24	4.58	13d 23h	31d 5h	5.7	3.7	0.3	1.8	15.4	1:6.5	0.31
West Bank and Gaza	3.7	13398	6399	92	6907	1.96	-1.05	1.41	4.69	35d 17h	49d 8h	362.1	172.9	2.5	186.7	1.3	1:75.2	0.52
Yemen	28.25	1768	362	508	898	0.44	-0.62	0.56	0.74	158d 23h	123d 18h	6.3	1.3	1.8	3.2	56.6	1:1.8	0.51
Western Asia	273.48	1207786	156474	18255	1033057	0.78	-1.38	0.8	0.94	88d 22h	87d 4h	441.6	57.2	6.7	377.7	1.8	1:56.5	0.86

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected	Deaths per infected ... days ago					Possible Total %	Country
		absolute values				% / ratio		Recovered per infected	0d	5d	7d	10d	14d	Possible Total %
Israel	9.175	79559	25556	576	53427	1.1	1:92.6	0.67	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	1.7	Israel
Qatar	2.747	112092	3083	178	108831	0.2	1:625.0	0.97	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.75	Qatar
Turkey	83.155	237265	10921	5798	220546	2.6	1:38.0	0.93	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	1.88	Turkey
Bahrain	1.543	42889	2788	156	39945	0.4	1:256.4	0.93	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.73	Bahrain
Saudi Arabia	34.218	284226	34082	3055	247089	1.2	1:80.6	0.87	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	2.41	Saudi Arabia
Iraq	39.128	140603	34417	5161	101025	5.1	1:19.6	0.72	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.05	3.56	Iraq
Lebanon	6.825	5672	3628	70	1974	3.5	1:28.2	0.35	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.28	Lebanon
Kuwait	4.42	70045	7966	469	61610	0.8	1:131.6	0.88	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	2.87	Kuwait
United Arab Emirates	9.89	61845	5752	354	55739	0.6	1:156.2	0.9	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.97	United Arab Emirates
Armenia	2.958	39819	7491	772	31556	2.5	1:40.8	0.79	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	7.05	Armenia
Jordan	10.641	1232	50	11	1171	0.9	1:106.4	0.95	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	Jordan
Cyprus	0.875	1208	333	19	856	2.2	1:45.0	0.71	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.59	Cyprus
Oman	4.665	80713	9311	492	70910	0.7	1:144.9	0.88	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	2.85	Oman
Azerbaijan	10.067	33247	3493	479	29275	1.6	1:61.0	0.88	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	1.29	Azerbaijan
Georgia	3.724	1206	202	17	987	1.7	1:58.1	0.82	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.12	Georgia
Syria	17.5	999	640	48	311	15.4	1:6.5	0.31	0.05	0.06	0.06	0.07	0.08	0.07	Syria
West Bank and Gaza	3.7	13398	6399	92	6907	1.3	1:75.2	0.52	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.67	West Bank and Gaza
Yemen	28.25	1768	362	508	898	56.6	1:1.8	0.51	0.29	0.29	0.29	0.3	0.3	0.49	Yemen
Western Asia	273.48	1207786	156474	18255	1033057	1.8	1:56.5	0.86	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	1.8	Western Asia

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt