COVID-19 - UNR Western European and Others Group - 20-06-03

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

UNR Western European and Others Group is a Group with the following members:
Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 3483586 380.4 -46954 -1.33% 0.37%
Active cases 1828032 199.6 -69301 -3.65% 0.33%
Deaths 285245 31.1 1789 0.63% 0.43%
Recovered 1370309149.6205581.52%1.11%
Deaths per infected 8.19%
Recovered per infected39.34%
Active per infected 52.48%
Deaths per recovered 20.82%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
8.42%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 189d 15h
Time to reach a million cases 93d 5h
Time to saturate the population stable

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 20 124
Active na 19 98
Deaths na 11 86
Recovered na 29 96
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: UNR Western European and Others Group

Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.24323383639297336011609380.14-2.860.180.93>1yr>1yr388.265.255.8267.120.91:4.80.69
Spain47.124032662822271281503760.150.440.00.0>1yrstable510.2133.457.6319.318.01:5.50.63
Germany83.149184121806686021674530.13-3.030.140.29>1yr>1yr221.49.710.3201.45.11:19.50.91
US329.488185152012650871071754792581.180.40.652.759d 1h107d 7h561.9384.032.5145.522.41:4.50.26
France67.069114400158032902469573-7.690.070.160.3>1yr170.623.643.3103.741.71:2.40.61
Switzerland8.587308933721921286000.04-5.380.010.14stablestable359.84.322.4333.16.71:14.90.93
United Kingdom66.4362812702402473981112120.630.470.630.88110d 18h111d 3h423.4361.659.91.83284.732.8:10.0
Netherlands17.447469394076359961800.260.240.120.22264d 11h>1yr269.0233.634.41.03331.133.3:10.0
Austria8.90316771429670156720.14-5.940.030.37>1yrstable188.44.87.5176.04.31:23.40.93
Belgium11.52458685332049522159590.210.140.160.32324d 3h>1yr509.2288.182.6138.559.71:1.70.27
Norway5.368847751323777270.131.360.080.0>1yrstable157.99.64.4144.03.11:32.60.91
Sweden10.3344080336261454249712.284.930.540.030d 17h129d 1h394.9350.944.00.091.41:1.10.12
Denmark5.82311971641580107500.3-3.210.420.47231d 8h165d 15h205.611.010.0184.65.41:18.50.9
Canada37.96594641355567579515060.81-0.11.151.1586d 3h60d 13h249.393.720.0135.714.71:6.80.54
Portugal10.27733261117351447200790.81-0.10.760.9985d 21h92d 1h323.7114.214.1195.47.21:13.90.6
Australia25.653724049010266480.160.63-0.190.09>1yr28.21.90.425.91.51:65.40.92
Israel9.175173772103291149830.461.30.420.22152d 14h164d 20h189.422.93.2163.31.91:51.50.86
Ireland4.921251117541659226980.192.960.160.0>1yr>1yr510.215.333.7461.27.31:13.70.9
Greece10.7252937138417913740.190.350.460.0361d 6h151d 23h27.412.91.712.813.01:7.70.47
Finland5.5286911109032155000.42.110.380.0175d 13h182d 2h125.019.75.899.55.81:17.10.8
Turkey83.1551664223096146091308520.53-0.390.420.62132d 7h163d 16h200.137.25.5157.43.51:28.40.79
Luxembourg0.61440245311038610.06-6.160.00.17stable655.58.617.9628.92.91:35.10.96
Iceland0.364180621017940.0120.00.00.0stable496.20.52.7492.90.61:178.60.99
Malta0.4946225195620.19-9.00.01.52357d 9h126.010.31.8113.91.61:62.50.9
New Zealand4.972150412214810.00.00.00.030.20.00.429.81.51:67.10.98
UNR Western European and Others Group915.793483586182803228524513703090.370.330.431.11189d 15h161d 16h380.4199.631.1149.620.81:4.80.39

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.243233836392973360116093820.91:4.80.690.140.140.140.150.1515.07Italy
Spain47.1240326628222712815037618.01:5.50.630.110.110.110.120.1215.57Spain
Germany83.149184121806686021674535.11:19.50.910.050.050.050.050.052.8Germany
US329.4881851520126508710717547925822.41:4.50.260.060.060.060.060.078.79US
France67.06911440015803290246957341.71:2.40.610.250.150.160.160.1611.7France
Switzerland8.587308933721921286006.71:14.90.930.060.060.060.060.066.05Switzerland
United Kingdom66.4362812702402473981112123284.732.8:10.00.140.150.150.150.1616.2United Kingdom
Netherlands17.447469394076359961803331.133.3:10.00.130.130.130.130.139.29Netherlands
Austria8.90316771429670156724.31:23.40.930.040.040.040.040.042.03Austria
Belgium11.524586853320495221595959.71:1.70.270.160.160.160.170.1722.33Belgium
Norway5.368847751323777273.11:32.60.910.030.030.030.030.031.19Norway
Sweden10.33440803362614542497191.41:1.10.120.110.120.130.130.1411.88Sweden
Denmark5.82311971641580107505.41:18.50.90.050.050.050.050.052.69Denmark
Canada37.965946413555675795150614.71:6.80.540.080.080.080.090.095.4Canada
Portugal10.27733261117351447200797.21:13.90.60.040.040.050.050.053.81Portugal
Australia25.653724049010266481.51:65.40.920.010.010.010.010.010.11Australia
Israel9.175173772103291149831.91:51.50.860.020.020.020.020.020.86Israel
Ireland4.921251117541659226987.31:13.70.90.070.070.070.070.079.11Ireland
Greece10.72529371384179137413.01:7.70.470.060.060.060.060.060.45Greece
Finland5.5286911109032155005.81:17.10.80.050.050.050.050.051.57Finland
Turkey83.1551664223096146091308523.51:28.40.790.030.030.030.030.031.5Turkey
Luxembourg0.61440245311038612.91:35.10.960.030.030.030.030.034.84Luxembourg
Iceland0.364180621017940.61:178.60.990.010.010.010.010.010.74Iceland
Malta0.4946225195621.61:62.50.90.010.010.010.010.020.49Malta
New Zealand4.972150412214811.51:67.10.980.010.010.010.010.010.12New Zealand
UNR Western European and Others Group915.7934835861828032285245137030920.81:4.80.390.080.080.080.090.098.42UNR Western European and Others Group

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt