COVID-19 - EU - 20-08-02

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

EU is a Group with the following members:
Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 1461212 326.2 3706 0.25% 0.53%
Active cases 478189 106.8 2152 0.45% 1.06%
Deaths 136280 30.4 61 0.04% 0.06%
Recovered 846743189.014930.18%0.24%
Deaths per infected 9.33%
Recovered per infected57.95%
Active per infected 32.73%
Deaths per recovered 16.09%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
8.22%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 272d 22h 130d 9h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the populationstable stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 55 120
Active na 43 89
Deaths na 17 112
Recovered na 56 126
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: EU

Austria - Belgium - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Germany - Greece - Hungary - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Netherlands - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.24324807012456351542004600.13-0.230.010.15>1yrstable411.820.758.4332.817.51:5.70.81
Spain47.1288522109701284451503760.561.510.010.0124d 9hstable612.6232.960.4319.318.91:5.30.52
Germany83.149211220915891541929080.343.270.050.2206d 10hstable254.011.011.0232.04.81:21.10.91
France67.06922519811316630268817640.370.680.030.08187d 1hstable335.8168.745.1121.937.01:2.70.36
Netherlands17.447554084903361692060.650.570.010.41107d 3hstable317.6281.035.41.22994.729.9:10.0
Austria8.903213041602718189840.6-0.020.140.57115d 20h>1yr239.318.08.1213.23.81:26.50.89
Belgium11.52469849424149845175900.941.310.020.1174d 0hstable606.1368.085.4152.656.01:1.80.25
Sweden10.3348042274679574349710.230.240.140.0298d 9h>1yr778.3722.755.60.0115.51.2:10.06
Denmark5.82314028630615127830.313.060.070.2222d 1hstable240.910.810.6219.54.81:20.80.91
Portugal10.27751463127411738369840.41-0.420.170.64167d 11h>1yr500.8124.016.9359.94.71:21.30.72
Czechia10.694168004811384116051.243.460.480.2856d 6h145d 5h157.145.03.6108.53.31:30.20.69
Ireland4.9212616210351763233640.184.26-0.010.0>1yr531.621.035.8474.77.51:13.20.89
Greece10.7254662308020813741.742.190.30.040d 5h234d 20h43.528.71.912.815.11:6.60.29
Finland5.528745317432969500.131.530.00.09>1yr134.83.16.0125.74.71:21.10.93
Poland38.38646894104541731347091.332.260.460.852d 10h150d 23h122.227.24.590.45.01:20.00.74
Luxembourg0.6146855154611751921.471.090.531.3647d 13h131d 15h1116.6251.819.1845.72.21:44.40.76
Slovenia2.094218023412018260.74-0.90.340.8993d 17h203d 2h104.111.25.787.26.61:15.20.84
Romania19.40553186231812413275922.493.731.230.9228d 3h56d 19h274.1119.512.4142.28.81:11.40.52
Estonia1.3282079826319340.49.360.00.1173d 17h156.56.24.7145.63.31:30.70.93
Slovakia5.45623445732917421.251.260.711.1855d 23h97d 9h43.010.50.531.91.71:60.20.74
Croatia4.076526073814943731.34-0.290.711.4952d 3h98d 8h129.018.13.7107.33.41:29.30.83
Bulgaria7.011955514738864201.931.261.652.1136d 7h42d 10h170.873.55.591.76.01:16.60.54
Latvia1.90712431593210520.372.390.650.0185d 9h107d 18h65.28.31.755.23.01:32.90.85
Hungary9.773453554959733890.351.340.030.2196d 22hstable46.45.66.134.717.61:5.70.75
Cyprus0.8751150275198561.525.390.00.046d 2h131.431.42.297.82.21:45.00.74
Malta0.49486018596664.0752.360.00.017d 9h174.237.51.8134.91.41:74.10.77
Lithuania2.79321103868016440.812.710.00.2686d 5h75.513.82.958.94.91:20.50.78
EU447.9414612124781891362808467430.531.060.060.24130d 9hstable326.2106.830.4189.016.11:6.20.58

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.243248070124563515420046017.51:5.70.810.140.140.140.140.1415.77Italy
Spain47.12885221097012844515037618.91:5.30.520.10.10.10.10.1116.32Spain
Germany83.149211220915891541929084.81:21.10.910.040.040.040.040.052.98Germany
France67.069225198113166302688176437.01:2.70.360.130.140.140.140.1412.2France
Netherlands17.447554084903361692062994.729.9:10.00.110.110.120.120.129.56Netherlands
Austria8.903213041602718189843.81:26.50.890.030.030.030.040.042.18Austria
Belgium11.524698494241498451759056.01:1.80.250.140.150.150.150.1523.09Belgium
Sweden10.334804227467957434971115.51.2:10.060.070.070.070.070.0715.02Sweden
Denmark5.82314028630615127834.81:20.80.910.040.040.040.050.052.85Denmark
Portugal10.27751463127411738369844.71:21.30.720.030.030.030.030.044.57Portugal
Czechia10.694168004811384116053.31:30.20.690.020.020.020.030.030.97Czechia
Ireland4.9212616210351763233647.51:13.20.890.070.070.070.070.079.68Ireland
Greece10.72546623080208137415.11:6.60.290.040.050.050.050.050.52Greece
Finland5.528745317432969504.71:21.10.930.040.040.040.040.041.61Finland
Poland38.38646894104541731347095.01:20.00.740.040.040.040.040.041.22Poland
Luxembourg0.6146855154611751922.21:44.40.760.020.020.020.020.025.15Luxembourg
Slovenia2.094218023412018266.61:15.20.840.060.060.060.060.061.55Slovenia
Romania19.40553186231812413275928.81:11.40.520.050.050.050.060.063.36Romania
Estonia1.3282079826319343.31:30.70.930.030.030.030.030.031.28Estonia
Slovakia5.45623445732917421.71:60.20.740.010.010.010.010.010.14Slovakia
Croatia4.076526073814943733.41:29.30.830.030.030.030.030.030.99Croatia
Bulgaria7.011955514738864206.01:16.60.540.030.030.040.040.041.5Bulgaria
Latvia1.90712431593210523.01:32.90.850.030.030.030.030.030.45Latvia
Hungary9.7734535549597338917.61:5.70.750.130.130.130.140.141.65Hungary
Cyprus0.8751150275198562.21:45.00.740.020.020.020.020.020.59Cyprus
Malta0.49486018596661.41:74.10.770.010.010.010.010.010.49Malta
Lithuania2.79321103868016444.91:20.50.780.040.040.040.040.040.77Lithuania
EU447.94146121247818913628084674316.11:6.20.580.090.10.10.10.18.22EU

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt