COVID-19 - Western Asia - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Western Asia is a Group with the following members:
Armenia - Azerbaijan - Bahrain - Cyprus - Georgia - Iraq - Israel - Jordan - Kuwait - Lebanon - Oman - Qatar - Saudi Arabia - Syria - Turkey - United Arab Emirates - West Bank and Gaza - Yemen

Go to the data tables

	absolute	cases per 100.000	abs. development 1 day	rel. development 1 day	rel. development 5 days/average
Total infections	3237829	1183.9	68715	2.17%	1.38%
Active cases	472092	172.6	45553	10.68%	2.71%
Deaths	47311	17.3	423	0.9%	0.77%
Recovered	2718426	994.0	22739	0.84%	0.69%

Deaths per infected	1.46%
Recovered per infected	83.96%
Active per infected	14.58%
Deaths per recovered	1.74%
Projection: Total Case Percentage	4.68%

	Last days rate	Last average rate
Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Time to double cases	32d 7h	50d 15h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population	206d 19h	324d 5h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total:	192	Population	na
	Total cases	Cases per 100.000	Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected	na	67	54
Active	na	64	37
Deaths	na	67	52
Recovered	na	53	73
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Western Asia

Armenia - Azerbaijan - Bahrain - Cyprus - Georgia - Iraq - Israel - Jordan - Kuwait - Lebanon - Oman - Qatar - Saudi Arabia - Syria - Turkey - United Arab Emirates - West Bank and Gaza - Yemen

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Deaths	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected
		absolute values				Percentage growthrate 5d				Time to double		Cases per 100.000				% / ratio
Israel	9.175	333802	9617	2839	321346	0.3	2.77	0.25	0.18	235d 2h	278d 17h	3638.3	104.8	30.9	3502.6	0.9	1:113.6	0.96
Qatar	2.747	138250	2643	237	135370	0.15	-0.59	0.08	0.14	>1yr	stable	5032.2	96.2	8.6	4927.4	0.2	1:555.6	0.98
Turkey	83.155	548244	142437	13191	392616	4.23	12.42	1.04	0.74	16d 17h	66d 22h	659.3	171.3	15.9	472.1	3.4	1:29.8	0.72
Bahrain	1.543	86515	1521	341	84653	0.19	-0.55	0.18	0.16	>1yr	>1yr	5605.8	98.6	22.1	5485.2	0.4	1:250.0	0.98
Saudi Arabia	34.218	356691	5212	5857	345622	0.08	-2.66	0.21	0.11	stable	335d 12h	1042.4	15.2	17.1	1010.1	1.7	1:59.2	0.97
Iraq	39.128	547215	58751	12167	476297	0.44	0.09	0.28	0.38	157d 17h	249d 18h	1398.5	150.2	31.1	1217.3	2.5	1:39.2	0.87
Lebanon	6.825	123982	48994	980	74008	1.26	0.49	1.6	1.29	55d 11h	43d 17h	1816.5	717.8	14.4	1084.3	1.3	1:75.8	0.6
Kuwait	4.42	141876	5699	874	135303	0.26	-3.29	0.14	0.39	268d 10h	>1yr	3209.8	128.9	19.8	3061.1	0.7	1:153.8	0.95
United Arab Emirates	9.89	165250	11975	567	152708	0.78	3.83	0.43	0.4	89d 17h	160d 22h	1670.8	121.1	5.7	1544.0	0.4	1:270.3	0.92
Armenia	2.958	132346	25107	2090	105149	0.95	-3.06	1.16	1.85	73d 2h	59d 22h	4474.9	848.9	70.7	3555.3	2.0	1:50.3	0.79
Jordan	10.641	207601	64631	2570	140400	2.51	-0.69	2.34	3.55	27d 23h	29d 23h	1951.0	607.4	24.2	1319.5	1.8	1:54.6	0.68
Cyprus	0.875	9983	7878	48	2057	2.93	2.97	1.77	0.0	24d 0h	39d 12h	1140.9	900.3	5.5	235.1	2.3	1:42.9	0.21
Oman	4.665	122579	7332	1391	113856	0.08	-0.27	0.16	0.1	stable	>1yr	2627.7	157.2	29.8	2440.7	1.2	1:82.0	0.93
Azerbaijan	10.067	109813	38591	1291	69931	3.36	5.26	2.12	1.44	20d 23h	32d 23h	1090.8	383.3	12.8	694.6	1.9	1:54.1	0.64
Georgia	3.724	123470	20039	1161	102270	3.35	0.74	2.87	2.91	21d 1h	24d 11h	3316.0	538.2	31.2	2746.6	1.1	1:87.7	0.83
Syria	17.5	7635	3842	404	3389	1.11	0.32	1.2	1.46	62d 18h	58d 6h	43.6	22.0	2.3	19.4	11.9	1:8.4	0.44
West Bank and Gaza	3.7	80429	17780	689	61960	2.34	6.75	1.35	0.74	29d 23h	51d 16h	2173.8	480.5	18.6	1674.6	1.1	1:90.1	0.77
Yemen	28.25	2148	43	614	1491	0.46	-0.82	0.13	0.49	150d 4h	>1yr	7.6	0.2	2.2	5.3	41.2	1:2.4	0.69
Western Asia	273.48	3237829	472092	47311	2718426	1.38	2.71	0.77	0.69	50d 15h	90d 9h	1183.9	172.6	17.3	994.0	1.7	1:57.5	0.84

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected	Deaths per infected ... days ago					Possible Total %	Country
		absolute values				% / ratio		Recovered per infected	0d	5d	7d	10d	14d	Possible Total %
Israel	9.175	333802	9617	2839	321346	0.9	1:113.6	0.96	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8.36	Israel
Qatar	2.747	138250	2643	237	135370	0.2	1:555.6	0.98	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.33	Qatar
Turkey	83.155	548244	142437	13191	392616	3.4	1:29.8	0.72	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	4.29	Turkey
Bahrain	1.543	86515	1521	341	84653	0.4	1:250.0	0.98	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.97	Bahrain
Saudi Arabia	34.218	356691	5212	5857	345622	1.7	1:59.2	0.97	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	4.63	Saudi Arabia
Iraq	39.128	547215	58751	12167	476297	2.5	1:39.2	0.87	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	8.4	Iraq
Lebanon	6.825	123982	48994	980	74008	1.3	1:75.8	0.6	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	3.88	Lebanon
Kuwait	4.42	141876	5699	874	135303	0.7	1:153.8	0.95	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5.34	Kuwait
United Arab Emirates	9.89	165250	11975	567	152708	0.4	1:270.3	0.92	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.55	United Arab Emirates
Armenia	2.958	132346	25107	2090	105149	2.0	1:50.3	0.79	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	19.1	Armenia
Jordan	10.641	207601	64631	2570	140400	1.8	1:54.6	0.68	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	6.53	Jordan
Cyprus	0.875	9983	7878	48	2057	2.3	1:42.9	0.21	0.0	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	1.48	Cyprus
Oman	4.665	122579	7332	1391	113856	1.2	1:82.0	0.93	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8.06	Oman
Azerbaijan	10.067	109813	38591	1291	69931	1.9	1:54.1	0.64	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	3.47	Azerbaijan
Georgia	3.724	123470	20039	1161	102270	1.1	1:87.7	0.83	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	8.43	Georgia
Syria	17.5	7635	3842	404	3389	11.9	1:8.4	0.44	0.05	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.62	Syria
West Bank and Gaza	3.7	80429	17780	689	61960	1.1	1:90.1	0.77	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5.03	West Bank and Gaza
Yemen	28.25	2148	43	614	1491	41.2	1:2.4	0.69	0.29	0.29	0.29	0.29	0.3	0.59	Yemen
Western Asia	273.48	3237829	472092	47311	2718426	1.7	1:57.5	0.84	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	4.68	Western Asia

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt