COVID-19 - UNR Eastern European Group - 20-06-03

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Eastern European Group is a Group with the following members:
Albania - Armenia - Azerbaijan - Belarus - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Bulgaria - Croatia - Czechia - Estonia - Georgia - Hungary - Kosovo - Latvia - Lithuania - Moldova - Montenegro - North Macedonia - Poland - Romania - Russia - Serbia - Slovakia - Slovenia - Ukraine

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 617987 182.8 11830 1.95% 2.01%
Active cases 310654 91.9 57 0.02% 0.74%
Deaths 11206 3.3 253 2.31% 1.81%
Recovered 29612787.6115204.05%2.64%
Deaths per infected 1.81%
Recovered per infected47.92%
Active per infected 50.27%
Deaths per recovered 3.78%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
0.9%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 35d 20h 34d 19h
Time to reach a million cases 24d 21h24d 4h
Time to saturate the population326d 4h 316d 15h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 43 78
Active na 29 87
Deaths na 43 50
Recovered na 46 60
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Eastern European Group

Albania - Armenia - Azerbaijan - Belarus - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Bulgaria - Croatia - Czechia - Estonia - Georgia - Hungary - Kosovo - Latvia - Lithuania - Moldova - Montenegro - North Macedonia - Poland - Romania - Russia - Serbia - Slovakia - Slovenia - Ukraine

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Czechia10.6949438236432567490.52-0.180.250.57133d 9h277d 19h88.322.13.063.14.81:20.70.72
Poland38.38624687115581115120141.290.290.771.8754d 1h90d 8h64.330.12.931.39.31:10.80.49
Slovenia2.09414771010913580.051.310.190.01stable>1yr70.50.55.264.88.01:12.50.92
Romania19.4051966945731296138000.71-0.830.631.0797d 11h109d 18h101.423.66.771.19.41:10.60.7
Estonia1.32818801616916500.23-1.340.30.27308d 6h232d 13h141.512.15.2124.24.21:23.90.88
Russia146.74543171523094852081955592.180.672.853.2432d 4h24d 16h294.2157.43.5133.32.71:37.60.45
Slovakia5.45615251222813750.07-4.460.00.5stable27.92.20.525.22.01:49.00.9
Armenia2.95810524690017034543.944.125.750.7817d 21h12d 9h355.8233.35.7116.84.91:20.30.33
Croatia4.07622464810320950.01-7.710.00.28stable55.11.22.551.44.91:20.30.93
Bulgaria7.02560120814612060.6-0.941.162.04116d 12h60d 6h36.617.32.117.212.11:8.30.47
Serbia6.96411523442624568520.3-0.640.250.73234d 11h281d 1h165.563.63.598.43.61:27.90.59
Latvia1.9071079295247600.28-0.540.00.4247d 5h56.615.51.339.93.21:31.60.7
Hungary9.7733931120753421900.46-1.060.571.33149d 13h120d 21h40.212.45.522.424.41:4.10.56
Albania2.8621184253338981.52.270.00.9346d 11h41.48.81.231.43.71:27.20.76
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.301255145515719390.53-2.410.521.16132d 4h133d 13h77.313.84.858.78.11:12.30.76
Belarus9.4134511624697248201712.051.41.652.034d 3h42d 10h479.3262.42.6214.31.21:81.30.45
Moldova2.6828795362231048632.181.021.292.0732d 2h53d 23h328.0135.111.6181.36.41:15.70.55
Lithuania2.79316843537112600.26-0.850.870.54263d 11h79d 15h60.312.62.545.15.61:17.80.75
North Macedonia2.077249274214516053.26.22.291.0221d 23h30d 13h120.035.77.077.39.01:11.10.64
Azerbaijan10.067626025197636654.655.024.162.6915d 6h17d 0h62.225.00.836.42.11:48.30.59
Georgia3.724800147136401.41-0.851.671.9549d 9h41d 22h21.53.90.317.22.01:49.30.8
Ukraine41.9022538513805742108382.160.761.553.2232d 8h45d 4h60.632.91.825.96.81:14.60.43
Montenegro0.622324093150.000.00.052.10.01.450.62.91:35.00.97
Kosovo1.911142241308711.77-1.110.00.739d 11h59.812.61.645.63.41:29.10.76
UNR Eastern European Group338.14617987310654112062961272.010.741.812.6434d 19h38d 16h182.891.93.387.63.81:26.50.48

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Czechia10.6949438236432567494.81:20.70.720.030.040.040.040.040.82Czechia
Poland38.38624687115581115120149.31:10.80.490.050.050.050.050.060.79Poland
Slovenia2.09414771010913588.01:12.50.920.070.070.070.070.071.41Slovenia
Romania19.4051966945731296138009.41:10.60.70.070.070.070.070.071.81Romania
Estonia1.32818801616916504.21:23.90.880.040.040.040.040.041.4Estonia
Russia146.74543171523094852081955592.71:37.60.450.010.010.010.010.020.96Russia
Slovakia5.45615251222813752.01:49.00.90.020.020.020.020.020.14Slovakia
Armenia2.95810524690017034544.91:20.30.330.020.020.020.020.031.55Armenia
Croatia4.07622464810320954.91:20.30.930.050.050.050.050.050.68Croatia
Bulgaria7.025601208146120612.11:8.30.470.060.060.060.060.060.56Bulgaria
Serbia6.96411523442624568523.61:27.90.590.020.020.020.020.020.95Serbia
Latvia1.9071079295247603.21:31.60.70.020.020.020.020.020.34Latvia
Hungary9.77339311207534219024.41:4.10.560.140.140.140.140.151.48Hungary
Albania2.8621184253338983.71:27.20.760.030.030.030.030.030.31Albania
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.301255145515719398.11:12.30.760.060.060.060.070.071.29Bosnia and Herzegovina
Belarus9.4134511624697248201711.21:81.30.450.010.010.010.010.010.71Belarus
Moldova2.6828795362231048636.41:15.70.550.040.040.040.040.053.12Moldova
Lithuania2.79316843537112605.61:17.80.750.040.040.040.040.040.69Lithuania
North Macedonia2.077249274214516059.01:11.10.640.060.070.070.070.081.89North Macedonia
Azerbaijan10.067626025197636652.11:48.30.590.010.010.020.020.020.2Azerbaijan
Georgia3.724800147136402.01:49.30.80.020.020.020.020.020.09Georgia
Ukraine41.9022538513805742108386.81:14.60.430.030.030.030.030.040.48Ukraine
Montenegro0.622324093152.91:35.00.970.030.030.030.030.030.39Montenegro
Kosovo1.911142241308713.41:29.10.760.030.030.030.030.030.42Kosovo
UNR Eastern European Group338.14617987310654112062961273.81:26.50.480.020.020.020.020.020.9UNR Eastern European Group

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt