COVID-19 - UNR Western European and Others Group - 20-06-03

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Western European and Others Group is a Group with the following members:
Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Go to the data tables

	absolute	cases per 100.000	abs. development 1 day	rel. development 1 day	rel. development 5 days/average
Total infections	3483586	380.4	-46954	-1.33%	0.37%
Active cases	1828032	199.6	-69301	-3.65%	0.33%
Deaths	285245	31.1	1789	0.63%	0.43%
Recovered	1370309	149.6	20558	1.52%	1.11%

Deaths per infected	8.19%
Recovered per infected	39.34%
Active per infected	52.48%
Deaths per recovered	20.82%
Projection: Total Case Percentage	8.42%

	Last days rate	Last average rate
Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Time to double cases		189d 15h
Time to reach a million cases	93d 5h
Time to saturate the population		stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total:	189	Population	na
	Total cases	Cases per 100.000	Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected	na	20	124
Active	na	19	98
Deaths	na	11	86
Recovered	na	29	96
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Western European and Others Group

Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Deaths	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected
		absolute values				Percentage growthrate 5d				Time to double		Cases per 100.000				% / ratio
Italy	60.243	233836	39297	33601	160938	0.14	-2.86	0.18	0.93	>1yr	>1yr	388.2	65.2	55.8	267.1	20.9	1:4.8	0.69
Spain	47.1	240326	62822	27128	150376	0.15	0.44	0.0	0.0	>1yr	stable	510.2	133.4	57.6	319.3	18.0	1:5.5	0.63
Germany	83.149	184121	8066	8602	167453	0.13	-3.03	0.14	0.29	>1yr	>1yr	221.4	9.7	10.3	201.4	5.1	1:19.5	0.91
US	329.488	1851520	1265087	107175	479258	1.18	0.4	0.65	2.7	59d 1h	107d 7h	561.9	384.0	32.5	145.5	22.4	1:4.5	0.26
France	67.069	114400	15803	29024	69573	-7.69	0.07	0.16	0.3		>1yr	170.6	23.6	43.3	103.7	41.7	1:2.4	0.61
Switzerland	8.587	30893	372	1921	28600	0.04	-5.38	0.01	0.14	stable	stable	359.8	4.3	22.4	333.1	6.7	1:14.9	0.93
United Kingdom	66.436	281270	240247	39811	1212	0.63	0.47	0.63	0.88	110d 18h	111d 3h	423.4	361.6	59.9	1.8	3284.7	32.8:1	0.0
Netherlands	17.447	46939	40763	5996	180	0.26	0.24	0.12	0.22	264d 11h	>1yr	269.0	233.6	34.4	1.0	3331.1	33.3:1	0.0
Austria	8.903	16771	429	670	15672	0.14	-5.94	0.03	0.37	>1yr	stable	188.4	4.8	7.5	176.0	4.3	1:23.4	0.93
Belgium	11.524	58685	33204	9522	15959	0.21	0.14	0.16	0.32	324d 3h	>1yr	509.2	288.1	82.6	138.5	59.7	1:1.7	0.27
Norway	5.368	8477	513	237	7727	0.13	1.36	0.08	0.0	>1yr	stable	157.9	9.6	4.4	144.0	3.1	1:32.6	0.91
Sweden	10.334	40803	36261	4542	4971	2.28	4.93	0.54	0.0	30d 17h	129d 1h	394.9	350.9	44.0	0.0	91.4	1:1.1	0.12
Denmark	5.823	11971	641	580	10750	0.3	-3.21	0.42	0.47	231d 8h	165d 15h	205.6	11.0	10.0	184.6	5.4	1:18.5	0.9
Canada	37.965	94641	35556	7579	51506	0.81	-0.1	1.15	1.15	86d 3h	60d 13h	249.3	93.7	20.0	135.7	14.7	1:6.8	0.54
Portugal	10.277	33261	11735	1447	20079	0.81	-0.1	0.76	0.99	85d 21h	92d 1h	323.7	114.2	14.1	195.4	7.2	1:13.9	0.6
Australia	25.653	7240	490	102	6648	0.16	0.63	-0.19	0.09	>1yr		28.2	1.9	0.4	25.9	1.5	1:65.4	0.92
Israel	9.175	17377	2103	291	14983	0.46	1.3	0.42	0.22	152d 14h	164d 20h	189.4	22.9	3.2	163.3	1.9	1:51.5	0.86
Ireland	4.921	25111	754	1659	22698	0.19	2.96	0.16	0.0	>1yr	>1yr	510.2	15.3	33.7	461.2	7.3	1:13.7	0.9
Greece	10.725	2937	1384	179	1374	0.19	0.35	0.46	0.0	361d 6h	151d 23h	27.4	12.9	1.7	12.8	13.0	1:7.7	0.47
Finland	5.528	6911	1090	321	5500	0.4	2.11	0.38	0.0	175d 13h	182d 2h	125.0	19.7	5.8	99.5	5.8	1:17.1	0.8
Turkey	83.155	166422	30961	4609	130852	0.53	-0.39	0.42	0.62	132d 7h	163d 16h	200.1	37.2	5.5	157.4	3.5	1:28.4	0.79
Luxembourg	0.614	4024	53	110	3861	0.06	-6.16	0.0	0.17	stable		655.5	8.6	17.9	628.9	2.9	1:35.1	0.96
Iceland	0.364	1806	2	10	1794	0.01	20.0	0.0	0.0	stable		496.2	0.5	2.7	492.9	0.6	1:178.6	0.99
Malta	0.494	622	51	9	562	0.19	-9.0	0.0	1.52	357d 9h		126.0	10.3	1.8	113.9	1.6	1:62.5	0.9
New Zealand	4.972	1504	1	22	1481	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			30.2	0.0	0.4	29.8	1.5	1:67.1	0.98
UNR Western European and Others Group	915.79	3483586	1828032	285245	1370309	0.37	0.33	0.43	1.11	189d 15h	161d 16h	380.4	199.6	31.1	149.6	20.8	1:4.8	0.39

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected	Deaths per infected ... days ago					Possible Total %	Country
		absolute values				% / ratio		Recovered per infected	0d	5d	7d	10d	14d	Possible Total %
Italy	60.243	233836	39297	33601	160938	20.9	1:4.8	0.69	0.14	0.14	0.14	0.15	0.15	15.07	Italy
Spain	47.1	240326	62822	27128	150376	18.0	1:5.5	0.63	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.12	0.12	15.57	Spain
Germany	83.149	184121	8066	8602	167453	5.1	1:19.5	0.91	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	2.8	Germany
US	329.488	1851520	1265087	107175	479258	22.4	1:4.5	0.26	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.07	8.79	US
France	67.069	114400	15803	29024	69573	41.7	1:2.4	0.61	0.25	0.15	0.16	0.16	0.16	11.7	France
Switzerland	8.587	30893	372	1921	28600	6.7	1:14.9	0.93	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	6.05	Switzerland
United Kingdom	66.436	281270	240247	39811	1212	3284.7	32.8:1	0.0	0.14	0.15	0.15	0.15	0.16	16.2	United Kingdom
Netherlands	17.447	46939	40763	5996	180	3331.1	33.3:1	0.0	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13	9.29	Netherlands
Austria	8.903	16771	429	670	15672	4.3	1:23.4	0.93	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	2.03	Austria
Belgium	11.524	58685	33204	9522	15959	59.7	1:1.7	0.27	0.16	0.16	0.16	0.17	0.17	22.33	Belgium
Norway	5.368	8477	513	237	7727	3.1	1:32.6	0.91	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	1.19	Norway
Sweden	10.334	40803	36261	4542	4971	91.4	1:1.1	0.12	0.11	0.12	0.13	0.13	0.14	11.88	Sweden
Denmark	5.823	11971	641	580	10750	5.4	1:18.5	0.9	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	2.69	Denmark
Canada	37.965	94641	35556	7579	51506	14.7	1:6.8	0.54	0.08	0.08	0.08	0.09	0.09	5.4	Canada
Portugal	10.277	33261	11735	1447	20079	7.2	1:13.9	0.6	0.04	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.05	3.81	Portugal
Australia	25.653	7240	490	102	6648	1.5	1:65.4	0.92	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.11	Australia
Israel	9.175	17377	2103	291	14983	1.9	1:51.5	0.86	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.86	Israel
Ireland	4.921	25111	754	1659	22698	7.3	1:13.7	0.9	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	9.11	Ireland
Greece	10.725	2937	1384	179	1374	13.0	1:7.7	0.47	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.45	Greece
Finland	5.528	6911	1090	321	5500	5.8	1:17.1	0.8	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	1.57	Finland
Turkey	83.155	166422	30961	4609	130852	3.5	1:28.4	0.79	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	1.5	Turkey
Luxembourg	0.614	4024	53	110	3861	2.9	1:35.1	0.96	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	4.84	Luxembourg
Iceland	0.364	1806	2	10	1794	0.6	1:178.6	0.99	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.74	Iceland
Malta	0.494	622	51	9	562	1.6	1:62.5	0.9	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.49	Malta
New Zealand	4.972	1504	1	22	1481	1.5	1:67.1	0.98	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.12	New Zealand
UNR Western European and Others Group	915.79	3483586	1828032	285245	1370309	20.8	1:4.8	0.39	0.08	0.08	0.08	0.09	0.09	8.42	UNR Western European and Others Group

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt