COVID-19 - Mexico - 20-05-30

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Mexico is included in the following groups: G20 - Most Populous - Central America - America - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - WHO Region of the Americas
Mexico has a landborder to: Belize - Guatemala - US

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 87512 69.1 2885 3.41% 4.24%
Active cases 16486 13.0 277 1.71% 2.98%
Deaths 9779 7.7 364 3.87% 4.31%
Recovered 6124748.422443.8%3.61%
Deaths per infected 11.17%
Recovered per infected69.99%
Active per infected 18.84%
Deaths per recovered 15.97%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
2.09%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 20d 16h 16d 16h
Time to reach a million cases 72d 16h58d 15h
Time to saturate the population217d 1h 175d 4h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population 10
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected 15 60 41
Active 25 76 52
Deaths 7 25 23
Recovered 13 55 46
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Neighbours of Mexico

Belize - Guatemala - US

Mexico in its groups

G20 - Most Populous - Central America - America - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - WHO Region of the Americas

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt