COVID-19 - Western Europe - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Western Europe is a Group with the following members:
Austria - Belgium - France - Germany - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Monaco - Netherlands - Switzerland

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 4999257 2532.9 52499 1.06% 1.05%
Active cases 3569251 1808.4 18584 0.52% 0.27%
Deaths 101467 51.4 1714 1.72% 1.14%
Recovered 1328539673.1322012.48%2.49%
Deaths per infected 2.03%
Recovered per infected26.57%
Active per infected 71.4%
Deaths per recovered 7.64%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
13.89%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 65d 15h 66d 1h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population348d 4h 350d 10h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 192Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 36 71
Active na 8 107
Deaths na 30 40
Recovered na 66 20
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Western Europe

Austria - Belgium - France - Germany - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Monaco - Netherlands - Switzerland

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Germany83.1491038649317425160117052132.180.672.012.3132d 1h34d 17h1249.1381.819.3848.12.31:44.10.68
France67.06922482092030717519991654930.520.360.90.82134d 20h77d 5h3352.13027.877.5246.831.41:3.20.07
Switzerland8.5873182909161945712221001.84-2.812.154.0438d 0h32d 14h3706.81067.053.22586.62.11:48.50.7
Netherlands17.447517045500849934368530.990.760.650.4770d 15h107d 16h2963.62870.753.639.3136.31.4:10.01
Austria8.9032709926485528862032511.86-2.383.053.0237d 16h23d 2h3044.0728.532.42283.11.41:70.40.75
Belgium11.52457082955449016339311300.430.30.760.0162d 9h91d 16h4953.24811.4141.80.052.51:1.90.05
Luxembourg0.614334099036300240732.35-0.612.53.2429d 21h28d 1h5442.11471.948.93921.31.21:80.00.72
Western Europe197.374999257356925110146713285391.050.271.142.4966d 1h61d 3h2532.91808.451.4673.17.61:13.10.27

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Germany83.1491038649317425160117052132.31:44.10.680.020.020.020.020.025.2Germany
France67.069224820920307175199916549331.41:3.20.070.020.020.020.020.0320.95France
Switzerland8.5873182909161945712221002.11:48.50.70.010.020.020.020.0214.39Switzerland
Netherlands17.44751704550084993436853136.31.4:10.010.020.020.020.020.0214.47Netherlands
Austria8.9032709926485528862032511.41:70.40.750.010.010.010.010.018.76Austria
Belgium11.524570829554490163393113052.51:1.90.050.030.030.030.030.0338.32Belgium
Luxembourg0.614334099036300240731.21:80.00.720.010.010.010.010.0113.21Luxembourg
Western Europe197.374999257356925110146713285397.61:13.10.270.020.020.020.020.0213.89Western Europe

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt