COVID-19 - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - 20-08-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group is a Group with the following members:
Antigua and Barbuda - Argentina - Bahamas - Barbados - Belize - Bolivia - Brazil - Cape Verde - Chile - Colombia - Costa Rica - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Ecuador - El Salvador - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Guatemala - Guyana - Haiti - Honduras - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Mexico - Nicaragua - Panama - Paraguay - Peru - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Suriname - Trinidad and Tobago - Uruguay - Venezuela

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 5295260 821.7 90399 1.74% 1.61%
Active cases 1260335 195.6 24780 2.01% 0.15%
Deaths 212560 33.0 2876 1.37% 0.99%
Recovered 3822365593.1627431.67%1.66%
Deaths per infected 4.01%
Recovered per infected72.18%
Active per infected 23.8%
Deaths per recovered 5.56%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
8.91%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 40d 6h 43d 11h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population278d 20h 301d 7h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 20 51
Active na 25 89
Deaths na 17 56
Recovered na 19 54
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group

Antigua and Barbuda - Argentina - Bahamas - Barbados - Belize - Bolivia - Brazil - Cape Verde - Chile - Colombia - Costa Rica - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Ecuador - El Salvador - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Guatemala - Guyana - Haiti - Honduras - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Mexico - Nicaragua - Panama - Paraguay - Peru - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Suriname - Trinidad and Tobago - Uruguay - Venezuela

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Brazil211.28429122125831779849322305421.47-0.140.781.4647d 14h89d 8h1378.3276.046.61055.74.41:22.60.77
Chile19.1073666711661498893401680.5-1.110.540.47139d 6h129d 3h1919.087.051.81780.32.91:34.40.93
Ecuador17.44990537133425877713180.98-18.690.3816.7571d 0h180d 14h518.976.533.7408.78.21:12.10.79
Peru32.131447624117059202283103371.913.721.241.3136d 14h56d 2h1393.1364.363.0965.86.51:15.30.69
Panama4.21971418241861574456581.47-0.781.42.2547d 9h49d 21h1692.9573.337.31082.33.51:29.00.64
Argentina44.9392281951240924251998523.032.372.72.3123d 4h25d 23h507.8276.19.5222.24.31:23.50.44
Mexico126.57846269046862505173653111.28-2.760.921.5654d 12h75d 10h365.537.039.9288.613.81:7.20.79
Colombia49.396357710153416119391923553.161.812.43.0122d 6h29d 6h724.2310.624.2389.46.21:16.10.54
Uruguay3.51913182023710790.62-2.81.131.19112d 10h61d 20h37.55.71.130.73.41:29.20.82
Costa Rica5.058210701383220070382.99-0.044.429.5923d 12h16d 0h416.6273.54.0139.12.81:35.20.33
Venezuela32.2192328010608202124703.674.132.911.7719d 5h24d 3h72.332.90.638.71.61:61.70.54
Dominican Republic10.35876536347511246405391.40.960.881.3650d 0h79d 8h738.9335.512.0391.43.11:32.60.53
Cuba11.2127752788824091.066.290.230.2465d 22h301d 20h24.82.50.821.53.61:27.40.87
Bolivia11.4786423555853465273731.871.342.021.9937d 11h34d 16h753.5484.630.2238.712.71:7.90.32
Jamaica2.727958201127451.655.684.00.0542d 10h17d 16h35.17.40.427.31.61:62.10.78
Maldives0.375468019361927253.467.352.290.6820d 8h30d 15h1248.7516.55.1727.10.71:142.90.58
Paraguay7.153637513356649743.06-6.413.295.0822d 23h21d 10h89.118.70.969.51.31:75.20.78
Honduras9.1584575538084144662251.41.070.791.4549d 21h87d 18h499.6415.815.868.023.21:4.30.14
Guatemala16.60454339101502119420701.29-1.651.131.754d 5h61d 16h327.361.112.8253.45.01:19.80.77
Trinidad and Tobago1.3642106781353.9812.140.00.4517d 18h15.44.90.69.95.91:16.90.64
Guyana0.783538327221894.646.011.950.4315d 6h35d 20h68.741.82.824.111.61:8.60.35
Barbados0.2871332671001.7911.020.00.4139d 1h46.39.12.434.87.01:14.30.75
Bahamas0.38576165614914.935.560.00.014d 9h197.7170.43.623.615.41:6.50.12
El Salvador6.48619126937751392362.322.351.651.4130d 3h42d 9h294.9144.67.9142.45.51:18.00.48
Suriname0.58120966212914463.564.020.772.7219d 19h90d 10h360.5106.85.0248.72.01:49.80.69
Nicaragua6.46390286612329131.25-3.721.213.3855d 16h57d 18h60.413.41.945.14.21:23.70.75
Haiti11.587582257917148320.3-1.140.720.98228d 12h96d 3h65.522.31.541.73.51:28.20.64
Belize0.411148023217.0423.230.00.674d 9h27.819.50.57.86.21:16.00.28
UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group644.455295260126033521256038223651.610.150.991.6643d 11h70d 5h821.7195.633.0593.15.61:18.00.72

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Brazil211.28429122125831779849322305424.41:22.60.770.030.040.040.040.0412.6Brazil
Chile19.1073666711661498893401682.91:34.40.930.030.030.030.030.0313.99Chile
Ecuador17.44990537133425877713188.21:12.10.790.060.070.070.070.079.1Ecuador
Peru32.131447624117059202283103376.51:15.30.690.050.050.050.050.0517.01Peru
Panama4.21971418241861574456583.51:29.00.640.020.020.020.030.0310.08Panama
Argentina44.9392281951240924251998524.31:23.50.440.020.020.020.020.032.56Argentina
Mexico126.578462690468625051736531113.81:7.20.790.110.120.120.130.1310.79Mexico
Colombia49.396357710153416119391923556.21:16.10.540.030.040.040.040.056.53Colombia
Uruguay3.51913182023710793.41:29.20.820.030.030.030.030.030.28Uruguay
Costa Rica5.058210701383220070382.81:35.20.330.010.010.010.010.011.07Costa Rica
Venezuela32.2192328010608202124701.61:61.70.540.010.010.010.010.010.17Venezuela
Dominican Republic10.35876536347511246405393.11:32.60.530.020.020.020.020.023.25Dominican Republic
Cuba11.2127752788824093.61:27.40.870.030.030.030.030.040.21Cuba
Bolivia11.47864235558534652737312.71:7.90.320.040.040.040.050.058.16Bolivia
Jamaica2.727958201127451.61:62.10.780.010.010.010.010.010.12Jamaica
Maldives0.375468019361927250.71:142.90.580.00.00.00.010.011.37Maldives
Paraguay7.153637513356649741.31:75.20.780.010.010.010.010.020.25Paraguay
Honduras9.15845755380841446622523.21:4.30.140.030.030.030.040.044.27Honduras
Guatemala16.60454339101502119420705.01:19.80.770.040.040.040.050.053.45Guatemala
Trinidad and Tobago1.3642106781355.91:16.90.640.040.040.050.050.060.16Trinidad and Tobago
Guyana0.7835383272218911.61:8.60.350.040.050.050.060.060.76Guyana
Barbados0.2871332671007.01:14.30.750.050.050.060.060.060.66Barbados
Bahamas0.385761656149115.41:6.50.120.020.020.020.030.040.98Bahamas
El Salvador6.48619126937751392365.51:18.00.480.030.030.030.030.042.14El Salvador
Suriname0.58120966212914462.01:49.80.690.010.020.020.020.021.35Suriname
Nicaragua6.46390286612329134.21:23.70.750.030.030.030.030.040.51Nicaragua
Haiti11.587582257917148323.51:28.20.640.020.020.020.020.020.4Haiti
Belize0.41114802326.21:16.00.280.020.040.040.040.040.13Belize
UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group644.455295260126033521256038223655.61:18.00.720.040.040.040.050.058.91UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt