COVID-19 - Eastern Europe - 20-06-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Eastern Europe is a Group with the following members:
Belarus - Bulgaria - Czechia - Hungary - Moldova - Poland - Romania - Russia - Slovakia - Ukraine

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 606537 208.1 11459 1.93% 1.92%
Active cases 295093 101.2 204 0.07% -0.13%
Deaths 10631 3.6 250 2.41% 1.83%
Recovered 300813103.2110053.8%3.42%
Deaths per infected 1.75%
Recovered per infected49.6%
Active per infected 48.65%
Deaths per recovered 3.53%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
0.99%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 36d 8h 36d 9h
Time to reach a million cases 26d 5h26d 6h
Time to saturate the population323d 17h 324d 6h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 40 77
Active na 28 114
Deaths na 42 49
Recovered na 45 48
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Eastern Europe

Belarus - Bulgaria - Czechia - Hungary - Moldova - Poland - Romania - Russia - Slovakia - Ukraine

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Czechia10.6949567235532768850.56-0.150.370.71123d 8h187d 0h89.522.03.164.44.81:21.10.72
Poland38.38625986121921153126411.460.381.151.6347d 16h60d 14h67.731.83.032.99.11:11.00.49
Romania19.4052029045491322144190.9-0.220.621.0577d 1h112d 4h104.623.46.874.39.21:10.90.71
Russia146.74545810223145057172209352.03-0.212.643.8934d 12h26d 15h312.2157.73.9150.62.61:38.60.48
Slovakia5.45615281212813790.08-1.130.00.16stable28.02.20.525.32.01:49.30.9
Bulgaria7.02711100616015451.48-3.472.625.0447d 1h26d 19h38.714.42.322.110.41:9.70.57
Hungary9.7733990116654522790.5-0.420.560.81139d 7h123d 8h40.811.95.623.323.91:4.20.57
Belarus9.4134775124473263230151.930.131.543.336d 7h45d 9h507.3260.02.8244.51.11:87.70.48
Moldova2.6829511373033154502.611.431.162.5526d 20h60d 5h354.7139.112.3203.26.11:16.50.57
Ukraine41.9022710114051785122651.990.251.243.335d 5h56d 3h64.733.51.929.36.41:15.60.45
Eastern Europe291.46606537295093106313008131.92-0.131.833.4236d 9h38d 6h208.1101.23.6103.23.51:28.30.5

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Czechia10.6949567235532768854.81:21.10.720.030.030.040.040.040.83Czechia
Poland38.38625986121921153126419.11:11.00.490.040.050.050.050.050.81Poland
Romania19.4052029045491322144199.21:10.90.710.070.070.070.070.071.84Romania
Russia146.74545810223145057172209352.61:38.60.480.010.010.010.020.021.05Russia
Slovakia5.45615281212813792.01:49.30.90.020.020.020.020.020.14Slovakia
Bulgaria7.027111006160154510.41:9.70.570.060.060.060.060.070.62Bulgaria
Hungary9.77339901166545227923.91:4.20.570.140.140.140.140.151.51Hungary
Belarus9.4134775124473263230151.11:87.70.480.010.010.010.010.010.76Belarus
Moldova2.6829511373033154506.11:16.50.570.030.040.040.040.053.34Moldova
Ukraine41.9022710114051785122656.41:15.60.450.030.030.030.040.040.51Ukraine
Eastern Europe291.46606537295093106313008133.51:28.30.50.020.020.020.020.020.99Eastern Europe

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt