COVID-19 - UNR Eastern European Group - 20-06-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Eastern European Group is a Group with the following members:
Albania - Armenia - Azerbaijan - Belarus - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Bulgaria - Croatia - Czechia - Estonia - Georgia - Hungary - Kosovo - Latvia - Lithuania - Moldova - Montenegro - North Macedonia - Poland - Romania - Russia - Serbia - Slovakia - Slovenia - Ukraine

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 655361 193.8 12645 1.97% 1.97%
Active cases 310182 91.7 -3180 -1.01% 0.09%
Deaths 11927 3.5 264 2.26% 1.77%
Recovered 33325298.6155614.9%3.18%
Deaths per infected 1.82%
Recovered per infected50.85%
Active per infected 47.33%
Deaths per recovered 3.58%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
0.95%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 35d 13h 35d 13h
Time to reach a million cases 21d 16h21d 16h
Time to saturate the population320d 14h 320d 14h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 42 74
Active na 29 94
Deaths na 43 50
Recovered na 45 53
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Eastern European Group

Albania - Armenia - Azerbaijan - Belarus - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Bulgaria - Croatia - Czechia - Estonia - Georgia - Hungary - Kosovo - Latvia - Lithuania - Moldova - Montenegro - North Macedonia - Poland - Romania - Russia - Serbia - Slovakia - Slovenia - Ukraine

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Czechia10.6949567235532768850.56-0.150.370.71123d 8h187d 0h89.522.03.164.44.81:21.10.72
Poland38.38625986121921153126411.460.381.151.6347d 16h60d 14h67.731.83.032.99.11:11.00.49
Slovenia2.09414841610913590.1514.110.00.01>1yr70.90.85.264.98.01:12.50.92
Romania19.4052029045491322144190.9-0.220.621.0577d 1h112d 4h104.623.46.874.39.21:10.90.71
Estonia1.32819311876916750.64-0.20.290.51107d 19h236d 0h145.414.15.2126.14.11:24.30.87
Russia146.74545810223145057172209352.03-0.212.643.8934d 12h26d 15h312.2157.73.9150.62.61:38.60.48
Slovakia5.45615281212813790.08-1.130.00.16stable28.02.20.525.32.01:49.30.9
Armenia2.95812364845419037205.436.475.750.6513d 2h12d 9h418.1285.86.4125.85.11:19.60.3
Croatia4.07622472210421210.01-13.730.00.34stable55.10.52.652.04.91:20.40.94
Bulgaria7.02711100616015451.48-3.472.625.0447d 1h26d 19h38.714.42.322.110.41:9.70.57
Serbia6.96411741437248110560.540.130.240.6129d 1h283d 9h168.66.33.6158.82.21:44.60.94
Latvia1.9071086280257810.37-1.190.830.96186d 7h83d 12h57.014.71.341.03.21:31.20.72
Hungary9.7733990116654522790.5-0.420.560.81139d 7h123d 8h40.811.95.623.323.91:4.20.57
Albania2.8621232273349251.512.940.00.7446d 5h43.09.51.232.33.71:27.20.75
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.301260647915919680.64-0.070.640.83108d 3h107d 21h78.914.54.859.68.11:12.40.76
Belarus9.4134775124473263230151.930.131.543.336d 7h45d 9h507.3260.02.8244.51.11:87.70.48
Moldova2.6829511373033154502.611.431.162.5526d 20h60d 5h354.7139.112.3203.26.11:16.50.57
Lithuania2.79317053137113210.32-2.880.291.05216d 23h242d 22h61.011.22.547.35.41:18.60.77
North Macedonia2.0772915112415116404.7210.931.260.7915d 0h55d 10h140.354.17.379.09.21:10.90.56
Azerbaijan10.067723931318440245.046.933.842.014d 2h18d 9h71.931.10.840.02.11:47.80.56
Georgia3.724808132136630.35-2.091.670.82198d 5h41d 22h21.73.50.317.82.01:51.00.82
Ukraine41.9022710114051785122651.990.251.243.335d 5h56d 3h64.733.51.929.36.41:15.60.45
Montenegro0.622324093150.000.00.052.10.01.450.62.91:35.00.97
Kosovo1.911142241308711.473.510.01.0147d 14h59.812.61.645.63.41:29.10.76
UNR Eastern European Group338.14655361310182119273332521.970.091.773.1835d 13h39d 13h193.891.73.598.63.61:27.90.51

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Czechia10.6949567235532768854.81:21.10.720.030.030.040.040.040.83Czechia
Poland38.38625986121921153126419.11:11.00.490.040.050.050.050.050.81Poland
Slovenia2.09414841610913598.01:12.50.920.070.070.070.070.071.41Slovenia
Romania19.4052029045491322144199.21:10.90.710.070.070.070.070.071.84Romania
Estonia1.32819311876916754.11:24.30.870.040.040.040.040.041.4Estonia
Russia146.74545810223145057172209352.61:38.60.480.010.010.010.020.021.05Russia
Slovakia5.45615281212813792.01:49.30.90.020.020.020.020.020.14Slovakia
Armenia2.95812364845419037205.11:19.60.30.020.020.020.020.031.74Armenia
Croatia4.07622472210421214.91:20.40.940.050.050.050.050.050.69Croatia
Bulgaria7.027111006160154510.41:9.70.570.060.060.060.060.070.62Bulgaria
Serbia6.96411741437248110562.21:44.60.940.020.020.020.020.020.96Serbia
Latvia1.9071086280257813.21:31.20.720.020.020.020.020.020.35Latvia
Hungary9.77339901166545227923.91:4.20.570.140.140.140.140.151.51Hungary
Albania2.8621232273349253.71:27.20.750.030.030.030.030.030.32Albania
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.301260647915919688.11:12.40.760.060.060.060.060.071.3Bosnia and Herzegovina
Belarus9.4134775124473263230151.11:87.70.480.010.010.010.010.010.76Belarus
Moldova2.6829511373033154506.11:16.50.570.030.040.040.040.053.34Moldova
Lithuania2.79317053137113215.41:18.60.770.040.040.040.040.040.69Lithuania
North Macedonia2.0772915112415116409.21:10.90.560.050.060.070.070.081.96North Macedonia
Azerbaijan10.067723931318440242.11:47.80.560.010.010.020.020.020.23Azerbaijan
Georgia3.724808132136632.01:51.00.820.020.020.020.020.020.09Georgia
Ukraine41.9022710114051785122656.41:15.60.450.030.030.030.040.040.51Ukraine
Montenegro0.622324093152.91:35.00.970.030.030.030.030.030.39Montenegro
Kosovo1.911142241308713.41:29.10.760.030.030.030.030.030.42Kosovo
UNR Eastern European Group338.14655361310182119273332523.61:27.90.510.020.020.020.020.020.95UNR Eastern European Group

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt