COVID-19 - EU - 20-06-05

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

EU is a Group with the following members:
Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 1174972 262.3 4543 0.39% 0.3%
Active cases 349654 78.1 209 0.06% 0.2%
Deaths 127826 28.5 334 0.26% 0.18%
Recovered 697492155.740000.58%0.24%
Deaths per infected 10.88%
Recovered per infected59.36%
Active per infected 29.76%
Deaths per recovered 18.33%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
7.71%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 178d 22h 230d 13h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the populationstable stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 33 130
Active na 32 98
Deaths na 11 102
Recovered na 30 133
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: EU

Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.24323453136976337741637810.13-1.790.160.55>1yr>1yr389.361.456.1271.920.61:4.80.7
Spain47.124097863468271341503760.120.380.00.0>1yrstable511.6134.857.6319.318.01:5.50.62
Germany83.149184924778686581684800.16-3.540.220.31>1yr313d 1h222.49.410.4202.65.11:19.50.91
France67.0691901809044429114706220.13-0.260.180.47>1yr>1yr283.6134.943.4105.341.21:2.40.37
Netherlands17.447473584115360241810.30.230.110.22228d 9h>1yr271.4235.934.51.03328.233.3:10.0
Austria8.90316843429672157420.13-2.280.060.16>1yrstable189.24.87.5176.84.31:23.40.93
Belgium11.52458907332299566161120.180.090.170.2>1yr>1yr511.1288.383.0139.859.41:1.70.27
Sweden10.3344293938300463949712.746.020.750.025d 16h92d 15h415.5370.644.90.093.31:1.10.12
Denmark5.82312075636586108530.34-3.670.280.49201d 9h250d 2h207.410.910.1186.45.41:18.50.9
Portugal10.27733969119781465205260.890.230.630.9378d 8h110d 5h330.5116.614.3199.77.11:14.00.6
Czechia10.6949529232132768810.56-0.260.370.75124d 18h186d 10h89.121.73.164.34.81:21.10.72
Ireland4.921251637951670226980.14-6.750.150.55>1yr>1yr511.316.233.9461.27.41:13.60.9
Greece10.7252967141318013740.340.440.570.0203d 16h122d 4h27.713.21.712.813.11:7.60.46
Finland5.528694181932258000.24-4.550.131.09291d 10h>1yr125.614.85.8104.95.51:18.00.84
Poland38.38625410118631137124101.330.440.981.6552d 11h71d 1h66.230.93.032.39.21:10.90.49
Luxembourg0.61440323711038850.07-10.240.00.21stable656.86.017.9632.82.81:35.30.96
Slovenia2.09414791110913590.086.810.190.01stable>1yr70.60.55.264.98.01:12.50.92
Romania19.4052010346421316141450.86-0.210.610.9880d 14h114d 3h103.623.96.872.99.31:10.80.7
Estonia1.32819101746916670.44-2.220.290.48159d 10h236d 0h143.813.15.2125.54.11:24.20.87
Slovakia5.45615261192813790.07-0.790.00.15stable28.02.20.525.32.01:49.30.9
Croatia4.07622473110321130.01-11.040.00.32stable55.10.82.551.84.91:20.50.94
Bulgaria7.02627107815913900.89-2.950.994.3178d 0h70d 15h37.515.42.319.911.41:8.70.53
Latvia1.9071085279257810.350.020.830.4196d 0h83d 12h56.914.61.341.03.21:31.20.72
Hungary9.7733970118354222450.480.120.490.54144d 14h141d 17h40.612.15.523.024.11:4.10.57
Cyprus0.875960136178070.341.980.00.0206d 1h109.715.51.992.22.11:47.40.84
Malta0.4946253395830.23-12.510.01.53307d 12h126.66.71.8118.11.51:64.90.93
Lithuania2.79316943217113020.23-1.440.290.59307d 4h242d 22h60.611.52.546.65.51:18.30.77
EU447.9411749723496541278266974920.30.20.180.24230d 13h>1yr262.378.128.5155.718.31:5.50.59

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.243234531369763377416378120.61:4.80.70.140.140.150.150.1515.15Italy
Spain47.1240978634682713415037618.01:5.50.620.110.110.110.110.1215.57Spain
Germany83.149184924778686581684805.11:19.50.910.050.050.050.050.052.81Germany
France67.06919018090444291147062241.21:2.40.370.150.150.150.160.1611.73France
Netherlands17.447473584115360241813328.233.3:10.00.130.130.130.130.139.33Netherlands
Austria8.90316843429672157424.31:23.40.930.040.040.040.040.042.04Austria
Belgium11.524589073322995661611259.41:1.70.270.160.160.160.170.1722.43Belgium
Sweden10.33442939383004639497193.31:1.10.120.110.120.120.130.1412.13Sweden
Denmark5.82312075636586108535.41:18.50.90.050.050.050.050.052.72Denmark
Portugal10.27733969119781465205267.11:14.00.60.040.040.050.050.053.85Portugal
Czechia10.6949529232132768814.81:21.10.720.030.040.040.040.040.83Czechia
Ireland4.921251637951670226987.41:13.60.90.070.070.070.070.079.17Ireland
Greece10.72529671413180137413.11:7.60.460.060.060.060.060.060.45Greece
Finland5.528694181932258005.51:18.00.840.050.050.050.050.051.57Finland
Poland38.38625410118631137124109.21:10.90.490.040.050.050.050.050.8Poland
Luxembourg0.61440323711038852.81:35.30.960.030.030.030.030.034.84Luxembourg
Slovenia2.09414791110913598.01:12.50.920.070.070.070.070.071.41Slovenia
Romania19.4052010346421316141459.31:10.80.70.070.070.070.070.071.83Romania
Estonia1.32819101746916674.11:24.20.870.040.040.040.040.041.4Estonia
Slovakia5.45615261192813792.01:49.30.90.020.020.020.020.020.14Slovakia
Croatia4.07622473110321134.91:20.50.940.050.050.050.050.050.68Croatia
Bulgaria7.026271078159139011.41:8.70.530.060.060.060.060.070.61Bulgaria
Latvia1.9071085279257813.21:31.20.720.020.020.020.020.020.35Latvia
Hungary9.77339701183542224524.11:4.10.570.140.140.140.140.151.5Hungary
Cyprus0.875960136178072.11:47.40.840.020.020.020.020.020.53Cyprus
Malta0.4946253395831.51:64.90.930.010.010.010.010.010.49Malta
Lithuania2.79316943217113025.51:18.30.770.040.040.040.040.040.69Lithuania
EU447.94117497234965412782669749218.31:5.50.590.110.110.110.110.117.71EU

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt