COVID-19 - UNR Western European and Others Group - 20-11-27

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Western European and Others Group is a Group with the following members:
Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Go to the data tables

	absolute	cases per 100.000	abs. development 1 day	rel. development 1 day	rel. development 5 days/average
Total infections	24983525	2728.1	380291	1.55%	1.33%
Active cases	15895294	1735.7	214349	1.37%	0.69%
Deaths	568109	62.0	5298	0.94%	0.76%
Recovered	8520122	930.4	160644	1.92%	1.67%

Deaths per infected	2.27%
Recovered per infected	34.1%
Active per infected	63.62%
Deaths per recovered	6.67%
Projection: Total Case Percentage	16.77%

	Last days rate	Last average rate
Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Time to double cases	45d 4h	52d 13h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population	234d 19h	273d 4h

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total:	192	Population	na
	Total cases	Cases per 100.000	Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected	na	30	57
Active	na	9	81
Deaths	na	24	54
Recovered	na	55	35
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Western European and Others Group

Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Deaths	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected
		absolute values				Percentage growthrate 5d				Time to double		Cases per 100.000				% / ratio
Italy	60.243	1538217	787893	53677	696647	1.77	-0.25	1.19	3.65	39d 10h	58d 16h	2553.3	1307.8	89.1	1156.4	7.7	1:13.0	0.45
Spain	47.1	1628208	1433164	44668	150376	0.9	0.85	0.81	0.0	77d 3h	85d 18h	3456.9	3042.8	94.8	319.3	29.7	1:3.4	0.09
Germany	83.149	1038649	317425	16011	705213	2.18	0.67	2.01	2.31	32d 1h	34d 17h	1249.1	381.8	19.3	848.1	2.3	1:44.1	0.68
US	329.488	13088821	7876517	264858	4947446	1.34	0.75	0.51	1.48	52d 2h	136d 17h	3972.5	2390.5	80.4	1501.6	5.3	1:18.7	0.38
France	67.069	2248209	2030717	51999	165493	0.52	0.36	0.9	0.82	134d 20h	77d 5h	3352.1	3027.8	77.5	246.8	31.4	1:3.2	0.07
Switzerland	8.587	318290	91619	4571	222100	1.84	-2.81	2.15	4.04	38d 0h	32d 14h	3706.8	1067.0	53.2	2586.6	2.1	1:48.5	0.7
United Kingdom	66.436	1593250	1532140	57648	3462	1.0	0.82	0.72	0.79	69d 12h	96d 17h	2398.2	2306.2	86.8	5.2	1665.2	16.7:1	0.0
Netherlands	17.447	517045	500849	9343	6853	0.99	0.76	0.65	0.47	70d 15h	107d 16h	2963.6	2870.7	53.6	39.3	136.3	1.4:1	0.01
Austria	8.903	270992	64855	2886	203251	1.86	-2.38	3.05	3.02	37d 16h	23d 2h	3044.0	728.5	32.4	2283.1	1.4	1:70.4	0.75
Belgium	11.524	570829	554490	16339	31130	0.43	0.3	0.76	0.0	162d 9h	91d 16h	4953.2	4811.4	141.8	0.0	52.5	1:1.9	0.05
Norway	5.368	35193	16867	328	17998	1.44	2.6	0.65	0.0	48d 11h	107d 11h	655.7	314.2	6.1	335.3	1.8	1:54.9	0.51
Sweden	10.334	243129	236448	6681	4971	3.18	2.66	0.67	0.0	22d 3h	104d 5h	2352.8	2288.2	64.7	0.0	134.4	1.3:1	0.02
Denmark	5.823	77236	15592	816	60828	1.7	1.23	0.68	1.39	41d 4h	102d 5h	1326.4	267.8	14.0	1044.7	1.3	1:74.6	0.79
Canada	37.965	362604	59467	11916	291221	1.66	2.12	0.54	1.2	42d 1h	127d 18h	955.1	156.6	31.4	767.1	4.1	1:24.4	0.8
Portugal	10.277	285838	82116	4276	199446	1.85	-0.39	1.56	2.33	37d 17h	44d 21h	2781.4	799.1	41.6	1940.8	2.1	1:46.7	0.7
Australia	25.653	27886	1394	907	25585	0.04	-0.06	0.0	0.03	stable		108.7	5.4	3.5	99.7	3.5	1:28.2	0.92
Israel	9.175	333802	9617	2839	321346	0.3	2.77	0.25	0.18	235d 2h	278d 17h	3638.3	104.8	30.9	3502.6	0.9	1:113.6	0.96
Ireland	4.921	71699	46292	2043	23364	0.35	0.45	0.13	0.0	198d 23h	>1yr	1456.9	940.6	41.5	474.7	8.7	1:11.4	0.33
Greece	10.725	101287	76111	2102	23074	2.03	2.1	4.21	0.0	34d 12h	16d 19h	944.4	709.7	19.6	215.2	9.1	1:11.0	0.23
Finland	5.528	23766	6573	393	16800	1.89	0.46	0.69	1.96	36d 22h	101d 1h	430.0	118.9	7.1	303.9	2.3	1:42.7	0.71
Turkey	83.155	548244	142437	13191	392616	4.23	12.42	1.04	0.74	16d 17h	66d 22h	659.3	171.3	15.9	472.1	3.4	1:29.8	0.72
Luxembourg	0.614	33409	9036	300	24073	2.35	-0.61	2.5	3.24	29d 21h	28d 1h	5442.1	1471.9	48.9	3921.3	1.2	1:80.0	0.72
Iceland	0.364	5346	176	26	5144	0.26	-4.11	0.0	0.33	266d 17h		1468.7	48.4	7.1	1413.2	0.5	1:196.1	0.96
Malta	0.494	9501	2076	128	7297	1.26	-0.38	2.41	1.49	55d 7h	29d 1h	1924.8	420.6	25.9	1478.3	1.8	1:57.1	0.77
New Zealand	4.972	2050	69	25	1956	0.2	4.99	0.0	0.03	353d 7h		41.2	1.4	0.5	39.3	1.3	1:78.1	0.95
UNR Western European and Others Group	915.79	24983525	15895294	568109	8520122	1.33	0.69	0.76	1.67	52d 13h	91d 17h	2728.1	1735.7	62.0	930.4	6.7	1:15.0	0.34

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected	Deaths per infected ... days ago					Possible Total %	Country
		absolute values				% / ratio		Recovered per infected	0d	5d	7d	10d	14d	Possible Total %
Italy	60.243	1538217	787893	53677	696647	7.7	1:13.0	0.45	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.05	24.08	Italy
Spain	47.1	1628208	1433164	44668	150376	29.7	1:3.4	0.09	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	25.63	Spain
Germany	83.149	1038649	317425	16011	705213	2.3	1:44.1	0.68	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	5.2	Germany
US	329.488	13088821	7876517	264858	4947446	5.3	1:18.7	0.38	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	21.73	US
France	67.069	2248209	2030717	51999	165493	31.4	1:3.2	0.07	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	20.95	France
Switzerland	8.587	318290	91619	4571	222100	2.1	1:48.5	0.7	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	14.39	Switzerland
United Kingdom	66.436	1593250	1532140	57648	3462	1665.2	16.7:1	0.0	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	23.45	United Kingdom
Netherlands	17.447	517045	500849	9343	6853	136.3	1.4:1	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	14.47	Netherlands
Austria	8.903	270992	64855	2886	203251	1.4	1:70.4	0.75	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8.76	Austria
Belgium	11.524	570829	554490	16339	31130	52.5	1:1.9	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	38.32	Belgium
Norway	5.368	35193	16867	328	17998	1.8	1:54.9	0.51	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	1.65	Norway
Sweden	10.334	243129	236448	6681	4971	134.4	1.3:1	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	17.47	Sweden
Denmark	5.823	77236	15592	816	60828	1.3	1:74.6	0.79	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	3.79	Denmark
Canada	37.965	362604	59467	11916	291221	4.1	1:24.4	0.8	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.04	8.48	Canada
Portugal	10.277	285838	82116	4276	199446	2.1	1:46.7	0.7	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	11.25	Portugal
Australia	25.653	27886	1394	907	25585	3.5	1:28.2	0.92	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.96	Australia
Israel	9.175	333802	9617	2839	321346	0.9	1:113.6	0.96	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8.36	Israel
Ireland	4.921	71699	46292	2043	23364	8.7	1:11.4	0.33	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	11.22	Ireland
Greece	10.725	101287	76111	2102	23074	9.1	1:11.0	0.23	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	5.3	Greece
Finland	5.528	23766	6573	393	16800	2.3	1:42.7	0.71	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	1.92	Finland
Turkey	83.155	548244	142437	13191	392616	3.4	1:29.8	0.72	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	4.29	Turkey
Luxembourg	0.614	33409	9036	300	24073	1.2	1:80.0	0.72	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	13.21	Luxembourg
Iceland	0.364	5346	176	26	5144	0.5	1:196.1	0.96	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.01	1.93	Iceland
Malta	0.494	9501	2076	128	7297	1.8	1:57.1	0.77	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	7.01	Malta
New Zealand	4.972	2050	69	25	1956	1.3	1:78.1	0.95	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.14	New Zealand
UNR Western European and Others Group	915.79	24983525	15895294	568109	8520122	6.7	1:15.0	0.34	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	16.77	UNR Western European and Others Group

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt