COVID-19 - EU - 20-10-09

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

EU is a Group with the following members:
Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 3420537 763.6 80778 2.42% 2.18%
Active cases 2008698 448.4 68481 3.53% 2.48%
Deaths 151916 33.9 620 0.41% 0.28%
Recovered 1259923281.3116770.94%0.72%
Deaths per infected 4.44%
Recovered per infected36.83%
Active per infected 58.72%
Deaths per recovered 12.06%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
9.17%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 29d 0h 32d 2h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population203d 23h 225d 18h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 49 23
Active na 17 54
Deaths na 23 91
Recovered na 75 67
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: EU

Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.24334377070110361112375491.112.820.050.3862d 19hstable570.6116.459.9394.315.21:6.60.69
Spain47.1861112677807329291503761.741.840.370.040d 3h186d 6h1828.21439.169.9319.321.91:4.60.17
Germany83.1493204953717895992737181.222.840.030.7556d 22hstable385.444.711.5329.23.51:28.50.85
France67.069732434596601326011032323.083.040.230.4522d 19h304d 13h1092.1889.548.6153.931.61:3.20.14
Netherlands17.447167348156038660147093.472.890.241.3620d 7h286d 22h959.2894.437.827.0140.21.4:10.03
Austria8.9035318810307842420392.012.680.611.3434d 19h114d 7h597.4115.89.5472.22.01:50.00.79
Belgium11.52414898111875810151200722.732.480.120.3125d 17h>1yr1292.71030.588.1174.250.61:2.00.13
Sweden10.3349845192557589449710.870.73-0.010.079d 22h952.7895.757.00.0118.61.2:10.05
Denmark5.823321315491665259751.27-2.40.211.8454d 23h327d 2h551.894.311.4446.12.61:39.10.81
Portugal10.27783928297022062521641.181.470.450.5259d 2h156d 0h816.7289.020.1507.64.01:25.30.62
Czechia10.69410937455296905531735.835.423.653.0212d 5h19d 8h1022.8517.18.5497.21.71:58.80.49
Ireland4.92140703155181821233641.373.010.080.051d 1hstable827.0315.337.0474.77.81:12.80.57
Greece10.725217721999443113471.871.631.010.037d 7h69d 1h203.0186.44.012.632.01:3.10.06
Finland5.52811580273434685001.914.00.060.9936d 17hstable209.549.56.3153.84.11:24.60.73
Poland38.386116338355442919778753.065.751.750.9422d 23h40d 1h303.192.67.6202.93.81:26.70.67
Luxembourg0.6149119109112879000.93-0.930.481.2674d 23h145d 12h1485.4177.720.91286.91.61:61.70.87
Slovenia2.0947872286516548423.925.450.641.7818d 0h108d 17h375.9136.87.9231.23.41:29.30.62
Romania19.4051488862879552991147921.843.760.960.9137d 23h72d 15h767.2148.427.3591.64.61:21.60.77
Estonia1.32838098356829061.11.940.00.5463d 13h286.762.95.1218.82.31:42.70.76
Slovakia5.45616910114015754525.24.620.732.113d 16h95d 15h309.9208.91.099.91.11:95.20.32
Croatia4.076194462438313166951.958.210.790.7835d 21h87d 13h477.159.87.7409.61.91:53.50.86
Bulgaria7.0238717271887157132.033.560.840.7234d 10h82d 20h341.0103.912.7224.55.71:17.70.66
Latvia1.907250711454013223.756.421.040.2318d 19h67d 1h131.560.02.169.33.01:33.00.53
Hungary9.773352222510791392022.871.471.794.2924d 11h39d 1h360.4256.99.394.29.91:10.10.26
Cyprus0.87519515572513691.363.951.780.051d 11h39d 7h223.063.72.9156.51.81:54.60.7
Malta0.49435816254129151.834.271.010.938d 3h68d 18h725.5126.68.3590.61.41:70.90.81
Lithuania2.7935758293310327222.121.991.671.2933d 1h41d 22h206.1105.03.797.43.81:26.50.47
EU447.943420537200869815191612599232.182.480.280.7232d 2h248d 13h763.6448.433.9281.312.11:8.30.37

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.243343770701103611123754915.21:6.60.690.10.110.110.110.1216.2Italy
Spain47.18611126778073292915037621.91:4.60.170.040.040.040.040.0518.9Spain
Germany83.1493204953717895992737183.51:28.50.850.030.030.030.030.033.12Germany
France67.0697324345966013260110323231.61:3.20.140.040.050.050.050.0613.14France
Netherlands17.44716734815603866014709140.21.4:10.030.040.050.050.050.0610.23Netherlands
Austria8.9035318810307842420392.01:50.00.790.020.020.020.020.022.56Austria
Belgium11.524148981118758101512007250.61:2.00.130.070.080.080.090.0923.81Belgium
Sweden10.334984519255758944971118.61.2:10.050.060.060.060.060.0615.42Sweden
Denmark5.823321315491665259752.61:39.10.810.020.020.020.020.023.09Denmark
Portugal10.27783928297022062521644.01:25.30.620.020.030.030.030.035.42Portugal
Czechia10.69410937455296905531731.71:58.80.490.010.010.010.010.012.29Czechia
Ireland4.92140703155181821233647.81:12.80.570.040.050.050.050.0510.0Ireland
Greece10.7252177219994431134732.01:3.10.060.020.020.020.020.031.09Greece
Finland5.52811580273434685004.11:24.60.730.030.030.030.030.041.69Finland
Poland38.386116338355442919778753.81:26.70.670.030.030.030.030.032.06Poland
Luxembourg0.6149119109112879001.61:61.70.870.010.010.010.020.025.64Luxembourg
Slovenia2.0947872286516548423.41:29.30.620.020.020.030.030.032.13Slovenia
Romania19.4051488862879552991147924.61:21.60.770.040.040.040.040.047.38Romania
Estonia1.32838098356829062.31:42.70.760.020.020.020.020.021.38Estonia
Slovakia5.45616910114015754521.11:95.20.320.00.00.00.010.010.28Slovakia
Croatia4.076194462438313166951.91:53.50.860.020.020.020.020.022.08Croatia
Bulgaria7.0238717271887157135.71:17.70.660.040.040.040.040.043.42Bulgaria
Latvia1.907250711454013223.01:33.00.530.020.020.020.020.020.57Latvia
Hungary9.773352222510791392029.91:10.10.260.030.030.030.030.042.52Hungary
Cyprus0.87519515572513691.81:54.60.70.010.010.010.010.010.77Cyprus
Malta0.49435816254129151.41:70.90.810.010.010.010.010.012.24Malta
Lithuania2.7935758293310327223.81:26.50.470.020.020.020.020.021.0Lithuania
EU447.9434205372008698151916125992312.11:8.30.370.040.050.050.050.069.17EU

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt