UNR Western European and Others Group is a Group with the following members:
Andorra - Australia - Austria - Belgium - Canada - Denmark - Finland - France - French Guiana - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Iceland - Ireland - Israel - Italy - Liechtenstein - Luxembourg - Malta - Monaco - Netherlands - New Zealand - Norway - Portugal - San Marino - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Turkey - US - United Kingdom
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Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though. | ||
Last days rate | Last average rate | |
---|---|---|
Time to double cases | 45d 4h | 52d 13h |
Time to reach a million cases | ||
Time to saturate the population | 234d 19h | 273d 4h |
A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview. | |||
Total: | 192 | Population | na |
---|---|---|---|
Total cases | Cases per 100.000 | Average grow rate (5 days) | |
Infected | na | 30 | 57 |
Active | na | 9 | 81 |
Deaths | na | 24 | 54 |
Recovered | na | 55 | 35 |
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both! |
Click top row to sort: | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± |
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Country | Pop (mio) | Infected | Active | Deaths | Recovered | Infected | Active | Deaths | Recovered | Infected | Deaths | Infected | Active | Deaths | Recovered | Deaths per Recovered | Recovered per infected | |
absolute values | Percentage growthrate 5d | Time to double | Cases per 100.000 | % / ratio | ||||||||||||||
Italy | 60.243 | 1538217 | 787893 | 53677 | 696647 | 1.77 | -0.25 | 1.19 | 3.65 | 39d 10h | 58d 16h | 2553.3 | 1307.8 | 89.1 | 1156.4 | 7.7 | 1:13.0 | 0.45 |
Spain | 47.1 | 1628208 | 1433164 | 44668 | 150376 | 0.9 | 0.85 | 0.81 | 0.0 | 77d 3h | 85d 18h | 3456.9 | 3042.8 | 94.8 | 319.3 | 29.7 | 1:3.4 | 0.09 |
Germany | 83.149 | 1038649 | 317425 | 16011 | 705213 | 2.18 | 0.67 | 2.01 | 2.31 | 32d 1h | 34d 17h | 1249.1 | 381.8 | 19.3 | 848.1 | 2.3 | 1:44.1 | 0.68 |
US | 329.488 | 13088821 | 7876517 | 264858 | 4947446 | 1.34 | 0.75 | 0.51 | 1.48 | 52d 2h | 136d 17h | 3972.5 | 2390.5 | 80.4 | 1501.6 | 5.3 | 1:18.7 | 0.38 |
France | 67.069 | 2248209 | 2030717 | 51999 | 165493 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 0.9 | 0.82 | 134d 20h | 77d 5h | 3352.1 | 3027.8 | 77.5 | 246.8 | 31.4 | 1:3.2 | 0.07 |
Switzerland | 8.587 | 318290 | 91619 | 4571 | 222100 | 1.84 | -2.81 | 2.15 | 4.04 | 38d 0h | 32d 14h | 3706.8 | 1067.0 | 53.2 | 2586.6 | 2.1 | 1:48.5 | 0.7 |
United Kingdom | 66.436 | 1593250 | 1532140 | 57648 | 3462 | 1.0 | 0.82 | 0.72 | 0.79 | 69d 12h | 96d 17h | 2398.2 | 2306.2 | 86.8 | 5.2 | 1665.2 | 16.7:1 | 0.0 |
Netherlands | 17.447 | 517045 | 500849 | 9343 | 6853 | 0.99 | 0.76 | 0.65 | 0.47 | 70d 15h | 107d 16h | 2963.6 | 2870.7 | 53.6 | 39.3 | 136.3 | 1.4:1 | 0.01 |
Austria | 8.903 | 270992 | 64855 | 2886 | 203251 | 1.86 | -2.38 | 3.05 | 3.02 | 37d 16h | 23d 2h | 3044.0 | 728.5 | 32.4 | 2283.1 | 1.4 | 1:70.4 | 0.75 |
Belgium | 11.524 | 570829 | 554490 | 16339 | 31130 | 0.43 | 0.3 | 0.76 | 0.0 | 162d 9h | 91d 16h | 4953.2 | 4811.4 | 141.8 | 0.0 | 52.5 | 1:1.9 | 0.05 |
Norway | 5.368 | 35193 | 16867 | 328 | 17998 | 1.44 | 2.6 | 0.65 | 0.0 | 48d 11h | 107d 11h | 655.7 | 314.2 | 6.1 | 335.3 | 1.8 | 1:54.9 | 0.51 |
Sweden | 10.334 | 243129 | 236448 | 6681 | 4971 | 3.18 | 2.66 | 0.67 | 0.0 | 22d 3h | 104d 5h | 2352.8 | 2288.2 | 64.7 | 0.0 | 134.4 | 1.3:1 | 0.02 |
Denmark | 5.823 | 77236 | 15592 | 816 | 60828 | 1.7 | 1.23 | 0.68 | 1.39 | 41d 4h | 102d 5h | 1326.4 | 267.8 | 14.0 | 1044.7 | 1.3 | 1:74.6 | 0.79 |
Canada | 37.965 | 362604 | 59467 | 11916 | 291221 | 1.66 | 2.12 | 0.54 | 1.2 | 42d 1h | 127d 18h | 955.1 | 156.6 | 31.4 | 767.1 | 4.1 | 1:24.4 | 0.8 |
Portugal | 10.277 | 285838 | 82116 | 4276 | 199446 | 1.85 | -0.39 | 1.56 | 2.33 | 37d 17h | 44d 21h | 2781.4 | 799.1 | 41.6 | 1940.8 | 2.1 | 1:46.7 | 0.7 |
Australia | 25.653 | 27886 | 1394 | 907 | 25585 | 0.04 | -0.06 | 0.0 | 0.03 | stable | 108.7 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 99.7 | 3.5 | 1:28.2 | 0.92 | |
Israel | 9.175 | 333802 | 9617 | 2839 | 321346 | 0.3 | 2.77 | 0.25 | 0.18 | 235d 2h | 278d 17h | 3638.3 | 104.8 | 30.9 | 3502.6 | 0.9 | 1:113.6 | 0.96 |
Ireland | 4.921 | 71699 | 46292 | 2043 | 23364 | 0.35 | 0.45 | 0.13 | 0.0 | 198d 23h | >1yr | 1456.9 | 940.6 | 41.5 | 474.7 | 8.7 | 1:11.4 | 0.33 |
Greece | 10.725 | 101287 | 76111 | 2102 | 23074 | 2.03 | 2.1 | 4.21 | 0.0 | 34d 12h | 16d 19h | 944.4 | 709.7 | 19.6 | 215.2 | 9.1 | 1:11.0 | 0.23 |
Finland | 5.528 | 23766 | 6573 | 393 | 16800 | 1.89 | 0.46 | 0.69 | 1.96 | 36d 22h | 101d 1h | 430.0 | 118.9 | 7.1 | 303.9 | 2.3 | 1:42.7 | 0.71 |
Turkey | 83.155 | 548244 | 142437 | 13191 | 392616 | 4.23 | 12.42 | 1.04 | 0.74 | 16d 17h | 66d 22h | 659.3 | 171.3 | 15.9 | 472.1 | 3.4 | 1:29.8 | 0.72 |
Luxembourg | 0.614 | 33409 | 9036 | 300 | 24073 | 2.35 | -0.61 | 2.5 | 3.24 | 29d 21h | 28d 1h | 5442.1 | 1471.9 | 48.9 | 3921.3 | 1.2 | 1:80.0 | 0.72 |
Iceland | 0.364 | 5346 | 176 | 26 | 5144 | 0.26 | -4.11 | 0.0 | 0.33 | 266d 17h | 1468.7 | 48.4 | 7.1 | 1413.2 | 0.5 | 1:196.1 | 0.96 | |
Malta | 0.494 | 9501 | 2076 | 128 | 7297 | 1.26 | -0.38 | 2.41 | 1.49 | 55d 7h | 29d 1h | 1924.8 | 420.6 | 25.9 | 1478.3 | 1.8 | 1:57.1 | 0.77 |
New Zealand | 4.972 | 2050 | 69 | 25 | 1956 | 0.2 | 4.99 | 0.0 | 0.03 | 353d 7h | 41.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 39.3 | 1.3 | 1:78.1 | 0.95 | |
UNR Western European and Others Group | 915.79 | 24983525 | 15895294 | 568109 | 8520122 | 1.33 | 0.69 | 0.76 | 1.67 | 52d 13h | 91d 17h | 2728.1 | 1735.7 | 62.0 | 930.4 | 6.7 | 1:15.0 | 0.34 |
Click top row to sort: | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± | ± |
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Country | Pop (mio) | Infected | Active | Deaths | Recovered | Deaths per Recovered | Recovered per infected | Deaths per infected ... days ago | Possible Total % | Country | |||||
absolute values | % / ratio | 0d | 5d | 7d | 10d | 14d | |||||||||
Italy | 60.243 | 1538217 | 787893 | 53677 | 696647 | 7.7 | 1:13.0 | 0.45 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 24.08 | Italy |
Spain | 47.1 | 1628208 | 1433164 | 44668 | 150376 | 29.7 | 1:3.4 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 25.63 | Spain |
Germany | 83.149 | 1038649 | 317425 | 16011 | 705213 | 2.3 | 1:44.1 | 0.68 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 5.2 | Germany |
US | 329.488 | 13088821 | 7876517 | 264858 | 4947446 | 5.3 | 1:18.7 | 0.38 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 21.73 | US |
France | 67.069 | 2248209 | 2030717 | 51999 | 165493 | 31.4 | 1:3.2 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 20.95 | France |
Switzerland | 8.587 | 318290 | 91619 | 4571 | 222100 | 2.1 | 1:48.5 | 0.7 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 14.39 | Switzerland |
United Kingdom | 66.436 | 1593250 | 1532140 | 57648 | 3462 | 1665.2 | 16.7:1 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 23.45 | United Kingdom |
Netherlands | 17.447 | 517045 | 500849 | 9343 | 6853 | 136.3 | 1.4:1 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 14.47 | Netherlands |
Austria | 8.903 | 270992 | 64855 | 2886 | 203251 | 1.4 | 1:70.4 | 0.75 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8.76 | Austria |
Belgium | 11.524 | 570829 | 554490 | 16339 | 31130 | 52.5 | 1:1.9 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 38.32 | Belgium |
Norway | 5.368 | 35193 | 16867 | 328 | 17998 | 1.8 | 1:54.9 | 0.51 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1.65 | Norway |
Sweden | 10.334 | 243129 | 236448 | 6681 | 4971 | 134.4 | 1.3:1 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 17.47 | Sweden |
Denmark | 5.823 | 77236 | 15592 | 816 | 60828 | 1.3 | 1:74.6 | 0.79 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 3.79 | Denmark |
Canada | 37.965 | 362604 | 59467 | 11916 | 291221 | 4.1 | 1:24.4 | 0.8 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 8.48 | Canada |
Portugal | 10.277 | 285838 | 82116 | 4276 | 199446 | 2.1 | 1:46.7 | 0.7 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 11.25 | Portugal |
Australia | 25.653 | 27886 | 1394 | 907 | 25585 | 3.5 | 1:28.2 | 0.92 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.96 | Australia |
Israel | 9.175 | 333802 | 9617 | 2839 | 321346 | 0.9 | 1:113.6 | 0.96 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8.36 | Israel |
Ireland | 4.921 | 71699 | 46292 | 2043 | 23364 | 8.7 | 1:11.4 | 0.33 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 11.22 | Ireland |
Greece | 10.725 | 101287 | 76111 | 2102 | 23074 | 9.1 | 1:11.0 | 0.23 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 5.3 | Greece |
Finland | 5.528 | 23766 | 6573 | 393 | 16800 | 2.3 | 1:42.7 | 0.71 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.92 | Finland |
Turkey | 83.155 | 548244 | 142437 | 13191 | 392616 | 3.4 | 1:29.8 | 0.72 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 4.29 | Turkey |
Luxembourg | 0.614 | 33409 | 9036 | 300 | 24073 | 1.2 | 1:80.0 | 0.72 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 13.21 | Luxembourg |
Iceland | 0.364 | 5346 | 176 | 26 | 5144 | 0.5 | 1:196.1 | 0.96 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.01 | 1.93 | Iceland |
Malta | 0.494 | 9501 | 2076 | 128 | 7297 | 1.8 | 1:57.1 | 0.77 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 7.01 | Malta |
New Zealand | 4.972 | 2050 | 69 | 25 | 1956 | 1.3 | 1:78.1 | 0.95 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.14 | New Zealand |
UNR Western European and Others Group | 915.79 | 24983525 | 15895294 | 568109 | 8520122 | 6.7 | 1:15.0 | 0.34 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 16.77 | UNR Western European and Others Group |
A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected
county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first
reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to
the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally
other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are
more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number.
Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get
other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results. Links (German): Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt |