COVID-19 - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - 20-06-05

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group is a Group with the following members:
Antigua and Barbuda - Argentina - Bahamas - Barbados - Belize - Bolivia - Brazil - Cape Verde - Chile - Colombia - Costa Rica - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Ecuador - El Salvador - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Guatemala - Guyana - Haiti - Honduras - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Mexico - Nicaragua - Panama - Paraguay - Peru - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Suriname - Trinidad and Tobago - Uruguay - Venezuela

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 1210904 187.9 19511 1.64% 3.52%
Active cases 820616 127.3 186539 29.42% 3.84%
Deaths 61314 9.5 1113 1.85% 3.22%
Recovered 32897451.0-168141-33.82%2.45%
Deaths per infected 5.06%
Recovered per infected27.17%
Active per infected 67.77%
Deaths per recovered 18.64%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
2.57%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 42d 16h 20d 0h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population>1yr 181d 6h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 44 41
Active na 25 38
Deaths na 24 32
Recovered na 53 59
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group

Antigua and Barbuda - Argentina - Bahamas - Barbados - Belize - Bolivia - Brazil - Cape Verde - Chile - Colombia - Costa Rica - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Ecuador - El Salvador - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Guatemala - Guyana - Haiti - Honduras - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Mexico - Nicaragua - Panama - Paraguay - Peru - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Suriname - Trinidad and Tobago - Uruguay - Venezuela

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Brazil211.284614941580920340212549633.643.183.044.3419d 9h23d 3h291.0274.916.10.013.31:7.50.41
Chile19.107122499216931448993584.2112.445.2-9.4916d 19h13d 16h641.1113.57.6520.01.51:68.50.81
Ecuador17.44941575174733534205681.241.60.760.4456d 1h92d 1h238.3100.120.3117.917.21:5.80.49
Peru32.1311874001030245162792142.661.942.252.5726d 10h31d 3h583.2320.616.1246.56.51:15.30.42
Panama4.21915463537437097192.817.061.560.2225d 0h44d 17h366.5127.48.8230.43.81:26.20.63
Argentina44.939210371431763260884.544.42.452.3615d 14h28d 15h46.831.91.413.510.41:9.60.29
Mexico126.5781100261901513170778413.951.714.853.2517d 21h14d 15h86.915.010.461.516.91:5.90.71
Colombia49.39636759218851204136706.220.813.7312.0711d 11h18d 22h74.444.32.427.78.81:11.40.37
Uruguay3.51983490237210.27-2.90.910.69260d 23h76d 14h23.72.60.720.53.21:31.30.86
Costa Rica5.0581228523106953.075.760.00.5322d 22h24.310.30.213.71.41:69.40.57
Venezuela32.21921451791203347.37.827.682.129d 19h9d 8h6.75.60.11.06.01:16.70.16
Dominican Republic10.358187086447525117361.60.330.711.6843d 18h97d 17h180.662.25.1113.34.51:22.40.63
Cuba11.2121332028318480.855.290.00.3382d 3h19.01.80.716.54.51:22.30.87
Bolivia11.47127281056242717394.983.195.8711.5514d 6h12d 3h111.092.13.715.224.61:4.10.14
Jamaica2.727595200103850.31-4.252.223.49227d 4h31d 12h21.87.30.414.12.61:38.50.65
Maldives0.3751883115977171.22-1.477.337.7757d 8h9d 19h502.4309.21.9191.31.01:102.00.38
Paraguay7.1531087560115161.992.570.01.3935d 5h15.27.80.27.22.11:46.90.47
Honduras9.158597150462486772.82.312.783.8825d 2h25d 7h65.255.12.77.436.61:2.70.11
Guatemala16.6046485521621610534.983.448.045.9914d 6h8d 23h39.131.41.36.320.51:4.90.16
Trinidad and Tobago1.364117181080.00.00.00.08.60.10.67.97.41:13.50.92
Guyana0.7831536412770.0-1.970.02.019.58.21.59.815.61:6.40.5
Bahamas0.3851023611550.0-3.320.02.8726.59.42.914.320.01:5.00.54
El Salvador6.486284915475312492.511.172.513.1927d 23h27d 22h43.923.90.819.34.21:23.60.44
Nicaragua6.461118702463709.4619.666.290.07d 16h11d 8h17.310.90.75.712.41:8.00.33
Haiti11.582740266650245.34.642.620.013d 9h26d 18h23.723.00.40.2208.32.1:10.01
UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group644.451210904820616613143289743.523.843.222.4520d 0h21d 20h187.9127.39.551.018.61:5.40.27

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Brazil211.2846149415809203402125496313.31:7.50.410.060.060.070.080.14.35Brazil
Chile19.107122499216931448993581.51:68.50.810.010.010.020.020.022.05Chile
Ecuador17.449415751747335342056817.21:5.80.490.090.090.090.090.15.47Ecuador
Peru32.1311874001030245162792146.51:15.30.420.030.030.030.040.044.34Peru
Panama4.21915463537437097193.81:26.20.630.020.030.030.030.032.37Panama
Argentina44.9392103714317632608810.41:9.60.290.030.040.040.050.060.38Argentina
Mexico126.57811002619015131707784116.91:5.90.710.120.140.150.170.22.81Mexico
Colombia49.39636759218851204136708.81:11.40.370.030.040.050.050.060.66Colombia
Uruguay3.51983490237213.21:31.30.860.030.030.030.030.030.18Uruguay
Costa Rica5.0581228523106951.41:69.40.570.010.010.010.010.010.05Costa Rica
Venezuela32.21921451791203346.01:16.70.160.010.010.010.020.020.02Venezuela
Dominican Republic10.358187086447525117364.51:22.40.630.030.030.030.030.041.37Dominican Republic
Cuba11.2121332028318484.51:22.30.870.040.040.040.040.040.2Cuba
Bolivia11.471272810562427173924.61:4.10.140.030.040.040.050.071.01Bolivia
Jamaica2.727595200103852.61:38.50.650.020.020.020.020.020.1Jamaica
Maldives0.3751883115977171.01:102.00.380.00.00.00.00.010.5Maldives
Paraguay7.1531087560115162.11:46.90.470.010.010.010.010.010.04Paraguay
Honduras9.1585971504624867736.61:2.70.110.040.050.050.050.070.73Honduras
Guatemala16.60464855216216105320.51:4.90.160.030.040.050.050.070.35Guatemala
Trinidad and Tobago1.364117181087.41:13.50.920.070.070.070.070.070.16Trinidad and Tobago
Guyana0.78315364127715.61:6.40.50.080.080.080.090.090.41Guyana
Bahamas0.38510236115520.01:5.00.540.110.110.110.110.110.77Bahamas
El Salvador6.486284915475312494.21:23.60.440.020.020.020.030.030.22El Salvador
Nicaragua6.4611187024637012.41:8.00.330.040.060.060.060.160.19Nicaragua
Haiti11.58274026665024208.32.1:10.010.020.020.030.040.060.12Haiti
UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group644.4512109048206166131432897418.61:5.40.270.050.060.060.070.092.57UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt