COVID-19 - Southern Europe - 20-06-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Southern Europe is a Group with the following members:
Albania - Andorra - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Croatia - Greece - Holy See - Italy - Kosovo - Malta - Montenegro - North Macedonia - Portugal - San Marino - Serbia - Slovenia - Spain

Go to the data tables

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 539304 352.8 1223 0.23% 0.23%
Active cases 116056 75.9 -4621 -3.83% -0.38%
Deaths 63581 41.6 87 0.14% 0.12%
Recovered 359667235.357571.63%0.4%
Deaths per infected 11.79%
Recovered per infected66.69%
Active per infected 21.52%
Deaths per recovered 17.68%
Total Case Percentage

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 305d 7h 296d 14h
Time to reach a million cases 271d 23h264d 5h
Time to saturate the populationstable stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 26 136
Active na 33 120
Deaths na 8 102
Recovered na 18 132
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!


Members of Group: Southern Europe

Albania - Andorra - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Croatia - Greece - Holy See - Italy - Kosovo - Malta - Montenegro - North Macedonia - Portugal - San Marino - Serbia - Slovenia - Spain

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Portugal10.27734351120701474208070.990.430.570.9870d 8h121d 23h334.3117.514.3202.57.11:14.10.61
Greece10.7252980142618013740.420.70.110.0164d 17h>1yr27.813.31.712.813.11:7.60.46
Serbia6.96411741437248110560.540.130.240.6129d 1h283d 9h168.66.33.6158.82.21:44.60.94
Albania2.8621232273349251.512.940.00.7446d 5h43.
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.301260647915919680.64-0.070.640.83108d 3h107d 21h78.914.54.859.68.11:12.40.76
Malta0.4946272295960.26- 18h127.04.51.8120.71.51:66.20.95
North Macedonia2.0772915112415116404.7210.931.260.7915d 0h55d 10h140.354.17.379.09.21:10.90.56
Kosovo1.911142241308711.473.510.01.0147d 14h59.812.61.645.63.41:29.10.76
Southern Europe152.86539304116056635813596670.23-0.380.120.4296d 14h>1yr352.875.941.6235.317.71:5.70.67

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.301260647915919688.11:12.40.760. and Herzegovina
North Macedonia2.0772915112415116409.21:10.90.560. Macedonia
Southern Europe152.865393041160566358135966717.71:5.70.670. Europe

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt