COVID-19 - UNR Western European and Others Group - 20-10-09

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Western European and Others Group is a Group with the following members:
Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 12083205 1319.4 140362 1.18% 1.11%
Active cases 6906003 754.1 107507 1.58% 0.98%
Deaths 420384 45.9 1632 0.39% 0.24%
Recovered 4756818519.4312230.66%0.76%
Deaths per infected 3.48%
Recovered per infected39.37%
Active per infected 57.15%
Deaths per recovered 8.84%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
12.41%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 59d 7h 63d 1h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population>1yr >1yr

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 21 60
Active na 8 74
Deaths na 19 97
Recovered na 45 64
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Western European and Others Group

Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.24334377070110361112375491.112.820.050.3862d 19hstable570.6116.459.9394.315.21:6.60.69
Spain47.1861112677807329291503761.741.840.370.040d 3h186d 6h1828.21439.169.9319.321.91:4.60.17
Germany83.1493204953717895992737181.222.840.030.7556d 22hstable385.444.711.5329.23.51:28.50.85
US329.4887663293441045221375230390890.650.350.290.74106d 10h240d 15h2325.81338.664.9922.47.01:14.20.4
France67.069732434596601326011032323.083.040.230.4522d 19h304d 13h1092.1889.548.6153.931.61:3.20.14
Switzerland8.5876036898802088484002.115.890.11.1233d 4h>1yr703.0115.124.3563.74.31:23.20.8
United Kingdom66.4365783905331334276924882.732.430.110.5925d 18h>1yr870.6802.564.43.71719.017.2:10.0
Netherlands17.447167348156038660147093.472.890.241.3620d 7h286d 22h959.2894.437.827.0140.21.4:10.03
Austria8.9035318810307842420392.012.680.611.3434d 19h114d 7h597.4115.89.5472.22.01:50.00.79
Belgium11.52414898111875810151200722.732.480.120.3125d 17h>1yr1292.71030.588.1174.250.61:2.00.13
Norway5.368153883250275118631.260.90.01.255d 12h286.760.55.1221.02.31:43.10.77
Sweden10.3349845192557589449710.870.73-0.010.079d 22h952.7895.757.00.0118.61.2:10.05
Denmark5.823321315491665259751.27-2.40.211.8454d 23h327d 2h551.894.311.4446.12.61:39.10.81
Canada37.9651806251894196381520461.42.290.160.9949d 20h>1yr475.849.925.4400.56.31:15.80.84
Portugal10.27783928297022062521641.181.470.450.5259d 2h156d 0h816.7289.020.1507.64.01:25.30.62
Australia25.653272441360897249870.07-0.050.070.06stablestable106.25.33.597.43.61:27.90.92
Israel9.1752878586072418862252481.53-2.251.642.5345d 13h42d 16h3137.6661.920.62455.10.81:119.00.78
Ireland4.92140703155181821233641.373.010.080.051d 1hstable827.0315.337.0474.77.81:12.80.57
Greece10.725217721999443113471.871.631.010.037d 7h69d 1h203.0186.44.012.632.01:3.10.06
Finland5.52811580273434685001.914.00.060.9936d 17hstable209.549.56.3153.84.11:24.60.73
Turkey83.1553323823190687222917540.480.50.530.37143d 8h131d 1h399.738.410.5350.93.01:33.40.88
Luxembourg0.6149119109112879000.93-0.930.481.2674d 23h145d 12h1485.4177.720.91286.91.61:61.70.87
Iceland0.36433739151024482.926.00.01.1524d 1h926.6251.42.7672.50.41:243.90.73
Malta0.49435816254129151.834.271.010.938d 3h68d 18h725.5126.68.3590.61.41:70.90.81
New Zealand4.9721870442518010.160.820.00.11>1yr37.60.90.536.21.41:71.90.96
UNR Western European and Others Group915.7912083205690600342038447568181.110.980.240.7663d 1h284d 7h1319.4754.145.9519.48.81:11.30.39

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.243343770701103611123754915.21:6.60.690.10.110.110.110.1216.2Italy
Spain47.18611126778073292915037621.91:4.60.170.040.040.040.040.0518.9Spain
Germany83.1493204953717895992737183.51:28.50.850.030.030.030.030.033.12Germany
US329.4887663293441045221375230390897.01:14.20.40.030.030.030.030.0317.53US
France67.0697324345966013260110323231.61:3.20.140.040.050.050.050.0613.14France
Switzerland8.5876036898802088484004.31:23.20.80.030.040.040.040.046.57Switzerland
United Kingdom66.4365783905331334276924881719.017.2:10.00.070.080.090.090.117.4United Kingdom
Netherlands17.44716734815603866014709140.21.4:10.030.040.050.050.050.0610.23Netherlands
Austria8.9035318810307842420392.01:50.00.790.020.020.020.020.022.56Austria
Belgium11.524148981118758101512007250.61:2.00.130.070.080.080.090.0923.81Belgium
Norway5.368153883250275118632.31:43.10.770.020.020.020.020.021.38Norway
Sweden10.334984519255758944971118.61.2:10.050.060.060.060.060.0615.42Sweden
Denmark5.823321315491665259752.61:39.10.810.020.020.020.020.023.09Denmark
Canada37.9651806251894196381520466.31:15.80.840.050.060.060.060.066.86Canada
Portugal10.27783928297022062521644.01:25.30.620.020.030.030.030.035.42Portugal
Australia25.653272441360897249873.61:27.90.920.030.030.030.030.030.95Australia
Israel9.1752878586072418862252480.81:119.00.780.010.010.010.010.015.56Israel
Ireland4.92140703155181821233647.81:12.80.570.040.050.050.050.0510.0Ireland
Greece10.7252177219994431134732.01:3.10.060.020.020.020.020.031.09Greece
Finland5.52811580273434685004.11:24.60.730.030.030.030.030.041.69Finland
Turkey83.1553323823190687222917543.01:33.40.880.030.030.030.030.032.83Turkey
Luxembourg0.6149119109112879001.61:61.70.870.010.010.010.020.025.64Luxembourg
Iceland0.36433739151024480.41:243.90.730.00.00.00.00.00.74Iceland
Malta0.49435816254129151.41:70.90.810.010.010.010.010.012.24Malta
New Zealand4.9721870442518011.41:71.90.960.010.010.010.010.010.14New Zealand
UNR Western European and Others Group915.7912083205690600342038447568188.81:11.30.390.030.040.040.040.0412.41UNR Western European and Others Group

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt