COVID-19 - Western Europe - 20-10-09

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Western Europe is a Group with the following members:
Austria - Belgium - France - Germany - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Monaco - Netherlands - Switzerland

Go to the data tables

absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 1492305 756.1 39311 2.71% 2.58%
Active cases 929896 471.1 35837 4.01% 2.93%
Deaths 62013 31.4 160 0.26% 0.18%
Recovered 500396253.533140.67%0.77%
Deaths per infected 4.16%
Recovered per infected33.53%
Active per infected 62.31%
Deaths per recovered 12.39%
Total Case Percentage

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 25d 23h 27d 5h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population182d 23h 192d 0h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 49 21
Active na 17 46
Deaths na 25 105
Recovered na 78 64
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!


Members of Group: Western Europe

Austria - Belgium - France - Germany - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Monaco - Netherlands - Switzerland

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Germany83.1493204953717895992737181.222.840.030.7556d 22hstable385.444.711.5329.23.51:28.50.85
France67.069732434596601326011032323. 19h304d 13h1092.1889.548.6153.931.61:3.20.14
Switzerland8.5876036898802088484002.115.890.11.1233d 4h>1yr703.0115.124.3563.74.31:23.20.8
Netherlands17.447167348156038660147093.472.890.241.3620d 7h286d 22h959.2894.437.827.0140.21.4:10.03
Austria8.9035318810307842420392.012.680.611.3434d 19h114d 7h597.4115.89.5472.22.01:50.00.79
Belgium11.52414898111875810151200722.732.480.120.3125d 17h>1yr1292.71030.588.1174.250.61:2.00.13
Luxembourg0.6149119109112879000.93-0.930.481.2674d 23h145d 12h1485.4177.720.91286.91.61:61.70.87
Western Europe197.371492305929896620135003962.582.930.180.7727d 5h>1yr756.1471.131.4253.512.41:8.10.34

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Western Europe197.3714923059298966201350039612.41:8.10.340. Europe

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt