COVID-19 - UNR Western European and Others Group - 20-08-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Western European and Others Group is a Group with the following members:
Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Go to the data tables

	absolute	cases per 100.000	abs. development 1 day	rel. development 1 day	rel. development 5 days/average
Total infections	7054036	770.3	76959	1.1%	0.96%
Active cases	3907761	426.7	48399	1.25%	0.6%
Deaths	354880	38.8	2135	0.61%	0.23%
Recovered	2791395	304.8	26425	0.96%	1.0%

Deaths per infected	5.03%
Recovered per infected	39.57%
Active per infected	55.4%
Deaths per recovered	12.71%
Projection: Total Case Percentage	10.47%

	Last days rate	Last average rate
Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Time to double cases	63d 4h	72d 19h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population	>1yr	>1yr

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total:	189	Population	na
	Total cases	Cases per 100.000	Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected	na	21	82
Active	na	5	71
Deaths	na	13	102
Recovered	na	39	74
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Western European and Others Group

Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Deaths	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected
		absolute values				Percentage growthrate 5d				Time to double		Cases per 100.000				% / ratio
Italy	60.243	249204	12694	35187	201323	0.11	0.3	0.02	0.07	>1yr	stable	413.7	21.1	58.4	334.2	17.5	1:5.7	0.81
Spain	47.1	309855	130979	28500	150376	1.44	3.0	0.04	0.0	48d 10h	stable	657.9	278.1	60.5	319.3	18.9	1:5.3	0.49
Germany	83.149	215039	10577	9181	195281	0.38	2.44	0.05	0.2	182d 22h	stable	258.6	12.7	11.0	234.9	4.7	1:21.3	0.91
US	329.488	4883579	3125090	159865	1598624	1.11	0.55	0.46	1.55	62d 13h	151d 17h	1482.2	948.5	48.5	485.2	10.0	1:10.0	0.33
France	67.069	231310	118410	30308	82592	0.54	0.5	0.02	0.13	128d 21h	stable	344.9	176.5	45.2	123.1	36.7	1:2.7	0.36
Switzerland	8.587	36108	2523	1985	31600	0.39	1.98	0.03	0.19	178d 0h	stable	420.5	29.4	23.1	368.0	6.3	1:15.9	0.88
United Kingdom	66.436	309796	261851	46498	1447	0.28	0.13	0.01	0.07	252d 0h	stable	466.3	394.1	70.0	2.2	3213.4	32.1:1	0.0
Netherlands	17.447	57465	51057	6173	235	0.87	0.7	0.02	0.7	79d 17h	stable	329.4	292.6	35.4	1.3	2626.8	26.3:1	0.0
Austria	8.903	21696	1381	719	19596	0.45	-2.56	0.03	0.58	153d 14h	stable	243.7	15.5	8.1	220.1	3.7	1:27.2	0.9
Belgium	11.524	72016	44455	9861	17700	0.74	0.78	0.03	0.1	93d 16h	stable	624.9	385.7	85.6	153.6	55.7	1:1.8	0.25
Norway	5.368	9468	355	256	8857	0.46	10.57	0.08	0.0	150d 19h	stable	176.4	6.6	4.8	165.0	2.9	1:34.6	0.94
Sweden	10.334	81967	76201	5766	4971	0.38	0.29	0.06	0.0	181d 23h	stable	793.2	737.4	55.8	0.0	116.0	1.2:1	0.06
Denmark	5.823	14586	976	617	12993	0.78	6.66	0.03	0.28	88d 17h	stable	250.5	16.8	10.6	223.1	4.8	1:21.1	0.89
Canada	37.965	120374	6696	9013	104665	0.31	0.56	0.05	0.25	222d 0h	stable	317.1	17.6	23.7	275.7	8.6	1:11.6	0.87
Portugal	10.277	52061	12478	1743	37840	0.29	-0.39	0.03	0.42	238d 11h	stable	506.6	121.4	17.0	368.2	4.6	1:21.7	0.73
Australia	25.653	20272	8887	266	11119	2.54	3.12	4.25	1.41	27d 16h	16d 15h	79.0	34.6	1.0	43.3	2.4	1:41.8	0.55
Israel	9.175	79559	25556	576	53427	1.96	-0.47	1.45	2.66	35d 18h	48d 7h	867.2	278.6	6.3	582.3	1.1	1:92.6	0.67
Ireland	4.921	26372	1240	1768	23364	0.2	3.69	0.0	0.0	345d 18h		535.9	25.2	35.9	474.7	7.6	1:13.2	0.89
Greece	10.725	5123	3539	210	1374	2.24	2.44	0.39	0.0	31d 8h	179d 21h	47.8	33.0	2.0	12.8	15.3	1:6.5	0.27
Finland	5.528	7532	221	331	6980	0.24	4.22	0.12	0.09	291d 12h	>1yr	136.3	4.0	6.0	126.3	4.7	1:21.1	0.93
Turkey	83.155	237265	10921	5798	220546	0.46	0.34	0.26	0.37	150d 15h	269d 1h	285.3	13.1	7.0	265.2	2.6	1:38.0	0.93
Luxembourg	0.614	7073	1204	119	5750	0.81	-2.75	0.34	1.63	85d 17h	202d 5h	1152.1	196.1	19.4	936.6	2.1	1:48.3	0.81
Iceland	0.364	1932	97	10	1825	0.41	9.73	0.0	0.0	169d 20h		530.8	26.6	2.7	501.4	0.6	1:181.8	0.94
Malta	0.494	946	267	9	670	2.29	7.92	0.0	0.09	30d 15h		191.7	54.1	1.8	135.7	1.3	1:74.6	0.71
New Zealand	4.972	1569	23	22	1524	0.05	-1.12	0.0	0.08	stable		31.6	0.5	0.4	30.7	1.4	1:69.4	0.97
UNR Western European and Others Group	915.79	7054036	3907761	354880	2791395	0.96	0.6	0.23	1.0	72d 19h	306d 15h	770.3	426.7	38.8	304.8	12.7	1:7.9	0.4

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected	Deaths per infected ... days ago					Possible Total %	Country
		absolute values				% / ratio		Recovered per infected	0d	5d	7d	10d	14d	Possible Total %
Italy	60.243	249204	12694	35187	201323	17.5	1:5.7	0.81	0.14	0.14	0.14	0.14	0.14	15.79	Italy
Spain	47.1	309855	130979	28500	150376	18.9	1:5.3	0.49	0.09	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	16.35	Spain
Germany	83.149	215039	10577	9181	195281	4.7	1:21.3	0.91	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	2.98	Germany
US	329.488	4883579	3125090	159865	1598624	10.0	1:10.0	0.33	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.04	13.11	US
France	67.069	231310	118410	30308	82592	36.7	1:2.7	0.36	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.14	0.14	12.21	France
Switzerland	8.587	36108	2523	1985	31600	6.3	1:15.9	0.88	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	6.25	Switzerland
United Kingdom	66.436	309796	261851	46498	1447	3213.4	32.1:1	0.0	0.15	0.15	0.15	0.15	0.16	18.92	United Kingdom
Netherlands	17.447	57465	51057	6173	235	2626.8	26.3:1	0.0	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.12	0.12	9.56	Netherlands
Austria	8.903	21696	1381	719	19596	3.7	1:27.2	0.9	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	2.18	Austria
Belgium	11.524	72016	44455	9861	17700	55.7	1:1.8	0.25	0.14	0.14	0.14	0.15	0.15	23.13	Belgium
Norway	5.368	9468	355	256	8857	2.9	1:34.6	0.94	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	1.29	Norway
Sweden	10.334	81967	76201	5766	4971	116.0	1.2:1	0.06	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	15.08	Sweden
Denmark	5.823	14586	976	617	12993	4.8	1:21.1	0.89	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.05	2.86	Denmark
Canada	37.965	120374	6696	9013	104665	8.6	1:11.6	0.87	0.07	0.08	0.08	0.08	0.08	6.42	Canada
Portugal	10.277	52061	12478	1743	37840	4.6	1:21.7	0.73	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	4.58	Portugal
Australia	25.653	20272	8887	266	11119	2.4	1:41.8	0.55	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.28	Australia
Israel	9.175	79559	25556	576	53427	1.1	1:92.6	0.67	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	1.7	Israel
Ireland	4.921	26372	1240	1768	23364	7.6	1:13.2	0.89	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	9.71	Ireland
Greece	10.725	5123	3539	210	1374	15.3	1:6.5	0.27	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.53	Greece
Finland	5.528	7532	221	331	6980	4.7	1:21.1	0.93	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	1.62	Finland
Turkey	83.155	237265	10921	5798	220546	2.6	1:38.0	0.93	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	1.88	Turkey
Luxembourg	0.614	7073	1204	119	5750	2.1	1:48.3	0.81	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	5.24	Luxembourg
Iceland	0.364	1932	97	10	1825	0.6	1:181.8	0.94	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.74	Iceland
Malta	0.494	946	267	9	670	1.3	1:74.6	0.71	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.49	Malta
New Zealand	4.972	1569	23	22	1524	1.4	1:69.4	0.97	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.12	New Zealand
UNR Western European and Others Group	915.79	7054036	3907761	354880	2791395	12.7	1:7.9	0.4	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.06	0.06	10.47	UNR Western European and Others Group

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt