COVID-19 - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - 20-10-09

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group is a Group with the following members:
Antigua and Barbuda - Argentina - Bahamas - Barbados - Belize - Bolivia - Brazil - Cape Verde - Chile - Colombia - Costa Rica - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Ecuador - El Salvador - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Guatemala - Guyana - Haiti - Honduras - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Mexico - Nicaragua - Panama - Paraguay - Peru - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Suriname - Trinidad and Tobago - Uruguay - Venezuela

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 9955395 1544.8 68002 0.69% 0.74%
Active cases 990361 153.7 20308 2.09% 0.23%
Deaths 365926 56.8 2228 0.61% 0.58%
Recovered 85991081334.3454660.53%0.65%
Deaths per infected 3.68%
Recovered per infected86.38%
Active per infected 9.95%
Deaths per recovered 4.26%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
15.35%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 101d 3h 93d 16h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population>1yr >1yr

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 20 82
Active na 47 104
Deaths na 15 61
Recovered na 17 69
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group

Antigua and Barbuda - Argentina - Bahamas - Barbados - Belize - Bolivia - Brazil - Cape Verde - Chile - Colombia - Costa Rica - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Ecuador - El Salvador - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Guatemala - Guyana - Haiti - Honduras - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Mexico - Nicaragua - Panama - Paraguay - Peru - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Suriname - Trinidad and Tobago - Uruguay - Venezuela

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Brazil211.284505588840339514963945028540.57-0.10.350.51122d 20h196d 7h2392.9190.970.82131.23.31:30.10.89
Chile19.10747776914252132204502970.32-1.330.290.3216d 9h240d 19h2500.574.669.22356.72.91:34.00.94
Ecuador17.44914584813162121751205110.677.030.840.0103d 4h82d 15h835.975.469.8690.710.11:9.90.83
Peru32.13183861477300330987282160.41-3.230.240.77168d 15h284d 3h2610.0240.6103.02266.44.51:22.00.87
Panama4.219118841214052474949620.610.140.330.56114d 2h211d 12h2816.9507.458.62250.92.61:38.30.8
Argentina44.939871468151102232256971411.761.131.561.4739d 14h44d 16h1939.2336.251.71551.33.31:30.00.8
Mexico126.57881002039400834976871231.250.791.01.1555d 23h69d 13h639.931.166.0542.812.21:8.20.85
Colombia49.39689430086258274957805470.95.050.350.3277d 5h199d 7h1810.5174.655.71580.23.51:28.40.87
Uruguay3.51922512854919170.971.590.420.6471d 19h166d 16h64.08.11.454.52.61:39.10.85
Costa Rica5.05886053326711055523271.68-0.661.832.9241d 15h38d 3h1701.3645.920.91034.52.01:49.50.61
Venezuela32.219816967992684730200.82-1.670.760.9485d 1h92d 3h253.624.82.1226.60.91:106.40.89
Dominican Republic10.358117457222312165930610.510.150.270.48134d 23h256d 14h1133.9214.620.9898.42.31:42.90.79
Cuba11.21594342212353980.46-4.770.160.86151d 22h>1yr53.03.81.148.22.31:43.90.91
Bolivia11.471382262961782621003470.2-0.840.310.46351d 0h222d 16h1205.1258.272.0874.98.21:12.20.73
Jamaica2.7277363412913231021.320.461.312.1552d 18h53d 10h270.0151.44.8113.84.31:23.50.42
Maldives0.3751080811203496540.52-0.190.00.48132d 23h2883.7298.89.12575.80.31:285.70.89
Paraguay7.15348275165871045306431.790.351.731.9739d 2h40d 9h674.9231.914.6428.43.41:29.30.63
Honduras9.15882552483242492317360.720.090.451.1996d 2h154d 5h901.4527.727.2346.57.81:12.70.38
Guatemala16.6049693582363356853430.630.450.330.55111d 5h212d 21h583.849.620.2514.03.91:25.40.88
Trinidad and Tobago1.364502117828931501.06-0.411.211.5965d 14h57d 17h368.1130.66.5230.92.81:35.30.63
Guyana0.7833358107810021801.67-0.312.422.4441d 22h29d 0h429.0137.712.8278.54.61:21.80.65
Barbados0.2872041571820.57.450.00.0139d 5h71.15.22.463.43.91:26.00.89
Bahamas0.3854713200410226071.350.681.231.9151d 15h56d 13h1224.2520.526.5677.13.91:25.60.55
El Salvador6.486299514075881249950.34-0.450.320.39205d 10h215d 6h461.862.813.6385.43.51:28.40.83
Suriname0.58150189610648160.312.180.00.22224d 2h863.116.518.2828.32.21:45.50.96
Nicaragua6.46526488615342250.36-11.610.269.01190d 23h262d 0h81.513.72.465.43.61:27.60.8
Haiti11.588854161123070130.080.160.090.06stablestable76.513.92.060.63.31:30.50.79
Belize0.4124279053514872.643.13.361.6326d 15h20d 23h592.0220.78.5362.72.41:42.60.61
UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group644.45995539599036136592685991080.740.230.580.6593d 16h119d 4h1544.8153.756.81334.34.31:23.50.86

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Brazil211.284505588840339514963945028543.31:30.10.890.030.030.030.030.0319.14Brazil
Chile19.10747776914252132204502972.91:34.00.940.030.030.030.030.0318.7Chile
Ecuador17.449145848131621217512051110.11:9.90.830.080.090.090.090.0918.86Ecuador
Peru32.13183861477300330987282164.51:22.00.870.040.040.040.040.0427.84Peru
Panama4.219118841214052474949622.61:38.30.80.020.020.020.020.0215.85Panama
Argentina44.939871468151102232256971413.31:30.00.80.030.030.030.030.0313.97Argentina
Mexico126.578810020394008349768712312.21:8.20.850.10.110.110.110.1117.83Mexico
Colombia49.39689430086258274957805473.51:28.40.870.030.030.030.030.0315.04Colombia
Uruguay3.51922512854919172.61:39.10.850.020.020.020.020.020.38Uruguay
Costa Rica5.05886053326711055523272.01:49.50.610.010.010.010.010.015.64Costa Rica
Venezuela32.219816967992684730200.91:106.40.890.010.010.010.010.010.57Venezuela
Dominican Republic10.358117457222312165930612.31:42.90.790.020.020.020.020.025.65Dominican Republic
Cuba11.21594342212353982.31:43.90.910.020.020.020.020.020.3Cuba
Bolivia11.471382262961782621003478.21:12.20.730.060.060.060.060.0619.47Bolivia
Jamaica2.7277363412913231024.31:23.50.420.020.020.020.020.021.31Jamaica
Maldives0.3751080811203496540.31:285.70.890.00.00.00.00.02.45Maldives
Paraguay7.15348275165871045306433.41:29.30.630.020.020.020.030.033.95Paraguay
Honduras9.15882552483242492317367.81:12.70.380.030.030.030.030.037.35Honduras
Guatemala16.6049693582363356853433.91:25.40.880.030.040.040.040.045.46Guatemala
Trinidad and Tobago1.364502117828931502.81:35.30.630.020.020.020.020.021.76Trinidad and Tobago
Guyana0.7833358107810021804.61:21.80.650.030.030.030.030.043.45Guyana
Barbados0.2872041571823.91:26.00.890.030.040.040.040.040.66Barbados
Bahamas0.3854713200410226073.91:25.60.550.020.020.020.020.037.16Bahamas
El Salvador6.486299514075881249953.51:28.40.830.030.030.030.030.033.67El Salvador
Suriname0.58150189610648162.21:45.50.960.020.020.020.020.024.93Suriname
Nicaragua6.46526488615342253.61:27.60.80.030.030.030.030.030.64Nicaragua
Haiti11.588854161123070133.31:30.50.790.030.030.030.030.030.54Haiti
Belize0.4124279053514872.41:42.60.610.010.020.020.020.022.31Belize
UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group644.45995539599036136592685991084.31:23.50.860.040.040.040.040.0415.35UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt