COVID-19 - Europe - 20-06-06

Data from JHU, ca. 9:00 CET

Europe is a Group with the following members:
Albania - Andorra - Armenia - Austria - Azerbaijan - Belarus - Belgium - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Georgia - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Hungary - Iceland - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Liechtenstein - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Moldova - Monaco - Netherlands - North Macedonia - Norway - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Russia - San Marino - Serbia - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Ukraine - United Kingdom

Go to the data tables


absolutecases per 100.000 abs. development
1 day
rel. development
1 day
rel. development
5 days/average
Total infections 2090149 274.4 17784 0.86% 0.84%
Active cases 883687 116.0 -1099 -0.12% 0.24%
Deaths 178818 23.5 643 0.36% 0.38%
Recovered 1027644134.9182401.81%1.11%
Deaths per infected 8.56%
Recovered per infected49.17%
Active per infected 42.28%
Deaths per recovered 17.4%
Projection:
Total Case Percentage
6.35%

Gives the time necessary to double the existing infections - to reach a million from the existing status, or to reach the population limit of the given group (which can well be below a million). This assumes the exponential growrate of the last day or average of the last five days continues - which it does not, as there will be saturation towards the maximum. Please take these calulations with two grains of salt. As long as there is turning point in sight the data may well hold, though.
Last days rate Last average rate
Time to double cases 81d 2h 82d 14h
Time to reach a million cases
Time to saturate the population>1yr >1yr

A ranking may taste a bit fishy, as this is not a competition between countries, but to compare the relative efficiency of measures taken, or for detecting which countries are likely to get critical next, this ranking imho deserves a place in this overview.
Total: 189Population na
Total casesCases per 100.000Average grow rate (5 days)
Infected na 32 106
Active na 26 90
Deaths na 11 83
Recovered na 37 97
The ranking is made over all groups and countries, including small or recent that are ommitted in the table on the front page - which may lead to minor discrepancies between both!

Diagrams

Members of Group: Europe

Albania - Andorra - Armenia - Austria - Azerbaijan - Belarus - Belgium - Bosnia and Herzegovina - Bulgaria - Croatia - Cyprus - Czechia - Denmark - Estonia - Finland - France - Georgia - Germany - Greece - Holy See - Hungary - Iceland - Ireland - Italy - Latvia - Liechtenstein - Lithuania - Luxembourg - Malta - Moldova - Monaco - Netherlands - North Macedonia - Norway - Poland - Portugal - Romania - Russia - San Marino - Serbia - Slovakia - Slovenia - Spain - Sweden - Switzerland - Ukraine - United Kingdom

Data by Country


Click on the header to sort - Click on the name for the countries dashboard! - Only countries with more then 100 infections and more then 100.000 citizens are listed!
Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredInfectedDeathsInfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
absolute valuesPercentage growthrate 5dTime to doubleCases per 100.000% / ratio
Italy60.24323480135877338461650780.14-2.210.180.68>1yr>1yr389.859.656.2274.020.51:4.90.7
Spain47.124131063799271351503760.140.430.010.0>1yrstable512.3135.557.6319.318.01:5.50.62
Germany83.149185450781986731689580.2-3.660.240.34344d 12h289d 9h223.09.410.4203.25.11:19.50.91
France67.0691907599069029145709240.16-0.30.190.6>1yr361d 1h284.4135.243.5105.741.11:2.40.37
Switzerland8.587309563351921287000.06-1.230.010.07stablestable360.53.922.4334.26.71:14.90.93
United Kingdom66.4362862942445164054812300.610.480.620.12114d 4h113d 0h430.9368.061.01.93296.633.0:10.0
Netherlands17.447475414133060301810.340.280.140.22206d 6h>1yr272.5236.934.61.03331.533.3:10.0
Austria8.90316898437672157890.2-1.720.120.19353d 3h>1yr189.84.97.5177.44.31:23.50.93
Belgium11.52459072333029580161900.190.070.170.24>1yr>1yr512.6289.083.1140.559.21:1.70.27
Norway5.368853115523881380.2-10.970.171.06346d 0h>1yr158.92.94.4151.62.91:34.20.95
Sweden10.3344388739231465649713.036.361.050.023d 4h66d 5h424.7379.645.10.093.71:1.10.11
Denmark5.82312124616587109210.38-2.180.350.45184d 23h201d 1h208.210.610.1187.65.41:18.60.9
Portugal10.27734351120701474208070.990.430.570.9870d 8h121d 23h334.3117.514.3202.57.11:14.10.61
Czechia10.6949567235532768850.56-0.150.370.71123d 8h187d 0h89.522.03.164.44.81:21.10.72
Ireland4.921251838071678226980.1-7.550.240.55>1yr287d 10h511.716.434.1461.27.41:13.50.9
Greece10.7252980142618013740.420.70.110.0164d 17h>1yr27.813.31.712.813.11:7.60.46
Finland5.528696484232258000.23-4.330.251.09303d 13h276d 22h126.015.25.8104.95.51:18.00.83
Poland38.38625986121921153126411.460.381.151.6347d 16h60d 14h67.731.83.032.99.11:11.00.49
Luxembourg0.61440353711038880.08-10.090.00.21stable657.36.017.9633.32.81:35.30.96
Iceland0.364180621017940.00.00.00.0496.20.52.7492.90.61:178.60.99
Slovenia2.09414841610913590.1514.110.00.01>1yr70.90.85.264.98.01:12.50.92
Romania19.4052029045491322144190.9-0.220.621.0577d 1h112d 4h104.623.46.874.39.21:10.90.71
Estonia1.32819311876916750.64-0.20.290.51107d 19h236d 0h145.414.15.2126.14.11:24.30.87
Russia146.74545810223145057172209352.03-0.212.643.8934d 12h26d 15h312.2157.73.9150.62.61:38.60.48
Slovakia5.45615281212813790.08-1.130.00.16stable28.02.20.525.32.01:49.30.9
Armenia2.95812364845419037205.436.475.750.6513d 2h12d 9h418.1285.86.4125.85.11:19.60.3
Croatia4.07622472210421210.01-13.730.00.34stable55.10.52.652.04.91:20.40.94
Bulgaria7.02711100616015451.48-3.472.625.0447d 1h26d 19h38.714.42.322.110.41:9.70.57
Serbia6.96411741437248110560.540.130.240.6129d 1h283d 9h168.66.33.6158.82.21:44.60.94
Latvia1.9071086280257810.37-1.190.830.96186d 7h83d 12h57.014.71.341.03.21:31.20.72
Hungary9.7733990116654522790.5-0.420.560.81139d 7h123d 8h40.811.95.623.323.91:4.20.57
Cyprus0.875960135188070.23-0.740.00.43300d 8h109.715.42.192.22.21:44.80.84
Albania2.8621232273349251.512.940.00.7446d 5h43.09.51.232.33.71:27.20.75
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.301260647915919680.64-0.070.640.83108d 3h107d 21h78.914.54.859.68.11:12.40.76
Malta0.4946272295960.26-14.140.01.66269d 18h127.04.51.8120.71.51:66.20.95
Belarus9.4134775124473263230151.930.131.543.336d 7h45d 9h507.3260.02.8244.51.11:87.70.48
Moldova2.6829511373033154502.611.431.162.5526d 20h60d 5h354.7139.112.3203.26.11:16.50.57
Lithuania2.79317053137113210.32-2.880.291.05216d 23h242d 22h61.011.22.547.35.41:18.60.77
North Macedonia2.0772915112415116404.7210.931.260.7915d 0h55d 10h140.354.17.379.09.21:10.90.56
Azerbaijan10.067723931318440245.046.933.842.014d 2h18d 9h71.931.10.840.02.11:47.80.56
Georgia3.724808132136630.35-2.091.670.82198d 5h41d 22h21.73.50.317.82.01:51.00.82
Ukraine41.9022710114051785122651.990.251.243.335d 5h56d 3h64.733.51.929.36.41:15.60.45
Europe761.58209014988368717881810276440.840.240.381.1182d 14h184d 1h274.4116.023.5134.917.41:5.70.49

More Data by Country

Click top row to sort:±±±±±±±±±±±±±±±
CountryPop (mio)InfectedActiveDeathsRecoveredDeaths per RecoveredRecovered per
infected
Deaths per infected ... days agoPossible
Total %
Country
absolute values% / ratio0d5d7d10d14d
Italy60.243234801358773384616507820.51:4.90.70.140.140.150.150.1515.18Italy
Spain47.1241310637992713515037618.01:5.50.620.110.110.110.110.1215.57Spain
Germany83.149185450781986731689585.11:19.50.910.050.050.050.050.052.82Germany
France67.06919075990690291457092441.11:2.40.370.150.150.150.160.1611.74France
Switzerland8.587309563351921287006.71:14.90.930.060.060.060.060.066.05Switzerland
United Kingdom66.4362862942445164054812303296.633.0:10.00.140.150.150.150.1616.5United Kingdom
Netherlands17.447475414133060301813331.533.3:10.00.130.130.130.130.139.34Netherlands
Austria8.90316898437672157894.31:23.50.930.040.040.040.040.042.04Austria
Belgium11.524590723330295801619059.21:1.70.270.160.160.160.170.1722.47Belgium
Norway5.368853115523881382.91:34.20.950.030.030.030.030.031.2Norway
Sweden10.33443887392314656497193.71:1.10.110.110.120.120.130.1412.18Sweden
Denmark5.82312124616587109215.41:18.60.90.050.050.050.050.052.72Denmark
Portugal10.27734351120701474208077.11:14.10.610.040.040.050.050.053.88Portugal
Czechia10.6949567235532768854.81:21.10.720.030.030.040.040.040.83Czechia
Ireland4.921251838071678226987.41:13.50.90.070.070.070.070.079.21Ireland
Greece10.72529801426180137413.11:7.60.460.060.060.060.060.060.45Greece
Finland5.528696484232258005.51:18.00.830.050.050.050.050.051.57Finland
Poland38.38625986121921153126419.11:11.00.490.040.050.050.050.050.81Poland
Luxembourg0.61440353711038882.81:35.30.960.030.030.030.030.034.84Luxembourg
Iceland0.364180621017940.61:178.60.990.010.010.010.010.010.74Iceland
Slovenia2.09414841610913598.01:12.50.920.070.070.070.070.071.41Slovenia
Romania19.4052029045491322144199.21:10.90.710.070.070.070.070.071.84Romania
Estonia1.32819311876916754.11:24.30.870.040.040.040.040.041.4Estonia
Russia146.74545810223145057172209352.61:38.60.480.010.010.010.020.021.05Russia
Slovakia5.45615281212813792.01:49.30.90.020.020.020.020.020.14Slovakia
Armenia2.95812364845419037205.11:19.60.30.020.020.020.020.031.74Armenia
Croatia4.07622472210421214.91:20.40.940.050.050.050.050.050.69Croatia
Bulgaria7.027111006160154510.41:9.70.570.060.060.060.060.070.62Bulgaria
Serbia6.96411741437248110562.21:44.60.940.020.020.020.020.020.96Serbia
Latvia1.9071086280257813.21:31.20.720.020.020.020.020.020.35Latvia
Hungary9.77339901166545227923.91:4.20.570.140.140.140.140.151.51Hungary
Cyprus0.875960135188072.21:44.80.840.020.020.020.020.020.56Cyprus
Albania2.8621232273349253.71:27.20.750.030.030.030.030.030.32Albania
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.301260647915919688.11:12.40.760.060.060.060.060.071.3Bosnia and Herzegovina
Malta0.4946272295961.51:66.20.950.010.010.010.010.010.49Malta
Belarus9.4134775124473263230151.11:87.70.480.010.010.010.010.010.76Belarus
Moldova2.6829511373033154506.11:16.50.570.030.040.040.040.053.34Moldova
Lithuania2.79317053137113215.41:18.60.770.040.040.040.040.040.69Lithuania
North Macedonia2.0772915112415116409.21:10.90.560.050.060.070.070.081.96North Macedonia
Azerbaijan10.067723931318440242.11:47.80.560.010.010.020.020.020.23Azerbaijan
Georgia3.724808132136632.01:51.00.820.020.020.020.020.020.09Georgia
Ukraine41.9022710114051785122656.41:15.60.450.030.030.030.040.040.51Ukraine
Europe761.582090149883687178818102764417.41:5.70.490.090.090.090.090.16.35Europe

Heinsberg study

A study of the University of Bonn on the spread of Covid-19 at Heinsberg - the most affected county in Germany - showed a rate of deaths to infected of 0.37%. As this is the first reliable data on this ratio I use it as a projection from the number of reported deaths to the spread of the disease in the whole population, given as percentage. Note that locally other factors, like a developing spread, unreported deaths or a situation where people are more prone to die due to an overstretch of the health system will affect this number. Countries with a different population structure (eg. more young vs. old) may also get other ratios, so take this with a grain of salt - I will keep an eye on the developing scientific results.
Links (German):
Preliminary results - Press coverage: Die Welt