COVID-19 - UNR Western European and Others Group - 20-08-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Western European and Others Group is a Group with the following members:
Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 7054036 770.3 76959 1.1% 0.96%
Active cases 3907761 426.7 48399 1.25% 0.6%
Deaths 354880 38.8 2135 0.61% 0.23%
Recovered 2791395304.8264250.96%1.0%
Deaths per infected 5.03%
Recovered per infected39.57%
Active per infected 55.4%
Deaths per recovered 12.71%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
10.47%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 63d 4h 72d 19h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population>1yr >1yr

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 21 82
Active na 5 71
Deaths na 13 102
Recovered na 39 74
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Western European and Others Group

Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.24324920412694351872013230.110.30.020.07>1yrstable413.721.158.4334.217.51:5.70.81
Spain47.1309855130979285001503761.443.00.040.048d 10hstable657.9278.160.5319.318.91:5.30.49
Germany83.1492150391057791811952810.382.440.050.2182d 22hstable258.612.711.0234.94.71:21.30.91
US329.4884883579312509015986515986241.110.550.461.5562d 13h151d 17h1482.2948.548.5485.210.01:10.00.33
France67.06923131011841030308825920.540.50.020.13128d 21hstable344.9176.545.2123.136.71:2.70.36
Switzerland8.5873610825231985316000.391.980.030.19178d 0hstable420.529.423.1368.06.31:15.90.88
United Kingdom66.4363097962618514649814470.280.130.010.07252d 0hstable466.3394.170.02.23213.432.1:10.0
Netherlands17.447574655105761732350.870.70.020.779d 17hstable329.4292.635.41.32626.826.3:10.0
Austria8.903216961381719195960.45-2.560.030.58153d 14hstable243.715.58.1220.13.71:27.20.9
Belgium11.52472016444559861177000.740.780.030.193d 16hstable624.9385.785.6153.655.71:1.80.25
Norway5.368946835525688570.4610.570.080.0150d 19hstable176.46.64.8165.02.91:34.60.94
Sweden10.3348196776201576649710.380.290.060.0181d 23hstable793.2737.455.80.0116.01.2:10.06
Denmark5.82314586976617129930.786.660.030.2888d 17hstable250.516.810.6223.14.81:21.10.89
Canada37.965120374669690131046650.310.560.050.25222d 0hstable317.117.623.7275.78.61:11.60.87
Portugal10.27752061124781743378400.29-0.390.030.42238d 11hstable506.6121.417.0368.24.61:21.70.73
Australia25.653202728887266111192.543.124.251.4127d 16h16d 15h79.034.61.043.32.41:41.80.55
Israel9.1757955925556576534271.96-0.471.452.6635d 18h48d 7h867.2278.66.3582.31.11:92.60.67
Ireland4.9212637212401768233640.23.690.00.0345d 18h535.925.235.9474.77.61:13.20.89
Greece10.7255123353921013742.242.440.390.031d 8h179d 21h47.833.02.012.815.31:6.50.27
Finland5.528753222133169800.244.220.120.09291d 12h>1yr136.34.06.0126.34.71:21.10.93
Turkey83.1552372651092157982205460.460.340.260.37150d 15h269d 1h285.313.17.0265.22.61:38.00.93
Luxembourg0.6147073120411957500.81-2.750.341.6385d 17h202d 5h1152.1196.119.4936.62.11:48.30.81
Iceland0.3641932971018250.419.730.00.0169d 20h530.826.62.7501.40.61:181.80.94
Malta0.49494626796702.297.920.00.0930d 15h191.754.11.8135.71.31:74.60.71
New Zealand4.9721569232215240.05-1.120.00.08stable31.60.50.430.71.41:69.40.97
UNR Western European and Others Group915.797054036390776135488027913950.960.60.231.072d 19h306d 15h770.3426.738.8304.812.71:7.90.4

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.243249204126943518720132317.51:5.70.810.140.140.140.140.1415.79Italy
Spain47.13098551309792850015037618.91:5.30.490.090.10.10.10.116.35Spain
Germany83.1492150391057791811952814.71:21.30.910.040.040.040.040.042.98Germany
US329.48848835793125090159865159862410.01:10.00.330.030.030.030.040.0413.11US
France67.069231310118410303088259236.71:2.70.360.130.130.130.140.1412.21France
Switzerland8.5873610825231985316006.31:15.90.880.060.060.060.060.066.25Switzerland
United Kingdom66.4363097962618514649814473213.432.1:10.00.150.150.150.150.1618.92United Kingdom
Netherlands17.447574655105761732352626.826.3:10.00.110.110.110.120.129.56Netherlands
Austria8.903216961381719195963.71:27.20.90.030.030.030.030.042.18Austria
Belgium11.524720164445598611770055.71:1.80.250.140.140.140.150.1523.13Belgium
Norway5.368946835525688572.91:34.60.940.030.030.030.030.031.29Norway
Sweden10.334819677620157664971116.01.2:10.060.070.070.070.070.0715.08Sweden
Denmark5.82314586976617129934.81:21.10.890.040.040.040.040.052.86Denmark
Canada37.965120374669690131046658.61:11.60.870.070.080.080.080.086.42Canada
Portugal10.27752061124781743378404.61:21.70.730.030.030.030.030.044.58Portugal
Australia25.653202728887266111192.41:41.80.550.010.010.020.020.020.28Australia
Israel9.1757955925556576534271.11:92.60.670.010.010.010.010.011.7Israel
Ireland4.9212637212401768233647.61:13.20.890.070.070.070.070.079.71Ireland
Greece10.72551233539210137415.31:6.50.270.040.050.050.050.050.53Greece
Finland5.528753222133169804.71:21.10.930.040.040.040.040.041.62Finland
Turkey83.1552372651092157982205462.61:38.00.930.020.020.030.030.031.88Turkey
Luxembourg0.6147073120411957502.11:48.30.810.020.020.020.020.025.24Luxembourg
Iceland0.3641932971018250.61:181.80.940.010.010.010.010.010.74Iceland
Malta0.49494626796701.31:74.60.710.010.010.010.010.010.49Malta
New Zealand4.9721569232215241.41:69.40.970.010.010.010.010.010.12New Zealand
UNR Western European and Others Group915.7970540363907761354880279139512.71:7.90.40.050.050.050.060.0610.47UNR Western European and Others Group

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt