COVID-19 - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - 20-08-02

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group is a Group with the following members:
Antigua and Barbuda - Argentina - Bahamas - Barbados - Belize - Bolivia - Brazil - Cape Verde - Chile - Colombia - Costa Rica - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Ecuador - El Salvador - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Guatemala - Guyana - Haiti - Honduras - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Mexico - Nicaragua - Panama - Paraguay - Peru - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Suriname - Trinidad and Tobago - Uruguay - Venezuela

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 4967433 770.8 77585 1.59% 1.96%
Active cases 1249281 193.9 21719 1.77% 1.69%
Deaths 201651 31.3 2046 1.03% 1.18%
Recovered 3516501545.7538201.55%1.65%
Deaths per infected 4.06%
Recovered per infected70.79%
Active per infected 25.15%
Deaths per recovered 5.73%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
8.46%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 44d 0h 35d 16h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population309d 1h 250d 13h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 21 49
Active na 25 66
Deaths na 17 48
Recovered na 20 50
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group

Antigua and Barbuda - Argentina - Bahamas - Barbados - Belize - Bolivia - Brazil - Cape Verde - Chile - Colombia - Costa Rica - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Ecuador - El Salvador - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Guatemala - Guyana - Haiti - Honduras - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Mexico - Nicaragua - Panama - Paraguay - Peru - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Suriname - Trinidad and Tobago - Uruguay - Venezuela

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Brazil211.28427336775766979410420628761.951.861.111.7635d 21h62d 12h1293.8272.944.5976.44.61:21.90.75
Chile19.1073597311771296083324110.56-0.670.630.5123d 15h110d 15h1882.792.750.31739.72.91:34.60.92
Ecuador17.44986232442835736362130.951.360.540.5273d 13h128d 17h494.2253.832.9207.515.81:6.30.42
Peru32.131428850115049196142941871.951.40.650.7635d 21h106d 23h1334.7358.161.0915.66.71:15.00.69
Panama4.21967453249441471410381.630.131.452.0942d 19h48d 3h1598.9591.334.9972.73.61:27.90.61
Argentina44.9392019191092453648890263.122.32.522.9122d 14h27d 21h449.3243.18.1198.14.11:24.40.44
Mexico126.57843904648773477463425271.750.881.141.6939d 21h61d 6h346.938.537.7270.613.91:7.20.78
Colombia49.396317651139762106501672393.582.342.653.3419d 16h26d 11h643.1282.921.6338.66.41:15.70.53
Uruguay3.51912862393610111.11.250.00.9563d 12h36.56.81.028.73.61:28.10.79
Costa Rica5.058189751422816245853.051.94.332.9723d 2h16d 8h375.1281.33.290.63.51:28.30.24
Venezuela32.219202068628174114044.085.642.311.817d 7h30d 8h62.726.80.535.41.51:65.40.56
Dominican Republic10.35872243328211178382442.250.741.233.2631d 4h56d 18h697.4316.911.4369.23.11:32.50.53
Cuba11.2126461908723690.79.560.00.1398d 19h23.61.70.821.13.71:27.20.9
Bolivia11.4780153528443153241562.091.72.431.7733d 13h28d 19h698.8460.727.5210.613.11:7.70.3
Jamaica2.727894139127430.91.480.00.5277d 10h32.85.10.427.21.61:61.70.83
Maldives0.375416415031826433.537.132.580.5220d 0h27d 4h1111.0401.04.8705.20.71:147.10.63
Paraguay7.153564416265239663.871.153.014.6718d 6h23d 9h78.922.70.755.41.31:76.30.7
Honduras9.1584319736026137757941.320.862.442.2352d 18h28d 18h471.7393.415.063.323.81:4.20.13
Guatemala16.60451306108951995384162.02-0.051.932.5134d 15h36d 6h309.065.612.0231.45.21:19.30.75
Trinidad and Tobago1.3641824281323.5614.910.00.6219d 20h13.33.10.69.76.11:16.50.73
Guyana0.783474268211853.743.060.00.4418d 20h60.634.22.723.611.31:8.80.39
Barbados0.287132277983.8223.850.00.8418d 11h46.09.42.434.17.11:14.00.74
Bahamas0.38564854314917.877.765.450.09d 3h13d 1h168.3141.03.623.615.41:6.50.14
El Salvador6.48617448834746786342.482.621.951.4628d 7h35d 19h269.0128.77.2133.15.41:18.50.49
Suriname0.58118496282711944.22.021.673.9416d 20h41d 22h318.0108.04.6205.42.31:44.20.65
Nicaragua6.463672106411624920.00.00.00.056.816.51.838.64.71:21.50.68
Haiti11.587468269716546060.35-0.850.881.09200d 4h79d 13h64.523.31.439.83.61:27.90.62
UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group644.454967433124928120165135165011.961.691.181.6535d 16h59d 5h770.8193.931.3545.75.71:17.50.71

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Brazil211.28427336775766979410420628764.61:21.90.750.030.040.040.040.0412.04Brazil
Chile19.1073597311771296083324112.91:34.60.920.030.030.030.030.0313.59Chile
Ecuador17.449862324428357363621315.81:6.30.420.070.070.070.070.088.88Ecuador
Peru32.131428850115049196142941876.71:15.00.690.050.050.050.050.0616.5Peru
Panama4.21967453249441471410383.61:27.90.610.020.020.020.030.039.42Panama
Argentina44.9392019191092453648890264.11:24.40.440.020.020.020.020.032.19Argentina
Mexico126.578439046487734774634252713.91:7.20.780.110.120.120.130.1410.19Mexico
Colombia49.396317651139762106501672396.41:15.70.530.030.040.040.050.055.83Colombia
Uruguay3.51912862393610113.61:28.10.790.030.030.030.030.030.28Uruguay
Costa Rica5.058189751422816245853.51:28.30.240.010.010.010.010.010.87Costa Rica
Venezuela32.219202068628174114041.51:65.40.560.010.010.010.010.010.15Venezuela
Dominican Republic10.35872243328211178382443.11:32.50.530.020.020.020.020.023.07Dominican Republic
Cuba11.2126461908723693.71:27.20.90.030.030.030.040.040.21Cuba
Bolivia11.47801535284431532415613.11:7.70.30.040.040.040.050.057.43Bolivia
Jamaica2.727894139127431.61:61.70.830.010.010.010.010.010.12Jamaica
Maldives0.375416415031826430.71:147.10.630.00.010.010.010.011.3Maldives
Paraguay7.153564416265239661.31:76.30.70.010.010.010.010.010.2Paraguay
Honduras9.15843197360261377579423.81:4.20.130.030.030.030.040.044.06Honduras
Guatemala16.60451306108951995384165.21:19.30.750.040.040.040.050.053.25Guatemala
Trinidad and Tobago1.3641824281326.11:16.50.730.040.050.050.060.060.16Trinidad and Tobago
Guyana0.7834742682118511.31:8.80.390.040.050.050.060.060.73Guyana
Barbados0.287132277987.11:14.00.740.050.060.060.060.070.66Barbados
Bahamas0.385648543149115.41:6.50.140.020.030.040.040.080.98Bahamas
El Salvador6.48617448834746786345.41:18.50.490.030.030.030.030.041.95El Salvador
Suriname0.58118496282711942.31:44.20.650.010.020.020.020.031.26Suriname
Nicaragua6.463672106411624924.71:21.50.680.030.030.030.030.040.49Nicaragua
Haiti11.587468269716546063.61:27.90.620.020.020.020.020.020.39Haiti
UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group644.454967433124928120165135165015.71:17.50.710.040.040.050.050.058.46UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt