COVID-19 - UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group is a Group with the following members:
Antigua and Barbuda - Argentina - Bahamas - Barbados - Belize - Bolivia - Brazil - Cape Verde - Chile - Colombia - Costa Rica - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Ecuador - El Salvador - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Guatemala - Guyana - Haiti - Honduras - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Mexico - Nicaragua - Panama - Paraguay - Peru - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Suriname - Trinidad and Tobago - Uruguay - Venezuela

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 12824763 1990.0 65788 0.52% 0.53%
Active cases 1124613 174.5 17141 1.55% 0.8%
Deaths 443400 68.8 1256 0.28% 0.33%
Recovered 112567501746.7473910.42%0.39%
Deaths per infected 3.46%
Recovered per infected87.77%
Active per infected 8.77%
Deaths per recovered 3.94%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
18.6%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 134d 18h 131d 6h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the populationstable stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 192Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 45 107
Active na 64 77
Deaths na 23 86
Recovered na 27 94
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group

Antigua and Barbuda - Argentina - Bahamas - Barbados - Belize - Bolivia - Brazil - Cape Verde - Chile - Colombia - Costa Rica - Cuba - Dominica - Dominican Republic - Ecuador - El Salvador - Grenada - Guadeloupe - Guatemala - Guyana - Haiti - Honduras - Jamaica - Maldives - Martinique - Mexico - Nicaragua - Panama - Paraguay - Peru - Saint Kitts and Nevis - Saint Lucia - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - Suriname - Trinidad and Tobago - Uruguay - Venezuela

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Brazil211.284623835048494017197455814360.541.410.270.36127d 17h259d 2h2952.6229.581.42641.73.11:32.50.89
Chile19.1075472439706152785222590.24-0.530.220.2285d 11h315d 23h2864.150.880.02733.32.91:34.10.95
Ecuador17.44918953412167133581640090.425.150.170.0167d 0h>1yr1086.269.776.6940.08.11:12.30.87
Peru32.13195634733543357858870190.17-2.020.080.17>1yrstable2976.4104.4111.42760.64.01:24.80.93
Panama4.2191617441666830301420460.880.540.410.7378d 18h169d 15h3833.9395.171.83367.02.11:46.90.88
Argentina44.93914072771338043821612352570.53-0.440.50.52130d 9h138d 4h3131.5297.785.02748.83.11:32.40.88
Mexico126.57810785941707711042428035810.71.180.50.6299d 23h138d 21h852.1134.982.4634.913.01:7.70.74
Colombia49.3961290510647973621411894990.670.20.410.53104d 12h168d 16h2612.6131.273.32408.13.01:32.90.92
Uruguay3.519530311227441072.451.520.831.828d 15h83d 12h150.731.92.1116.71.81:55.60.77
Costa Rica5.058137093504121690849911.160.950.870.9760d 1h79d 23h2710.4996.733.41680.32.01:50.30.62
Venezuela32.2191015244234888964020.34-1.530.30.36206d 13h233d 19h315.113.12.8299.20.91:108.70.95
Dominican Republic10.3581417772563623241138170.481.150.060.2144d 0hstable1368.7247.522.41098.82.01:49.00.8
Cuba11.21811045213375250.663.260.150.44104d 16h>1yr72.34.01.267.11.81:56.50.93
Bolivia11.471444941450189431210500.07-1.30.070.23stablestable1259.8126.478.01055.47.41:13.50.84
Jamaica2.72710600452125058290.610.140.830.77114d 12h83d 23h388.7165.89.2213.84.31:23.30.55
Maldives0.37512933113846117490.513.310.00.2136d 0h3450.6303.612.33134.70.41:256.40.91
Paraguay7.15380436217251720569911.010.950.560.7368d 15h123d 19h1124.6303.724.0796.83.01:33.10.71
Honduras9.158107134566592899475760.510.380.240.49135d 17h284d 5h1169.8618.731.7519.56.11:16.40.44
Guatemala16.604121132737241411096190.420.330.280.35165d 22h249d 8h729.544.424.9660.23.81:26.50.91
Trinidad and Tobago1.364658675811857100.421.340.170.25165d 21h>1yr482.855.68.7418.62.11:48.30.87
Guyana0.783531088914942720.68-1.850.831.15102d 5h83d 23h678.3113.619.0545.73.51:28.70.8
Barbados0.2872701472490.843.480.00.4183d 5h94.14.92.486.82.81:35.60.92
Bahamas0.3857496150316358300.22-0.860.00.48311d 4h1947.0390.442.31514.32.81:35.70.78
Saint Lucia0.17924613521092.27-3.390.015.930d 22h137.775.51.161.01.81:54.60.44
El Salvador6.4863840522251102350780.450.010.430.17155d 14h163d 9h592.134.317.0540.83.11:31.80.91
Suriname0.5815311711751870.06-13.330.170.07stable>1yr913.51.220.1892.22.31:44.20.98
Nicaragua6.465784139916042250.210.870.130.0336d 15h>1yr89.521.72.565.43.81:26.40.73
Haiti11.589264108123279510.11-0.520.00.18>1yr80.09.32.068.72.91:34.20.86
Belize0.415587239014130561.511.222.471.2346d 4h28d 8h1362.7582.934.4745.44.61:21.70.55
UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group644.45128247631124613443400112567500.530.80.330.39131d 6h207d 15h1990.0174.568.81746.73.91:25.40.88

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Brazil211.284623835048494017197455814363.11:32.50.890.030.030.030.030.0322.0Brazil
Chile19.1075472439706152785222592.91:34.10.950.030.030.030.030.0321.61Chile
Ecuador17.44918953412167133581640098.11:12.30.870.070.070.070.070.0720.69Ecuador
Peru32.13195634733543357858870194.01:24.80.930.040.040.040.040.0430.1Peru
Panama4.2191617441666830301420462.11:46.90.880.020.020.020.020.0219.41Panama
Argentina44.93914072771338043821612352573.11:32.40.880.030.030.030.030.0322.98Argentina
Mexico126.578107859417077110424280358113.01:7.70.740.10.10.10.10.122.26Mexico
Colombia49.3961290510647973621411894993.01:32.90.920.030.030.030.030.0319.81Colombia
Uruguay3.519530311227441071.81:55.60.770.010.020.020.020.020.57Uruguay
Costa Rica5.058137093504121690849912.01:50.30.620.010.010.010.010.019.03Costa Rica
Venezuela32.2191015244234888964020.91:108.70.950.010.010.010.010.010.74Venezuela
Dominican Republic10.3581417772563623241138172.01:49.00.80.020.020.020.020.026.06Dominican Republic
Cuba11.21811045213375251.81:56.50.930.020.020.020.020.020.32Cuba
Bolivia11.471444941450189431210507.41:13.50.840.060.060.060.060.0621.07Bolivia
Jamaica2.72710600452125058294.31:23.30.550.020.020.020.020.032.48Jamaica
Maldives0.37512933113846117490.41:256.40.910.00.00.00.00.03.32Maldives
Paraguay7.15380436217251720569913.01:33.10.710.020.020.020.020.026.5Paraguay
Honduras9.158107134566592899475766.11:16.40.440.030.030.030.030.038.56Honduras
Guatemala16.604121132737241411096193.81:26.50.910.030.030.030.040.046.74Guatemala
Trinidad and Tobago1.364658675811857102.11:48.30.870.020.020.020.020.022.34Trinidad and Tobago
Guyana0.783531088914942723.51:28.70.80.030.030.030.030.035.14Guyana
Barbados0.2872701472492.81:35.60.920.030.030.030.030.030.66Barbados
Bahamas0.3857496150316358302.81:35.70.780.020.020.020.020.0211.44Bahamas
Saint Lucia0.17924613521091.81:54.60.440.010.010.010.010.010.3Saint Lucia
El Salvador6.4863840522251102350783.11:31.80.910.030.030.030.030.034.59El Salvador
Suriname0.5815311711751872.31:44.20.980.020.020.020.020.025.44Suriname
Nicaragua6.465784139916042253.81:26.40.730.030.030.030.030.030.67Nicaragua
Haiti11.589264108123279512.91:34.20.860.030.030.030.030.030.54Haiti
Belize0.415587239014130564.61:21.70.550.030.030.030.030.039.29Belize
UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group644.45128247631124613443400112567503.91:25.40.880.030.040.040.040.0418.6UNR Latin American and Caribbean Group

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt