COVID-19 - WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region - 20-10-09

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region is a Group with the following members:
Afghanistan - Bahrain - Djibouti - Egypt - Iran - Iraq - Jordan - Kuwait - Lebanon - Libya - Morocco - Oman - Qatar - Saudi Arabia - Somalia - Sudan - Syria - Tunisia - United Arab Emirates - West Bank and Gaza - Yemen

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 2255088 457.6 17952 0.8% 0.87%
Active cases 293352 59.5 3030 1.04% 1.44%
Deaths 59270 12.0 412 0.7% 0.63%
Recovered 1902466386.0145100.77%0.6%
Deaths per infected 2.63%
Recovered per infected84.36%
Active per infected 13.01%
Deaths per recovered 3.12%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
3.25%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 86d 17h 80d 5h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population>1yr >1yr

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 75 77
Active na 79 71
Deaths na 52 57
Recovered na 62 71
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region

Afghanistan - Bahrain - Djibouti - Egypt - Iran - Iraq - Jordan - Kuwait - Lebanon - Libya - Morocco - Oman - Qatar - Saudi Arabia - Somalia - Sudan - Syria - Tunisia - United Arab Emirates - West Bank and Gaza - Yemen

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Iran83.29849237862901280984013790.862.170.680.4781d 1h101d 23h591.175.533.7481.97.01:14.30.82
Qatar2.74712760028222191245590.170.30.190.14>1yr>1yr4644.6102.78.04533.90.21:555.60.98
Bahrain1.543748604183271704060.6-0.520.310.57116d 7h226d 16h4850.6271.017.64562.00.41:263.20.94
Saudi Arabia34.218338539926149963242820.13-1.30.40.14>1yr175d 19h989.427.114.6947.71.51:64.90.96
Egypt100.151042626416029975920.1112.310.120.03>1yr>1yr104.10.66.097.46.21:16.20.94
Iraq39.1283977805994897353280970.96-0.380.61.0472d 5h116d 8h1016.6153.224.9838.53.01:33.70.82
Lebanon6.8255117028313450224072.842.551.581.9324d 17h44d 5h749.7414.86.6328.32.01:49.80.44
Kuwait4.4211007674036491020240.560.340.570.46123d 7h121d 17h2490.4167.514.72308.20.61:156.20.93
United Arab Emirates9.891040048659442949031.03-2.510.561.1967d 12h124d 12h1051.687.54.5959.50.51:212.80.91
Jordan10.641227631669116659067.828.87.421.989d 5h9d 16h213.9156.91.655.52.81:35.60.26
Morocco35.8451463982084625301230221.90.331.311.6136d 21h53d 9h408.458.27.1343.22.11:48.50.84
Oman4.665104129113891009917310.562.670.650.32124d 9h107d 10h2232.2244.121.61966.51.11:90.90.88
Tunisia11.722268992145840950324.05.15.150.017d 16h13d 19h229.5183.13.542.98.11:12.30.19
Afghanistan32.2263969351631472330580.180.240.110.13>1yr>1yr123.216.04.6102.64.51:22.50.83
Sudan42.36113670607083667640.020.060.00.0stable32.314.32.016.012.41:8.10.49
Somalia15.89337456369930100.00.00.00.023.64.00.618.93.31:30.40.8
Djibouti1.078542376153550.01-4.170.00.02stable502.90.65.7496.61.11:87.70.99
Syria17.54616316321812351.120.870.960.9762d 5h72d 15h26.418.11.27.117.61:5.70.27
Libya6.754136817294621234532.362.290.81.5429d 16h87d 2h612.9256.29.2347.52.61:37.70.57
West Bank and Gaza3.7436646375367369221.02-0.481.71.0768d 2h41d 0h1180.1172.39.9997.91.01:101.00.85
Yemen28.25205112959313290.1-0.30.070.14>1yrstable7.30.52.14.744.61:2.20.65
WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region492.8522550882933525927019024660.871.440.630.680d 5h110d 22h457.659.512.0386.03.11:32.10.84

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Iran83.29849237862901280984013797.01:14.30.820.060.060.060.060.069.12Iran
Qatar2.74712760028222191245590.21:555.60.980.00.00.00.00.02.15Qatar
Bahrain1.543748604183271704060.41:263.20.940.00.00.00.00.04.75Bahrain
Saudi Arabia34.218338539926149963242821.51:64.90.960.010.010.010.010.023.95Saudi Arabia
Egypt100.151042626416029975926.21:16.20.940.060.060.060.060.061.63Egypt
Iraq39.1283977805994897353280973.01:33.70.820.020.030.030.030.036.72Iraq
Lebanon6.8255117028313450224072.01:49.80.440.010.010.010.010.011.78Lebanon
Kuwait4.4211007674036491020240.61:156.20.930.010.010.010.010.013.97Kuwait
United Arab Emirates9.891040048659442949030.51:212.80.910.00.00.00.00.01.21United Arab Emirates
Jordan10.641227631669116659062.81:35.60.260.010.010.010.010.020.42Jordan
Morocco35.8451463982084625301230222.11:48.50.840.020.020.020.020.021.91Morocco
Oman4.665104129113891009917311.11:90.90.880.010.010.010.010.015.85Oman
Tunisia11.722268992145840950328.11:12.30.190.020.020.020.020.030.94Tunisia
Afghanistan32.2263969351631472330584.51:22.50.830.040.040.040.040.041.23Afghanistan
Sudan42.361136706070836676412.41:8.10.490.060.060.060.060.060.53Sudan
Somalia15.89337456369930103.31:30.40.80.030.030.030.030.030.17Somalia
Djibouti1.078542376153551.11:87.70.990.010.010.010.010.011.53Djibouti
Syria17.546163163218123517.61:5.70.270.050.050.050.050.050.34Syria
Libya6.754136817294621234532.61:37.70.570.010.020.020.020.022.49Libya
West Bank and Gaza3.7436646375367369221.01:101.00.850.010.010.010.010.012.68West Bank and Gaza
Yemen28.252051129593132944.61:2.20.650.290.290.290.290.290.57Yemen
WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region492.8522550882933525927019024663.11:32.10.840.030.030.030.030.033.25WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt