COVID-19 - UNR Western European and Others Group - 20-10-09

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Western European and Others Group is a Group with the following members:
Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Go to the data tables

	absolute	cases per 100.000	abs. development 1 day	rel. development 1 day	rel. development 5 days/average
Total infections	12083205	1319.4	140362	1.18%	1.11%
Active cases	6906003	754.1	107507	1.58%	0.98%
Deaths	420384	45.9	1632	0.39%	0.24%
Recovered	4756818	519.4	31223	0.66%	0.76%

Deaths per infected	3.48%
Recovered per infected	39.37%
Active per infected	57.15%
Deaths per recovered	8.84%
Projection: Total Case Percentage	12.41%

	Last days rate	Last average rate
Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Time to double cases	59d 7h	63d 1h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population	>1yr	>1yr

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total:	189	Population	na
	Total cases	Cases per 100.000	Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected	na	21	60
Active	na	8	74
Deaths	na	19	97
Recovered	na	45	64
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Western European and Others Group

Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Data by Country

Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Infected	Deaths	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected
		absolute values				Percentage growthrate 5d				Time to double		Cases per 100.000				% / ratio
Italy	60.243	343770	70110	36111	237549	1.11	2.82	0.05	0.38	62d 19h	stable	570.6	116.4	59.9	394.3	15.2	1:6.6	0.69
Spain	47.1	861112	677807	32929	150376	1.74	1.84	0.37	0.0	40d 3h	186d 6h	1828.2	1439.1	69.9	319.3	21.9	1:4.6	0.17
Germany	83.149	320495	37178	9599	273718	1.22	2.84	0.03	0.75	56d 22h	stable	385.4	44.7	11.5	329.2	3.5	1:28.5	0.85
US	329.488	7663293	4410452	213752	3039089	0.65	0.35	0.29	0.74	106d 10h	240d 15h	2325.8	1338.6	64.9	922.4	7.0	1:14.2	0.4
France	67.069	732434	596601	32601	103232	3.08	3.04	0.23	0.45	22d 19h	304d 13h	1092.1	889.5	48.6	153.9	31.6	1:3.2	0.14
Switzerland	8.587	60368	9880	2088	48400	2.11	5.89	0.1	1.12	33d 4h	>1yr	703.0	115.1	24.3	563.7	4.3	1:23.2	0.8
United Kingdom	66.436	578390	533133	42769	2488	2.73	2.43	0.11	0.59	25d 18h	>1yr	870.6	802.5	64.4	3.7	1719.0	17.2:1	0.0
Netherlands	17.447	167348	156038	6601	4709	3.47	2.89	0.24	1.36	20d 7h	286d 22h	959.2	894.4	37.8	27.0	140.2	1.4:1	0.03
Austria	8.903	53188	10307	842	42039	2.01	2.68	0.61	1.34	34d 19h	114d 7h	597.4	115.8	9.5	472.2	2.0	1:50.0	0.79
Belgium	11.524	148981	118758	10151	20072	2.73	2.48	0.12	0.31	25d 17h	>1yr	1292.7	1030.5	88.1	174.2	50.6	1:2.0	0.13
Norway	5.368	15388	3250	275	11863	1.26	0.9	0.0	1.2	55d 12h		286.7	60.5	5.1	221.0	2.3	1:43.1	0.77
Sweden	10.334	98451	92557	5894	4971	0.87	0.73	-0.01	0.0	79d 22h		952.7	895.7	57.0	0.0	118.6	1.2:1	0.05
Denmark	5.823	32131	5491	665	25975	1.27	-2.4	0.21	1.84	54d 23h	327d 2h	551.8	94.3	11.4	446.1	2.6	1:39.1	0.81
Canada	37.965	180625	18941	9638	152046	1.4	2.29	0.16	0.99	49d 20h	>1yr	475.8	49.9	25.4	400.5	6.3	1:15.8	0.84
Portugal	10.277	83928	29702	2062	52164	1.18	1.47	0.45	0.52	59d 2h	156d 0h	816.7	289.0	20.1	507.6	4.0	1:25.3	0.62
Australia	25.653	27244	1360	897	24987	0.07	-0.05	0.07	0.06	stable	stable	106.2	5.3	3.5	97.4	3.6	1:27.9	0.92
Israel	9.175	287858	60724	1886	225248	1.53	-2.25	1.64	2.53	45d 13h	42d 16h	3137.6	661.9	20.6	2455.1	0.8	1:119.0	0.78
Ireland	4.921	40703	15518	1821	23364	1.37	3.01	0.08	0.0	51d 1h	stable	827.0	315.3	37.0	474.7	7.8	1:12.8	0.57
Greece	10.725	21772	19994	431	1347	1.87	1.63	1.01	0.0	37d 7h	69d 1h	203.0	186.4	4.0	12.6	32.0	1:3.1	0.06
Finland	5.528	11580	2734	346	8500	1.91	4.0	0.06	0.99	36d 17h	stable	209.5	49.5	6.3	153.8	4.1	1:24.6	0.73
Turkey	83.155	332382	31906	8722	291754	0.48	0.5	0.53	0.37	143d 8h	131d 1h	399.7	38.4	10.5	350.9	3.0	1:33.4	0.88
Luxembourg	0.614	9119	1091	128	7900	0.93	-0.93	0.48	1.26	74d 23h	145d 12h	1485.4	177.7	20.9	1286.9	1.6	1:61.7	0.87
Iceland	0.364	3373	915	10	2448	2.92	6.0	0.0	1.15	24d 1h		926.6	251.4	2.7	672.5	0.4	1:243.9	0.73
Malta	0.494	3581	625	41	2915	1.83	4.27	1.01	0.9	38d 3h	68d 18h	725.5	126.6	8.3	590.6	1.4	1:70.9	0.81
New Zealand	4.972	1870	44	25	1801	0.16	0.82	0.0	0.11	>1yr		37.6	0.9	0.5	36.2	1.4	1:71.9	0.96
UNR Western European and Others Group	915.79	12083205	6906003	420384	4756818	1.11	0.98	0.24	0.76	63d 1h	284d 7h	1319.4	754.1	45.9	519.4	8.8	1:11.3	0.39

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±	±
Country	Pop (mio)	Infected	Active	Deaths	Recovered	Deaths per Recovered		Recovered per infected	Deaths per infected ... days ago					Possible Total %	Country
		absolute values				% / ratio		Recovered per infected	0d	5d	7d	10d	14d	Possible Total %
Italy	60.243	343770	70110	36111	237549	15.2	1:6.6	0.69	0.1	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.12	16.2	Italy
Spain	47.1	861112	677807	32929	150376	21.9	1:4.6	0.17	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.05	18.9	Spain
Germany	83.149	320495	37178	9599	273718	3.5	1:28.5	0.85	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	3.12	Germany
US	329.488	7663293	4410452	213752	3039089	7.0	1:14.2	0.4	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	17.53	US
France	67.069	732434	596601	32601	103232	31.6	1:3.2	0.14	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.06	13.14	France
Switzerland	8.587	60368	9880	2088	48400	4.3	1:23.2	0.8	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	6.57	Switzerland
United Kingdom	66.436	578390	533133	42769	2488	1719.0	17.2:1	0.0	0.07	0.08	0.09	0.09	0.1	17.4	United Kingdom
Netherlands	17.447	167348	156038	6601	4709	140.2	1.4:1	0.03	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.06	10.23	Netherlands
Austria	8.903	53188	10307	842	42039	2.0	1:50.0	0.79	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	2.56	Austria
Belgium	11.524	148981	118758	10151	20072	50.6	1:2.0	0.13	0.07	0.08	0.08	0.09	0.09	23.81	Belgium
Norway	5.368	15388	3250	275	11863	2.3	1:43.1	0.77	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	1.38	Norway
Sweden	10.334	98451	92557	5894	4971	118.6	1.2:1	0.05	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	15.42	Sweden
Denmark	5.823	32131	5491	665	25975	2.6	1:39.1	0.81	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	3.09	Denmark
Canada	37.965	180625	18941	9638	152046	6.3	1:15.8	0.84	0.05	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	6.86	Canada
Portugal	10.277	83928	29702	2062	52164	4.0	1:25.3	0.62	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	5.42	Portugal
Australia	25.653	27244	1360	897	24987	3.6	1:27.9	0.92	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.95	Australia
Israel	9.175	287858	60724	1886	225248	0.8	1:119.0	0.78	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5.56	Israel
Ireland	4.921	40703	15518	1821	23364	7.8	1:12.8	0.57	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	10.0	Ireland
Greece	10.725	21772	19994	431	1347	32.0	1:3.1	0.06	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	1.09	Greece
Finland	5.528	11580	2734	346	8500	4.1	1:24.6	0.73	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	1.69	Finland
Turkey	83.155	332382	31906	8722	291754	3.0	1:33.4	0.88	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	2.83	Turkey
Luxembourg	0.614	9119	1091	128	7900	1.6	1:61.7	0.87	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	5.64	Luxembourg
Iceland	0.364	3373	915	10	2448	0.4	1:243.9	0.73	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.74	Iceland
Malta	0.494	3581	625	41	2915	1.4	1:70.9	0.81	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	2.24	Malta
New Zealand	4.972	1870	44	25	1801	1.4	1:71.9	0.96	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.14	New Zealand
UNR Western European and Others Group	915.79	12083205	6906003	420384	4756818	8.8	1:11.3	0.39	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	12.41	UNR Western European and Others Group

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt